Jan- to Mar-2023

Editor's Note
Engaging a Troubled Neighbourhood

By: Sujit Dutta

Page No : i-viii

Essay
Xi's Foreign Policy Options and Evolving Strategy

By: Pankaj Saran

Page No : 1-12

Author :
Ambassador Pankaj Saran is a former Deputy National Security Advisor and Convenor at the NatStrat—a Delhi-based think-tank.

Organisational Restructuring for Defence Planning and Capability Acquisition

By: Amit Cowshish

Page No : 13-24

Abstract
The enduring asymmetry between India’s military capabilities vis-à-vis its adversaries is a matter of concern. The widely held view that it is largely because of the politico-bureaucratic apathy, which manifests itself in the continuing absence of a National Security Strategy (NSS) as the basis for defence planning and inadequate budgetary allocations, needs revaluation. The situation has not changed despite the government having set up a high-level Defence Planning Committee (DPC) in 2018 to inter alia draft the NSS. The budgetary allocations also continue to fall short of the requirement projected by the armed forces. This paper broadly explores these two issues and argues that there is a need to consider the desirability of setting up a 24x7 Defence Planning Board for financially viable defence planning and a bespoke Defence Capability Acquisition Organisation, both of which have been recommended in the past by committees constituted by the Ministry of Defence itself.

Author : Amit Cowshish was an officer of the Indian Defence Accounts Services and a former Financial Advisor (Acquisition). He is currently a Distinguished Fellow at the Vivekananda International Foundation (VIF).

DOI : http://doi.org/10.32381/NS.2023.06.01.1

Price: 101

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Regional Cooperation to Preserve the Himalayan System

By: Shailesh Nayak

Page No : 25-45

Abstract
The Himalaya is a unique ecological system and millions of people depend on its rivers for water, food and energy. It has distinctive biodiversity with a variety of high altitude vascular plants, grasslands, birds, etc. The Himalaya is under stress due to natural hazards such as earthquakes, landslides, floods, glacial lake outburst floods, climate change impacts such as the retreat of glaciers, and changes in precipitation patterns. Besides, anthropogenic activities related to infrastructure development, urbanisation, tourism, etc., also affect the Himalayan system. Defencerelated activities by China, Pakistan and India have placed additional pressure on the Himalayan ecology. The geological, cryospheric, hydrological and atmospheric processes and their interaction need to be modeled for the preservation of the Himalayan ecosystem. The formation of the Himalayan Science Council (HSC) is a positive step but it needs to set up monitoring systems for observing/measuring geological, hydrological, cryospheric, atmospheric and biological phenomena. Collaboration between research institutes of the Himalayan nations is a critical necessity.

Author :
Dr. Shailesh Nayak is the Director of National Institute of Advanced Studies (NIAS), Bengaluru, Karnataka.

DOI : http://doi.org/10.32381/NS.2023.06.01.2

Price: 101

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Dealing with the New Taliban Regime in Afghanistan

By: J. Jeganaathan

Page No : 46-68

Abstract
The absence of a democratically elected government, the poor state of law and order and the many restrictions and violations of basic rights, especially those of women, under Taliban rule in Afghanistan are developments of deep concern. Moreover, the increasing tension along the Durand line with Pakistan, and the challenge posed by the Islamic State-Khorasan to the Taliban have made the security situation precarious. This paper examines the emerging strategic and security trends in Afghanistan in the post-Taliban takeover period. Should India engage with the Taliban regime so that it can influence its decisions, provide aid to its needy, and limit the security impact for the region, especially on Jammu and Kashmir? What would be the fallout if the Taliban regime is recognised and its relationship with the international community is formalised?

Author :
Dr. J. Jeganaathan is a Senior Assistant Professor and Head of the Department of National Security Studies, School of National Security Studies at the Central University of Jammu in Jammu & Kashmir.

DOI : http://doi.org/10.32381/NS.2022.06.01.3

Price: 101

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Geo-Economics of India's Trade with its South Asian Neighbours

By: Nikita Singla

Page No : 69-92

Abstract
India’s global ambitions are intricately linked to its growth as a leading nation as well as its regional influence. Brimming with opportunity yet equally troubled by challenges deep-rooted in its vast expanses, history and extra-regional geopolitics, cooperation in South Asia has proved to be a predicament as unique as the region itself. It is argued that South Asia’s performance in terms of socioeconomic indicators depends to a large extent on India’s geo-economics, and hence, this essay focuses on the use of trade policy in the geo-economics of India with its neighbours. On one hand, trade and investment figures indicate India’s position as the gravitational core in South Asia has weakened. On the other hand, it is doing more than ever under the aegis of the “Neighbourhood First” and the “Act East” policy to strengthen connectivity infrastructure at the sub-regional level, given the sombre achievements of the SAARC region as a whole in strengthening regional economic ties. The essay makes pointed recommendations for effective regionalism amongst the South Asian nations.

Author :
Nikita Singla is Associate Director at the New Delhi-based Bureau of Research on Industry and Economic Fundamentals (BRIEF).

DOI : http://doi.org/10.32381/NS.2023.06.01.4

Price: 101

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Book Review
India's Development Diplomacy in Africa-Through Western Lenses

By: Samir Bhattacharya

Page No : 93-103

Price: 101

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Apr- to Jun-2023

Editor’s Note 
The Crisis of Multilateralism

By: Sujit Dutta

Page No : i-iv

Essay
The Retreat of Multilateralism

By: P.S. Raghavan

Page No : 105-113

Author :
Ambassador P. S. Raghavan is a former Indian diplomat. He is currently the Chairman of the National Security Advisory Board (NSAB) and a Distinguished Fellow at the Vivekananda International Foundation (VIF).

Essay
Reforming Multilateral Institutions in the 21st Century: India's Agenda

By: Lakshmi Puri

Page No : 114-123

Author :
Ambassador Lakshmi Puri is a former Indian Foreign Service officer. She was Former Assistant Secretary General, United Nations and Acting Deputy Secretary General, UNCTAD.

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The Political Framework of "Reformed Multilateralism"

By: Asoke Mukerji

Page No : 124-140

Abstract
The United Nations Charter specifies the primary objectives of the multilateral system as prevention of war, securing fundamental human rights, and promoting social progress and better standards of life. Yet, the UN has been unable to implement these objectives in a holistic manner. As a result, calls for “reformed multilateralism” with a “human-centric” focus have become widespread. The changed political realities of the world need to be integrated into the UN Charter to make multilateralism “fit-for-purpose” in the 21st century. India is among the leading proponents of “reformed multilateralism” and wants the system to reflect today’s realities and needs. The UN, however, is hampered by deep divisions. On one side the entrenched “permanent members” of the UN Security Council refuse to agree to any change in the status quo. On the other are the majority of UN member-states, mainly developing countries that have invested in multilateralism to ensure the implementation of a “human-centric” Agenda 2030 on Sustainable Development. The advocates of “reformed multilateralism” need an action plan by 2025, when the UN marks its 80th anniversary, to achieve their objective.

Author : 
Ambassador (Retd.) Asoke Mukerji, a Distinguished Fellow of the Vivekananda International Foundation, was India’s Permanent Representative to the United Nations in New York (2013-2015) and oversaw India’s participation in the successful negotiation of Agenda 2030 on Sustainable Development.

DOI : http://doi.org/10.32381/NS.2023.06.02.1

Strengthening Collective Action on Climate Change in South Asia

By: PK Khup Hangzo

Page No : 141-158

Abstract
Countries in South Asia are active participants in global multilateral processes aimed at addressing climate change, the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC) in particular. As part of their commitments to the UNFCCC process, these countries have set out national targets for greenhouse gas emission reduction and decarbonisation. However, there is as yet a lack of collective efforts at the regional level. Given South Asia’s vulnerability to climate change, the region has a lot to gain by carving out a regional approach to address its multi-faceted impacts. Reviving a neglected regional agenda such as climate change can help address the inevitable cross-border environmental as well as humanitarian crises and reset the much needed regional multilateralism in the process.

Author :
PK Khup Hangzo is an Associate Fellow at the Vivekananda International Foundation (VIF) specialising in climate change and national security. He is the lead coordinator of the Climate Change Expert Group at VIF that deliberates on the impact of climate change on India. He has a Master’s degree in Strategic Studies from the S. Rajaratnam School of International Studies (RSIS), Nanyang Technological University (NTU), Singapore.

DOI : http://doi.org/10.32381/NS.2023.06.02.2

Price: 101

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Decoding Xi Jinping's 3.0 Team: Changes in Political and Military Leadership

By: Kota Mallikarjuna Gupta

Page No : 159-192

Abstract
Political leaderships and their networks are influential and impactful in the decision-making process of societies worldwide. The role of the top political leaders is even more significant in authoritarian systems/single-party states like China. Absolute political power without resistance or opposition helps with quick decisions and policy formulations/alternations by government agencies. The competition to acquire power and position can be peaceful or fierce and depends on the capacities of individuals/institutions. This attempt to capture power, institutions and position among the elites of the Communist Party in China happens every five years during the Party Congress. Many factors determine the outcome of the fierce competition for power and positions in the Communist Party during the Party Congress. This fierce competition to acquire power influences ideological leanings, loyalty, political networks and governance models. The debate on the issues of consent, consensus and justice in the distribution/redistribution of power and positions in authoritarian regimes is tricky to conclude. Chinese Politics are like the ‘Great Wall of China’, where construction materials change based on geographical conditions. Chinese politics are also like the ancient Chinese board game of Wei qi, where the priority is to capture more territory over others.

Author :
Kota Mallikarjuna Gupta is a former Research Associate at the Vivekananda International Foundation (VIF).

DOI : http://doi.org/10.32381/NS.2023.06.02.3

Price: 101

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Book Review
The Decline of American Influence in the Middle East

By: Hirak J. Das

Page No : 193-207

Author :
Hirak Jyoti Das is a Senior Research Associate at the Vivekananda International Foundation (VIF) and a doctoral candidate at the Centre for West Asian Studies, Jawaharlal Nehru University, New Delhi. His research interests cover India’s Relations with the Gulf states, Domestic Politics & Foreign Policies of these states, and Islamic movements in West Asia and North Africa.

Price: 101

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Book Release
Indian Armed Forces at the Centenary of Independence

By: Gautam Banerjee Ed.

Page No : 208-210

Price: 101

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Jul- to Sep-2023

Editor’s Note
Revitalising India's Knowledge System

By: Sujit Dutta

Page No : i-vii

Essay
Ayurveda: India’s Neglected Treasure-Box

By: Prasad M

Page No : 211-223

Author :
Dr. Prasad M is the Director and Chief physician at the Sunethri Ayurvedashram Thrissur, Kerala. He received an intensive training in the philosophy and basic principles of Ayurveda from his Guru Padmabhushan Vaidyabhushanam K. Raghavan Thirumulpad. He served as the Principal of an Ayurveda college for five years. With 27 years of clinical experience, he developed an ayurvedic protocol for the management of autism spectrum disorder. Currently he is serving as GURU for CRAV programme of Rashtriya Ayurveda Vidyapeeth, New Delhi.
 

Price: 101

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Essay
Idea of Data and the Virtual World: A National Security Perspective

By: Devsena Mishra

Page No : 224-234

Author :
Devsena Mishra is an expert on advanced technologies, startup ecosystem, and the Indian government’s business and technology-related initiatives. She writes on technology and India’s security.
 

Price: 101

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The Indian Holistic Vision of Lifelong Learning

By: T. V. Muralivallabhan

Page No : 235-251

Abstract
The universal principles and practice of any branch of knowledge carries the stamp of the place and time of its origin. Ancient India is the mother of many branches of knowledge. Even the social system that existed here was helpful in attaining information, knowledge, wisdom and enlightenment. The four stages of life and four levels of education were cordially connected to frame a sustainable social system. The Apara Vidya and the Para Vidya that existed in India were holistic and multi-disciplinary in nature. All the problems that have cropped up in the modern period of science and technology could be mitigated to a great extent by using the spirit of the ancient Indian system of education.

Author :
Dr. T. V. Muralivallabhan is the Director of Marian Institute of Management, Kuttikkanam, Kerala. He is a former Independent Director of the Public Sector MSTC, Kolkata, and former Principal of NSS college, Vazhoor, Kottayam, Kerala.
 

DOI : http://doi.org/10.32381/NS.2023.06.03.1

Price: 101

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Swami Vivekananda, Hindu Dharma and ‘Social Ethics’ in the Nineteenth Century

By: Harshvardhan Tripathy

Page No : 252-282

Abstract
In nineteenth-century colonial India, Hindu Dharma was attacked by colonial machinery and Christian missionaries for lacking social ethics and morality,with an understanding that Christianity had an ‘inherent and timeless’ social ethic and was concerned with the social upliftment of the poor. This paradigm to criticise Hinduism was also extended to criticise those Hindu intellectuals, especially Swami Vivekananda, who were deliberating over the question of ethics and morality, intending to make Hindu Dharma an agent of social change.These developments in Hindu Dharma were criticised as an outcome of or reaction to Christian social ethics and thereby were declared inauthentic in both colonial and post-colonial periods. By historicising and contextualising the concept of Christian social ethics and morality, this paper debunks the propaganda that concern for the poor and the marginalised was an ‘inherent and timeless’ feature of Christianity.

Author :
Harshvardhan Tripathy is a doctoral candidate at the School of Social Sciences, Jawaharlal Nehru University (JNU), New Delhi, India. His research topic is “The Ramakrishna Math and Mission: Explorations into a ‘Modern’ Religious Movement.
 

DOI : http://doi.org/10.32381/NS.2023.06.03.2

Review Essay
India’s Knowledge Footprints in the World 

By: Arpita Mitra

Page No : 283-294

Author :
Dr. Arpita Mitra is an Assistant Professor, Department of History at the Kazi Nazrul University, Asansol, West Bengal. She is a former Fellow at the Vivekananda International Foundation, New Delhi, where she worked on the history and civilisation of India.
 

Price: 101

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Book Review
The Ancient Roots of Indian Science

By: Arvind Gupta

Page No : 295-298

Author :
Dr. Arvind Gupta is the Director of the Vivekananda International Foundation. He served as the Deputy National Security Advisor, Government of India from 2014 to 2017 and is also former Director of the Institute of Defence Studies and Analyses, New Delhi.
 

Price: 101

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Oct- to Dec-2023

Editor’s Note
Navigating an Uncertain World

By: ..

Page No : i-iv

Essay
Israel and Hamas War 2023: Lessons for India

By: Rakesh Sharma

Page No : 211-219

Author :
Lieutenant General (Retd.) Rakesh Sharma, Ph.D, is currently a Distinguished Fellow with the Vivekananda International Foundation (VIF). He was commissioned in Gorkha Rifles in 1977, and has had a career spanning forty years in the Army.
 

Essay
Russia’s Foreign Policy Concept 2023

By: Arvind Gupta

Page No : 220-234

Author :
Dr. Arvind Gupta is the Director of the Vivekananda International Foundation (VIF). He served as the Deputy National Security Advisor, Government of India from 2014 to 2017 and is also former Director of the Manohar Parrikar Institute for Defence Studies and Analyses, New Delhi.
 

Price: 101

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Article
India and the Artemis Accords: Need to Tread Cautiously

By: Ajey Lele

Page No : 235-251

Abstract
The Artemis Accords refer to a non-binding multilateral arrangement on use of space led by the US and signed onto by several governments. These accords have established a framework of principles, guidelines, and best practices to ensure peaceful space exploration in a transparent manner. India signed the Artemis Accords in June 2023. India becoming a part of these accords is viewed as an important step towards expanding the Indo-US strategic partnership further. However, these accords are in conflict with the concept of Common Heritage of Mankind (CHM). The final aim of the Artemis Programme is to facilitate the outreach of humans to the Moon and Mars. Some provisions in these accords are at variance with the existing norms building process in the space domain. This article identifies the limitations of these accords and argues that as a signatory nation, India needs to remain watchful and ensure that its strategic and commercial interests are well protected.

Author :
Dr. Ajey Lele works as a consultant with Manohar Parrikar Institute for Defence Studies and Analyses (MP-IDSA), New Delhi. His area of research includes strategic technologies and space security. Views expressed over here are personal.
 

DOI : http://doi.org/10.32381/NS.2023.06.04.1

Price: 101

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Article
India and Latin America: Potential Partners in a Changing World

By: Priti Singh

Page No : 252-268

Abstract
India’s relations with Latin America and the Caribbean (LAC) have seen an effective change in the last few years. The change reflects the ‘energetic’ foreign policy of India and its increasing dynamism in global politics. The Latin American and the Caribbean region, so far overlooked by India, is increasingly becoming one of the focal points of its various foreign policy overtures. This article draws attention to the growing significance of the Latin American region for India both in terms of resources and a political-diplomatic partnership. Given the recent setbacks of the pandemic, followed by the Ukraine war and the rising tensions between the United States and China, Latin American countries are looking for strategic partners without aligning themselves with any power. While India has growing relations with some LAC countries and has signed several strategic partnerships, it needs to engage with the region much more. Several economic factors favour an increased engagement. Positive perceptions about India in the region also help.

Author :
Priti Singh is Associate Professor and Chairperson at the Centre for Canadian, US & Latin American Studies, School of International Studies, Jawaharlal Nehru University (JNU), New Delhi.
 

DOI : http://doi.org/10.32381/NS.2023.06.04.2

Price: 101

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Article
US Policy Dilemmas in the Indo-Pacific

By: Chintamani Mahapatra

Page No : 269-282

Abstract
The Biden Administration in the United States is confronted with an acute dilemma in dealing with the rise of China as an assertive, aggressive and ambitious power in the global order. It seeks to preserve the economic benefits of maintaining good relations with China, yet is uncomfortable with the spread of Chinese influence across the world. This policy dilemma is not new for the US foreign policymakers and there are several instances of Washington’s dilemma in dealing with China in the post-World War II period. As the existing superpower United States and aspiring superpower China struggle to manage their relationship, the dilemmas faced by the US are likely to continue deep into the future. The complex interdependence marked by trade and investment relations, complex geopolitical imperatives and the need to prevent conflict escalation makes it difficult for Washington and Beijing to escape policy dilemmas.

Author :
Chintamani Mahapatra is the Founding Chairperson at the Kalinga Institute of Indo-Pacific Studies and a former Professor of Jawaharlal Nehru University (JNU), New Delhi.
 

DOI : http://doi.org/10.32381/NS.2023.06.04.3

Price: 101

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Article
When Realpolitik Triumphs over Uyghur Rights in Xinjiang

By: Sarada Subhash

Page No : 283-310

Abstract
The ongoing human rights violations against the Uyghur ethnic minority, predominantly Turkic speaking Muslims, in the China-ruled Xinjiang region are deeply disturbing. This article is an attempt to situate the persecution, violence and Uyghur concerns in a broader framework that highlights four critical dimensions of this issue. These include, the contrasting narratives about the history of East Turkestan/Xinjiang; understanding the East Turkestan Islamic Movement (ETIM), which China has been portraying as a significant security ‘concern’; highlighting Xinjiang’s geostrategic importance to China vis-à-vis Central, West and South Asia and finally, Washington’s counter-terrorism strategies (post-9/11) which many see as a significant factor in abetting the Uyghur predicament. In short, the article tries to understand if these issues have contributed to aiding or aggravating the continuing Uyghur crisis and via assessing these segments, it shall also try to provide a brief insight into ‘why’ and ‘how’ China is managing to do what it is doing in Xinjiang.

Author :
Sarada Subhash is a Research Scholar with the Vivekananda International Foundation (VIF). She pursues research on Tibet, Xinjiang, and Chinese Foreign Policy. The author is deeply grateful to Prof. Sujit Dutta, an acclaimed China expert, for his invaluable inputs and observations on the article and particularly, the history segments.
 

DOI : http://doi.org/10.32381/NS.2023.06.04.4

Price: 101

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Policy Brief
India’s Naval Engagement with the Pacific Island States

By: Gurpreet S. Khurana

Page No : 311-320

Abstract
As an area where the geostrategic frontiers of most major powers intersect, the south-west Pacific Ocean is likely to be the next arena of major geopolitical contestation in the Indo-Pacific Region. Lately,  India’s  vital interests  have also expanded to this sub-region. This has ushered India’s politico-diplomatic engagement with the Pacific Island Developing States (PIDS) under its policy initiatives like “SAGAR.” The policy brief argues that as New Delhi expands its outreach to PIDS in multiple functional domains like climate change, blue economy and connectivity, the Indian Navy must necessarily be involved beyond its occasional warship port calls. The rationale is driven by various factors. The foremost is the fact that navies are valuable instruments of the nation’s foreign policy. Secondly, the PIDS are in dire need for trusted security partners like India. Thirdly, some of India’s critical military-strategic imperatives vis-à- vis China lie in the south-west Pacific area.

Author :
Captain Gurpreet S. Khurana, Indian Navy (Retd.), Ph.D, has formerly been Directing Staff and Professor at the Naval War College (NWC), Goa and Executive Director at the National Maritime Foundation (NMF), New Delhi.
 

Price: 101

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Jan-2022 to Mar-2022

Editor's Note
Assessing India's Geopolitical Threats

By: Sujit Dutta

Prof. Sujit Dutta
Editor, National Security

Essay
Pakistan’s National Security Policy: Much Pakistan’s National Security Policy: Much Ado About Nothing Ado About Nothing

By: Satish Chandra

Page No : 1-8

Author :
Amb. Satish Chandra served as India’s High Commissioner to Pakistan. He is a former Deputy National Security Advisor and India’s Permanent Representative to the UN Offices in Geneva.

Price: 101

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Essay
A Troubled China and Asia’s Growing Anxiety A Troubled China and Asia’s Growing Anxiety

By: Sujit Dutta

Page No : 9-18

Author :
Sujit Dutta
Sujit Dutta is the Editor of National Security journal and a Distinguished Fellow, Vivekananda International Foundation (VIF).
He was Professor of Peace and Conflict Studies at the Jamia Millia Islamia, Central University, New Delhi, and held the M K Gandhi Chair in peace studies. He is a former Senior Fellow, Institute for Defence Studies and Analyses, New Delhi.

Price: 101

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Essay
The China Dream: Divergence of Direction The China Dream: Divergence of Direction and Destination and Destination.

By: Gautam Banerjee

Page No : 19-31

Author :
Lieutenant General (Retd.) Gautam Banerjee is a former Chief of Staff of Central Command and Commandant of the Officer’s Training Academy, Chennai.
He has written extensively on defence and military strategy. He is a member of the National Security editorial board and a Distinguished Fellow with the Vivekananda International Foundation (VIF).

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Essay
Contours of Escalation in India-China Contours of Escalation in India-China Security Environment

By: Rakesh Sharma

Page No : 32-45

Author : 
Lieutenant General (Retd.) Rakesh Sharma has had a career spanning forty years in the Indian Army.
He has extensive operational experience in Jammu and Kashmir, North-East and on the Western Borders.
He commanded the Fire and Fury Corps in Ladakh responsible for Kargil, Siachen Glacier and Eastern Ladakh – facing both Pakistan and China.
He is currently a Distinguished Fellow with the Vivekananda International Foundation (VIF).

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Essay
Understanding the Actions of the PLA Air Understanding the Actions of the PLA Air Force and Regional Reactions in East Asia Force and Regional Reactions in East Asia

By: Naval Jagota

Page No : 46-54

Author :
Naval Jagota is a Senior Fellow at the Vivekananda International Foundation (VIF).
Previously, he worked as a Research Fellow at IDSA, New Delhi.
His research interests are Strategy and Air Power and all its facets in an Indian context.

Price: 101

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Essay
Emerging Tensions in the Chinese Economy Emerging Tensions in the Chinese Economy

By: Prerna Gandhi

Page No : 55-68

Author :
Prerna Gandhi is an Associate Fellow at the Vivekananda International Foundation (VIF), specialising in East Asia.

Price: 250

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Article
Sinicisation and the Threat of Cultural Sinicisation and the Threat of Cultural Sinicisation and the Threat of Cultural Genocide in Tibet Genocide in Tibet

By: Sarada Subhash

Page No : 69-101

Abstract
The Tibetan people and their distinct national identity have been under constant threat since the invasion and occupation of Tibet by China in 1950-51. To understand the extent and magnitude of atrocities against the non-violent Tibetans by China one needs to grasp China’s state policies/programmes that drive the state-led efforts to erase Tibetan national identity. This article argues that Chinese policies of ‘stability-maintenance’, ‘social management’, ‘political re-education programme’, with Sinicisation at their core, are attempts by the CPC to tighten its domestic security and stability in the country in general and its alienated and restive periphery, in particular. Even the so-called development narrative in the Tibetan region is but a pretext by Xi Jinping’s regime to systematically monitor and control any discontent that may arise amongst the Tibetans against the Chinese state. Xi’s Tibetan ‘development plans’ can also be perceived as a Chinese strategy to buy support with the aim to curb disaffection and ensure social stability.

Author :
Sarada Subhash is a Research scholar with the Vivekananda International Foundation (VIF).
She pursues research on Tibet, China’s Foreign Policy, and World Order. The author is deeply grateful to Prof. Sujit Dutta for his valuable inputs and observations on the paper.

Price: 101

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Article
The Geopolitics of Ethio The Geopolitics of Ethiopian Civil War and pian Civil War and India’s T India’s Task

By: Samir Bhattacharya

Page No : 102-120

Abstract
With the civil war in Ethiopia showing no signs of a closure even after a year, the Ethiopian Government has declared a state of emergency, reflecting the rapid escalation of a metastasizing war. If the Ethiopian belligerents fail to end the war immediately, it will tear the country apart and further destabilize the already volatile Horn of Africa region. While the principal cause of war appears to be the ethnicisation of Ethiopian politics, the genesis of the war can be traced to geopolitics. The construction of the Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam (GERD) on the Nile has created a catch-22 situation where Egypt and Ethiopia are stuck even after multiple rounds of discussions. With the fate of Ethiopia—one of India’s closest partners in Africa -- hanging in a precarious balance, New Delhi needs to press for concerted efforts by the world community to end the ongoing massacre and destruction of the state.

Author :
Samir Bhattacharya is a Research Associate at the Vivekananda International Foundation (VIF) specialising in African studies. He is pursuing a PhD on India-Africa economic relations from the School of International Studies, JNU, New Delhi. In addition to Africa, his research interests include climate politics, international trade and multilateral institutions.

Price: 101

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Book Review
China in the Indian Ocean China in the Indian Ocean

By: Gunjan Singh

Page No : 121-124

Author :
Dr. Gunjan Singh is an Assistant Professor at the Jindal Global Law School, OP Jindal Global University in Sonipat, Haryana. She specialises in Chinese politics and foreign policy.

Price: 101

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Apr-2022 to Jun-2022

Editor’s Note
Sustaining Development in the Times of Climate Warming

By: Sujit Dutta

Author :
Prof. Sujit Dutta
Editor, National Security

Essays
The Peril of Crossing Planetary Boundaries

By: Arvind Gupta

Page No : 125-132

Author :
Dr. Arvind Gupta
Director of Vivekananda International Foundation (VIF).
He served as the Deputy National Security Advisor, Government of India from 2014 to 2017 and is also the former Director of Institute of Defence Studies and Analyses (IDSA), New Delhi.

Price: 101

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Essay
Pathways to Peace and Prosperity through Food Security

By: Bishow Parajuli

Page No : 133-145

Author : 
Bishow Parajuli is the Representative and Country Director of India, United Nations World Food Programme.

Price: 101

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Article
Protection of Environment and Promotion of Development: The Hindu Wisdom of Sustainable Development

By: T. V. Muralivallabhan

Page No : 146-180

Abstract
The Classical and Neo-classical mechanistic economic development models believed in the unlimited supply of natural resources and unlimited economic growth. The practice of these models since the 18 th century has resulted in severe depletion of resources and the degradation of society and the environment. Sustainable development has become the new global slogan for solving the above problems. Protection of the environment while promoting development is the crux of Sustainable Development. It is inclusive of the satisfaction of the needs of the present as well as the future generations. Scientific research, technological innovations, government policies and economic programmes are being adopted to achieve sustainable development at the national and international levels. But the success rate is limited. Scientists are now thinking of a paradigm shift by incorporating religious, cultural, and spiritual traditions and values. India has a rich tradition in environmental protection and development, thanks to her holistic vision and integrated approach realized through the Advaitha principle of Vedanta Philosophy. She could be the torchbearer in the global efforts to achieve sustainable development.

Author :
Dr. T. V. Muralivallabhan is the Director of Marian Institute of Management, Kuttikkanam, Kerala.
He is a former Independent Director of the Public Sector MSTC, Kolkata, and former Principal of NSS college, Vazhoor, Kottayam, Kerala.
An earlier version of the article was presented at the National Conference of the Prjna Pravah, in Kochi, Kerala, in April 2015.
 

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Article
Glasgow Commitments: Implications for India

By: Nitya Nanda

Page No : 181-197

Abstract
India made ambitious commitments on climate mitigation in its first Nationally Determined Contribution (NDC) in 2015 and upgraded it further at the Glasgow summit in 2021. Additionally, it made a commitment to achieve a net-zero emission level by 2070. While some of the NDC commitments may be difficult to realise, particularly due to the current economic situation, it is difficult to comment on the feasibility of the net-zero emission by 2070 as the basis for such a commitment is not known, and it is a long-time horizon, making any prediction difficult. For India, living up to its commitment will not only be determined by its own internal factors and challenges but also by how other major countries perform on their mitigation commitments. Similarly, the implications of the Glasgow summit will not be determined by its own commitments, but the commitments made by others and their follow-up actions

Author :
Prof. Nitya Nanda is Director of the Council for Social Development, a social science think tank based in New Delhi. He works in the areas of international trade and economic relations, industrialization, development and environment issues and has published widely on these issues.

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Article
India’s Energy Transition: The Case for Hydropower

By: PK Khup Hangzo

Page No : 198-214

Abstract
In India, solar and wind have emerged as key components of the country’s strategy for a clean energy future. Although hydropower has historically been the main source of clean and renewable energy in the country, it currently lags solar and wind in terms of deployment. Nonetheless, hydropower has a critical role in hastening India’s clean energy transition and climate change mitigation efforts. Hydropower’s ability to integrate large shares of variable and intermittent renewable energy sources, such as solar and wind, in the country’s electricity system is increasingly important as their penetrations increase. Hydropower installations also provide crucial services like water supply, irrigation, flood protection, and drought mitigation, navigation, tourism, and recreation. Beyond this, it also serves strategic purposes. By alleviating the socio-economic conditions of border villages and communities in the India-Tibetan border regions such as Arunachal Pradesh, hydropower projects can help India consolidate its administration in the remote border regions, and strengthen its security and defence preparedness. However, such projects are inherently challenging and can have adverse environmental and social impacts. But these can be mitigated by adopting new social and environmental safeguards and more robust and cost-effective technological solutions.

Author : 
PK Khup Hangzo is an Associate Fellow at the Vivekananda International Foundation (VIF). Prior to joining VIF, he was an Associate Research Fellow at the Centre for Non-Traditional Security (NTS) at the S. Rajaratnam School of International Studies (RSIS), Singapore. His research interests include India’s border security, the resource dimensions of territorial disputes, and the national security implications of climate change.

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Article
Ending India’s Water Stress: The Road Ahead

By: Heena Samant

Page No : 215-231

Abstract
India is facing water distress in both quality and quantity. This is expected to worsen if urgent all-round remedial measures being taken prove to be inadequate. Water shortages, pollution, overuse and significant wastage, low to no water pricing, floods in monsoon when water is abundant, among others, characterise the prevailing situation in parts of the country. Several factors, such as exponential population growth, rapid urbanisation, industrialisation, antiquated infrastructure, and inadequate water governance, can be credited for this plight. There are major reforms and changes underway that raise hopes for a more secure future. The Government has made ‘water governance’ one of the main priorities in its policies and decisions, and significant advances in overcoming water related challenges are being made. Despite these measures, a crisis could still be inevitable due to the challenges posed by climate change. India needs to make its people conscious of the finite nature of water and the utmost need to avoid waste and overuse. They need to learn to nurture, conserve, reuse, and recycle this invaluable resource of nature.

Author : 
Heena Samant is a Research Assistant with the Vivekananda International Foundation (VIF). She pursues research on climate change and water security issues. She has done her M. Phil in Southeast Asian Studies and Master’s in Politics and International Relations from Jawaharlal Nehru University (JNU), New Delhi.

Price: 101

Africa Watch
Political Crisis in Mali: Uneasy Present, Uncertain Future

By: Samir Bhattacharya

Page No : 232-257

Abstract
The security situation in the West African state of Mali started to deteriorate in 2011 when the separatist group MNLA and Islamists took control of the country’s north and imposed Shariah. Since 2013, France has been the principal security provider against Islamist militants, though US, EU and ECOWAS have also been supporting the Malian national forces. The civilian regime, however, faced growing internal opposition and popular protests, and this led to two back-to back coups by the military in the past two years. Immediately after the second coup in 2021, France decided to pull out its troops from Mali. While many scholars hold climate change responsible for the increasing conflicts in the region, there is little evidence to prove this. Instead, the problem is rooted in the weakness of the State to govern, exercise sovereignty over the entire territory, and provide adequate security to the people. This has led to dependence on external powers. With a heterogeneous mix of Islamists, separatists and ethnic militias fighting both the civilian and military regimes, Mali has become a tinderbox and can explode at any time. Unless France and the international community recalibrate their relationship with Mali, we could witness a repeat of an Afghanistan-like collapse.

Author : 
Samir Bhattacharya is a Research Associate at the Vivekananda International Foundation (VIF), specialising in African studies. He is pursuing a PhD on India-Africa economic relations from the School of International Studies, JNU, New Delhi. In addition to Africa, his research interests include climate politics, international trade and multilateral institutions

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Report
Climate Security in the Bay of Bengal

By: Garima Maheshwari

Page No : 258-262

Author : 
Dr. Garima Maheshwari is an Assistant Professor at the Vivekananda Law School, Vivekananda Institute of Professional Studies (affiliated with Guru Gobind Singh Indraprastha University), New Delhi. She is also a Visiting Fellow at the Institute for Peace and Conflict Studies, New Delhi.

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Book Review
Whither the Arab World?

By: Hirak J. Das

Page No : 263-270

Author : 
Hirak Jyoti Das is a Senior Research Associate at the Vivekananda International Foundation (VIF) and a doctoral candidate at the Centre for West Asian Studies, Jawaharlal Nehru University, New Delhi. His research interests cover India’s Relations with the Gulf states, Domestic Politics & Foreign Policies and Islamic movements in West Asia and North Africa

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Jul-2022 to Sep-2022

Editor’s Note
The Ukraine War and a world in Crisis

By: Sujit Dutta

Author :
Prof. Sujit Dutta
Editor, National Security

Essay
The Russia-Ukraine Conflict and India’s Foreign Policy

By: Arvind Gupta

Page No : 271-277

Author :
Dr. Arvind Gupta is the Director of Vivekananda International Foundation (VIF). He served as the Deputy National Security Advisor, Government of India from 2014 to 2017 and is also the former Director of Institute of Defence Studies and Analyses (IDSA), New Delhi.

Essay
Russia-Ukraine, India-Pakistan: Two Existential Conflicts in Eurasia

By: Andrey Kortunov

Page No : 278-289

Author : 
Dr. Andrey Kortunov is the Director General of the Russian International Affairs Council. He has previously served as Deputy Director of the Institute for US and Canadian Studies. He was founder and first president of the Moscow Public Science Foundation.

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Article
Russia’s Invasion of Ukraine and Security in the Indo-Pacific

By: Tomiko Ichikawa

Page No : 290-304

Abstract
This article analyses the effects of the Russian invasion of Ukraine on the international multilateral security structure and the response of Japan and “like-minded” nation-states. It argues that Russia’s action violates the most fundamental principles of international law and that the world has entered a new era in which the post-Cold War security assumptions no longer hold. Even the foundation of the United Nations-based security architecture is threatened. The invasion and its severe impact on the rules-based order will have major implications for security in the Indo-Pacific where China poses a similar challenge. It calls upon the US and the Quad partners to step up their collaboration to enhance the stability and security in the Indo-Pacific region. In light of the limitations of the Security Council (as demonstrated by the Russian veto), it stresses that India and Japan should strengthen their cooperation on the Security Council reform. It argues that India, the world’s largest democracy, needs to take a firm position against aggression and play a significant role in promoting a rules-based order that respects other nation-states’ territorial integrity and sovereignty.

Author :
Tomiko Ichikawa is the Director General of the Japan Institute of International Affairs (JIIA). She joined the Ministry of Foreign Affairs in 1985. She served as the Director of the West Europe Division, the Economic Integration Division (EU), Economic Policy Division, and the Non-proliferation, Science and Nuclear Energy Division. She has served in the UK and the Permanent Mission of Japan in Vienna.

DOI : http://doi.org/10.32381/NS.2022.05.03.1

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Article
Russian Military Campaign in Ukraine: Prognosis and Impact

By: Rakesh Sharma

Page No : 305-323

Abstract
The Russian invasion of Ukraine has raised many issues regarding war aims, strategy, military operations and the far reaching consequences. Russian policymakers and political hierarchy must have determined that this war is worth fighting for, with all its costs, consequences and ramifications. Since the 2014 annexation of Crimea, war was on the horizon. For the past eight years Ukraine with NATO military support and training, was preparing for it. The concentration of Russian Forces over months prior to the war was also clearly discernible. The invasion underscores that conventional wars are here to stay, and can commence with limited preparations or notice. It has lessons for India which has faced for the past two years large Chinese forces prepared to invade across its northern borders, and a hostile Pakistan allied with China. The nature of warfare is undergoing dramatic transformation. The Indian armed forces should build combat capabilities, train for and prepare for the current threats and an uncertain future in total consonance with the larger political goals, on whose shoulders must ride the current military doctrine and future military strategy.
Author : 
Lieutenant General (Retd.) Rakesh Sharma has extensive operational experience in Jammu and Kashmir, North-East and on the Western Borders. He commanded the Fire and Fury Corps in Ladakh responsible for Kargil, Siachen Glacier and Eastern Ladakh. He is a Distinguished Fellow with the Vivekananda International Foundation (VIF).

DOI : http://doi.org/10.32381/NS.2022.05.03.2

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Article
Southeast Asia and the Ukraine Crisis

By: Vinod Anand

Page No : 324-336

Abstract
It might seem that Southeast Asia is largely unaffected by the ongoing Russia-Ukraine conflict, however, this article opines that it cannot be said that the countries of the region remain isolated from its political and economic implications. The article argues that the impact of the strategic contestation between Russia and the US-led Western alliance in Ukraine and the ongoing US-China rivalry in the Indo-Pacific, are being felt in the existing strategic dynamics in Southeast Asia as in other regions. With China supporting Russia on the Ukraine issue, some of the ASEAN states have become even more concerned about a plausible attempt by Beijing to consolidate its territorial expansion in the South China Sea or invade Taiwan. The regional states are also concerned about the rising costs of the conflict to their trade, tourism and oil dependent economies. The article analyses the varied responses of the regional states to the conflict with Singapore and Myanmar as the two extremes. Most of the other states have taken a middle position of neither supporting nor openly criticising Russia, and have called for a cessation and peaceful resolution of the conflict.
Author : 
Brig. Vinod Anand is a Senior Fellow at the Vivekanand Internation Foundation (VIF), New Delhi. He writes on military and Strategic issues in Asia, with  focus on central Asia and Mymamar. His recent publications include the monographs: Pak-Afgan Equation and Future of Afginasthan and Multi-Vector Politics of the Central Asian Republic and India.

DOI : http://doi.org/10.32381/NS.2022.05.03.3

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Africa Watch
Ukraine Crisis and its Impact on Africa

By: Samir Bhattacharya

Page No : 337-351

Abstract
While the conflict in Ukraine rages and threatens to morph into a wider global war, Africa remains a divided house. Most African countries seem to be wary of taking any partisan position on the Ukraine crisis and are reacting in keeping with their national interests. Nevertheless, the post-pandemic, and the post - Ukraine war world situation would be turbulent for Africa. Public health and the economy in Africa were already suffering from the negative impacts of the pandemic. The ongoing conflict in Ukraine has given rise to fresh challenges that can further stifle the growth and development of the continent. The Russia - Ukraine war has four interrelated dimensions with profound implications for Africa: food, energy, finance and defence. As the deteriorating humanitarian crisis unfolds in Africa, the Western response to the African suffering only exposes its neglect. Instead of supporting Africa to overcome the catastrophic consequences of the pandemic, the food shortage and inflation caused by sanctions, their focus seems to be to counter Russian influence in Africa. The African reaction to the West’s appeal to condemn Russia underlines that sanctions and paternalism are inadequate policies to convince African leaders to change their positions on Russia.
Author : 
Samir Bhatacharya is a Research Associate at the Vivekanand International Foundation (VIF), He specialises in geopolitics with particular reference to Africa. He is pursuing his Doctoral work in the Jawaharlal Nehru University, New Delhi.

DOI : http://doi.org/10.32381/NS.2022.05.03.4

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Book Review
Securing India’s North-East

By: PK Khup Hangzo

Page No : 352-358

Author:
PK Khup Hangzo is an Associate Fellow at the Vivekanand International Foundation (VIF). Prior to joining VIF, h was an Associate Research fellow at the Centre for Non-Traditional Security (NTS) at the S. Rajaratham School of International Studies (RSIS), Singapore. His research interest include India's border security, the resources

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Oct-2022 to Dec-2022

Editor's Note 
India's Moment

By: Sujit Dutta

Page No : i-vii

Essay 
Guiding Principles for India's G20 Presidency

By: Akshay Mathur

Page No : 359-367

Author:
Akshay Mathur is a member of the Indo-Pacific Taskforce at Vivekananda International Foundation. He is currently Edward S. Mason Fellow at Harvard University’s John F. Kennedy School of Government in Boston. He was earlier the Director of the Observer Research Foundation’s centre in Mumbai and the CEO and Director of Research at Gateway House: Indian Council on Global Relations, Mumbai.

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Essay
Technology of Behavior and Success Models : The 10th Man view of National Security

By: Devsena Mishra

Page No : 368-381

Author:
Devsena Mishra promotes advanced technologies, startup ecosystem, and the Indian government’s business and technology-related initiatives. She writes on technology and India’s Security.

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Article
Opportunities and Challenges in India's International Trade

By: V.S. Seshadri

Page No : 382-399

Abstract
The momentum generated by a significant rise in India’s exports in 2021-22 needs to be sustained despite the prevailing geopolitical and geoeconomic tensions. Indian industry also needs to come forward and fully avail of the recent initiatives launched by the government to build a strong and competitive export capacity and address the high level of trade deficit that India currently faces. It will also strengthen the economic security of the nation. For this goal to be realised, however, it is important to secure a conducive international trading framework. India is actively engaged in this task--both multilaterally on WTO reforms and bilaterally with friendly trade partners for concluding Free Trade Agreements (FTAs). Further, India is discussing with its leading trade partner, the United States, several unsettled trade issues. Negotiations are also underway on the different pillars of the Indo-Pacific Economic Framework (IPEF). All these are intricate issues and in some ways interrelated. Some of them may also come up in the G-20 under India’s chairmanship. If successfully handled, all of them could also help buttress India’s export effort.

Author:
Dr. V.S. Seshadri is a former diplomat, and served as India’s Ambassador to Slovenia and Myanmar. He was Joint Secretary (WTO) in the Department of Commerce, Government of India, from 1999 to 2003. At present, he is a Senior Fellow for International Trade at the think-tank Delhi Policy Group, New Delhi.
 

DOI : https://doi.org/10.32381/NS.2022.05.04.1

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Article 
A New Paradigm for Transforming Indian Agriculture

By: Suhas P. Wani , Dhirendra Singh

Page No : 400-418

Abstract
India’s policymakers and farmers have a huge responsibility to make India a developed nation by the 100 th anniversary of freedom and achieving the UN sustainable development goals of zero hunger, nutrition security and overcoming poverty. Ensuring food security for a growing population (estimated at 1.66 billion in 2050), in the context of growing water scarcity, land degradation, impacts of climate change and large yield gaps is a mammoth task. The farmers, agricultural scientists, extension staff, and policy makers have so far done a great job of ensuring food security for the 1.4 billion population. However, given the rising challenges there is an urgent need to use new scientific tools such as ICT, AI, cloud computing, drones, remote sensing for providing integrated and holistic solutions. Using the 4-ISEC model and creating value-chains by strengthening the science of delivery to reach 147 million farmers and promoting collective efforts through Farmer Producer Organisations (FPOs), and enhancing resource use efficiency are necessary steps to achieve India’s farming and food security goals.

Authors:
Suhas P. Wani is a former Director, Research Program Asia and ICRISAT Development Center (IDC), International Crops Research Institute for the Semi-Arid Tropics (ICRISAT). He is currently an International Consultant for the Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO). He has expertise in integrated water resources management, strengthening science of delivery and scaling-up models to benefit millions of farmers. He is a recognised water expert globally.

Dhirendra Singh was the Secretary for Agriculture, Horticulture and Rural Development of Karnataka State. He also served as a World Bank Expert in Kwara State of Nigeria in the field of agricultural administration. He was the Union Home Secretary in 2004-2005 and later a Member of the Commission on Centre State Relations until 2010.
 

DOI : https://doi.org/10.32381/NS.2022.05.04.2

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Article 
Decarbonisation Pathways for the Indian Automobile Sector

By: Atul Sarma , Shyam Sunder

Page No : 419-436

Abstract
The Automotive industry has a central and critical role in achieving India’s ambitious commitments to arrest climate change. This paper discusses India’s commitments together with the development challenges it faces in its green energy mission in the transportation sector with emphasis on Electric Vehicles (EVs). In this connection, the role and efforts of various stakeholders, including, the Central and State Governments and the industry have been critically analysed. The paper emphasises the need for achieving ‘Atmanirbharta’ or self-reliance in the manufacturing of Zero Emission Vehicles and their critical components, as well as significantly boosting domestic R&D to successfully achieve the goals.

Authors:
Atul Sarma is former Head and Professor of Economics, Indian Statistical Institute, Delhi Centre.
Shyam Sunder is working with a leading Indian Corporate enterprise.
 

DOI : https://doi.org/10.32381/NS.2022.05.04.3

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Book Review
Western Academia's Toxic Hinduphobia

By: Arvind Gupta

Page No : 437-441

Author:
Arvind Gupta is the Director of the Vivekananda International Foundation (VIF). He served as the Deputy National Security Advisor, Government of India from 2014 to 2017 and is also the former Director of Institute of Defence Studies and Analyses (IDSA), New Delhi.

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Book Review
An Astute Perspective on Ties with China 

By: Gunjan Singh

Page No : 442-446

Author:
Dr. Gunjan Singh is an Assistant Professor at the OP Jindal Global University, Sonipat, Haryana
 

Price: 101

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Jan-2021 to Mar-2021

Essays
Rescuing the Nation from History: Implications of Indian Historiography for National Security

By: Arpita Mitra

Page No : 1-14

Author : 
Dr. Arpita Mitra is a Research Fellow at the Vivekananda International Foundation, New Delhi. She is the guest editor of the current issue of National Security

Price: 101

Essay
The Early Concept of Bharatavarsha

By: Rupendra Kumar Chattopadhyay , Arkaprava Sarkar

Page No : 15-22

Authors : 
Prof. Rupendra Kumar Chattopadhyay is Vivekananda Chair Professor of Social Science at the University of Calcutta.

Arkaprava Sarkar is Research Associate in the project work under Prof. Rupendra K Chattopadhyay

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Essay
Reimagining Multilateralism : The Ethos and Philosophy of Vasudhaiva Kutumbakam

By: Arvind Gupta

Page No : 23-28

Author : 
Dr. Arvind Gupta is Director, Vivekananda International Foundation and former Deputy National Security Advisor, Government of India

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Articles
Nationalism in the Study of Ancient Indian History

By: Dilip K. Chakrabarti

Page No : 29-50

Author :
Dilip K. Chakrabarti, is Professor Emeritus of South Asian Archaeology at the University of Cambridge, and Distinguished Fellow at VIF. The theme of the article has been elaborated in Dilip K. Chakrabarti, Nationalism in the Study of Ancient Indian History, Delhi: Aryan Books International, 2021.

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Article
How the Ancient Indian Vina Travelled to Other Asian Countries: A Reconstruction though Scriptures, Sculptures, Paintings and Living Traditions

By: Piyal Bhattacharya , Shreetama Chowdhury

Page No : 51-72

Abstract
Indian music before the 10th century AD was of a kind which we may today even find difficult to understand, because we are no longer familiar with the nuances of that tradition. The original forms of the musical instruments used during that time have also virtually disappeared from mainstream India. But these instruments can be found more or less in their original form outside India in South East Asia. These instruments travelled out of India to these countries due to historical reasons. This essay brings forth research that help us reconstruct the journey of the ancient Indian String instruments (the Harp, the Tube Zither and the Stick Zither) from their original form to their highly developed modern form, and in that process, demonstrates how India was the fountainhead of foundational theories upon which classical string instruments have developed in various cultures outside India, especially Myanmar and Cambodia.

Author : 
Kalamandalam Piyal Bhattacharya is an artist, scholar, and Founder and Director of Chidakash Kalalay in Kolkata. He is known for his work on Marga Natya, a research-based reconstruction and practice of the performance system of the Natyashastra.

Shreetama Chowdhury is a student under Piyal Bhattacharya ; she is receiving training in Marga Natya, musicology, and vocal training in Dhrupad under him.

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Article
Potential of Geospatial Technologies as a Cognitive and Spatio-visual tool for Mapping the Past

By: M B Rajani , Shalini Dixit

Page No : 73-92

Abstract
A Major challenge in understanding the past is that it is not available for exploration at present. The sections of history that deal with geographical associates of human endeavours also pose a challenge to the readers and learners about the scale and experience of a past landscape. Despite the cognitive and reasoning capabilities of individuals, views of an entire landscape cannot be achieved by normal eye view. Geospatial technologies provide immense potential for accessing historical landscape and past realities. The tools are helpful in twin ways. Firstly, they enable learners to understand the existing information about landscape by providing synoptic and 3D Views through interactive visualisation tools. Secondly, they enable researchers to look for clues to the past settlements in a landscape in ways that are not otherwise possible, i.e. "see" through infrared lens and integrate evidence gained from observations made across different times. The present paper discusses some of these advantages that we gain by applying gospatial technologies to normal human perceptions.

Authors :
Dr. M B Rajani is an Associate Professor in the School of Humanities, National Institute of Advanced Studies, Bengaluru.

Dr. Shalini Dixit is an Assistant Professor in the School of Social Sciences, National Institute of Advanced Studies, Bengaluru.

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Book Reviews
Kautilya’s Arthashastra: Fusion of the Philosophical and the Strategic

By: Kajari Kamal

Page No : 93-96

Author :
Dr. Kajari Kamal is a faculty member of the Strategic Studies Programme, Takshashila Institution, Bangalore.

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Book Review
Comparing India and China, but not without Western biases

By: Abanti Bhattacharya

Page No : 97-102

Author :
Dr. Abanti Bhattacharya is Associate Professor at the Department of East Asian Studies, University of Delhi.

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Apr-2021 to Jun-2021

Essay
The Contours of Biden’s Foreign-Policy

By: Arvind Gupta

Page No : 103-109

Author :

Dr. Arvind Gupta is the Director of the Vivekananda International Foundation. He served as the Deputy National Security Advisor, Government of India from 2014 to 2017 and is also former Director of the Institute of Defence Studies and Analyses, New Delhi.

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Essay

Re-energising Indo-US Defence Technology Cooperation

By: S. Guruprasad

Page No : 110-113

Author :

Dr. S. Guruprasad, is a former Director General and Distinguished Scientist of the Defence Research and Development Organisation (DRDO). He Co-Chaired the India-USA Joint Technology Group that made significant progress during his tenure.

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Essay

The Wrinkle in US-India Strategic Alignment

By: Walter Lohman

Page No : 114-117

Author :

Walter Lohman has been Director of The Heritage Foundation’s Asian Studies Center for 14 years. He is also an adjunct Associated Professor at Georgetown University, Washington D.C, where he has taught graduate seminars for nine years on US policy on Southeast Asia as well as Congress’ role in Asia policy. Before coming to Heritage, Lohman worked on Capitol Hill for Senator John McCain and the Senate Foreign Relations Committee and served as Executive Director of the US-ASEAN Business Council, Inc.

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Essay

India and the Biden Administration

By: Kanwal Sibal

Page No : 118-125

Author : 

Ambassador Kanwal Sibal is former Indian Foreign Secretary and a Distinguished Fellow of the VIF

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Article
An Agenda For India-US Relations in a Biden Presidency

By: Arun K. Singh

Page No : 126-138

Abstract

The Biden administration has prioritized dealing with the pandemic, reviving the US economy, addressing systemic racism in US society, and responding to the challenge of climate change. To reduce the influence of the Trump constituency within, and that of China globally, it has also reiterated support for consolidating democratic norms and institutions and declared “America is back” in its international engagements and striving for leadership. Building on the bipartisan support for India in the US since 2000, and Biden’s own personal efforts in the past, the focus of the new US administration suggests a potentially active agenda for consolidating the relationship over the next four years: on climate, Indo- Pacific, Quad, trade, investment, defence cooperation, and addressing global challenges including that of terrorism. Both would need to manage inevitable differences on Russia, and possibly on Iran and Afghanistan/ Pakistan.

Author :

Arun K. Singh was India’s Ambassador to the United States in 2015-16 and France in 2013-15. He is currently a Senior Fellow at the Asia Program of the German Marshall Fund of the United States, Washington DC. He is a well-known expert on Indo-US relations.

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Article

Prospects of India-US Defence Cooperation

By: Anil Ahuja

Page No : 139-153

Abstract 

In the years since Biden was last in office the geopolitical focus has transitioned from Euro-Atlantic to the Indo-Pacific. The US approach over the years has been to support India’s emergence as a strong pillar of regional stability. For India, the US is a major security partner, relied upon for capability development. Mutual convergence now transcends across political divide in both countries. The positive trajectory of defence and security relations however cannot be taken for granted. Some serious questions confront both sides: whether the defence and security component will be kept reasonably insulated from other contentious bilateral issues. How would the India-US-Russia relationship be balanced? How would India balance the imperatives of defence along disputed land borders with the vision of its role in the Indian Ocean? How transactional would the Indo-US relationship be? The paper suggests nuanced consideration of issues of divergence. The trend of India-US relations remains positive. It requires a review and reinvestment rather than any major reset- which however is imperative.

Author :

Lt Gen Anil Ahuja (Retd) is a Distinguished Fellow at the VIF. He is a former Corps Commander and Deputy Chief of Integrated Defence Staff for Policy Planning and Force Development. He has been the Co-Chair of India – US Inter Agency Task Force on Defence Technology and Trade Initiative (DTTI). He has also served as India’s Defence Attaché to Vietnam, Cambodia and Laos.

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Article

Biden Administration and the Indo-Pacific Axis

By: K.P. Vijayalakshmi

Page No : 154-168

Abstract

More than ten years since the “Indo-Pacific” was added to the geopolitical lexicon, the region has continued to receive elevated global attention while also witnessing a transformed relationship between the US and India. The Trump administration reconstructed US strategy in the Indian Ocean region, broadening both its scope and concept, and positioned the Quad countries and especially India at the centre of its plans. The change in US leadership has raised questions about continued American commitment. Biden administration, however, has positively signalled not only towards building and maintaining the momentum vis-à-vis the Indo Pacific but also coordinating closely with its regional allies/ key partners like India. This paper analyses the evolution of the US’ Indo Pacific Strategy, its approach towards China as it moved from an ‘engage but hedge’ to ‘compete, counter and confront’ policy and the possible motivations of US engagement towards a strategic alignment that will consolidate momentum on an Indo-Pacific Axis.

Author :

K.P. Vijayalakshmi, is Professor of US Studies, Centre for Canadian, US & Latin American Studies, School of International Studies, JNU, New Delhi. She is Senior Fulbright scholar, Salzburg Fellow, Adjunct Faculty (NIAS), Bengaluru.

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Article

The United States And India: A Digital Partnership in Need of a Strategy

By: Arjun Kang Joseph , Rudra Chaudhuri

Page No : 169-182

Abstract 

India-US relations have transformed in the last two decades. The defence and strategic partnership remains the silver-lining in an equation increasingly shaped by the rise and bellicosity of China. Yet, there is another aspect of this relationship that has been largely neglected: the need to bridge growing divergences in each countries’ approach to the digital economy. This paper outlines these divergences and suggests ways forward. It makes the case that the differences, at the tactical level, requires an investment at the strategic level to make the best of the future of digital ties. In particular, the paper lays down the reasoning to invest in what might be called the Next Steps in Technological Partnerships, just like India and the United States invested in the Next Steps in Strategic Partnership more than a decade ago. The latter had a telling impact on the growth of India-US defence ties. There is no reason why the former cannot have the same effect as far as digital ties are concerned.

Author :

Arjun Kang Joseph is a research analyst with the Technology and Society Program at the Carnegie India. His research focuses on data, privacy and the intersection of health and technology. Rudra Chaudhuri is the director of Carnegie India. His primary research interests include the diplomatic history of South Asia and contemporary security issues.

Price: 101

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Book Review
Combating China’s Political Warfare: An American Analysis

By: Satish Chandra

Page No : 183-191

Author :

Amb. Satish Chandra served as India’s Permanent Representative to the UN Offices in Geneva and later as High Commissioner to Pakistan He is a former Deputy National Security Advisor and headed the National Security Council Secretariat.

Price: 101

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Jul-2021 to Sep-2021

Article
Belt and Road at the Cross-Roads: Imperial Ambitions and Blowback

By: Sujit Dutta

Page No : 193-228

Abstract
China’s plan to construct the continental Economic Belt across Eurasia and a Maritime Silk Road that extends through the Pacific and the Indian Oceans under the Belt and Road Initiative (the BRI), has over the past eight years expanded to nearly 70 countries. Under the plan China has been engaged in providing large loans for connecting and integrating these countries with China’s economy through cross-border roads, railways, ports, digital networks and spacebased satellite communications. It is the clearest expression of China’s grand strategy to create a China-centric Eurasian and Indo-Pacific order, with a new set of governance norms, institutions, technical standards, and politico-economic architecture. The plan also entails the internationalisation of the Renminbi and sustains China dominated global supply chains. The BRI is aimed to advance China’s economic, political and security interests. It is paving the way for the PLA to extend its regional and global presence to protect growing Chinese interests and assets abroad. It has the potential to expand China’s strategic space on land and the seas far beyond its borders. The plan, however, is facing growing criticism and opposition for its lack of transparency, imposing unsustainable debt burdens on fragile economies, and replicating a neo-colonial strategy. While Chinese loans are proposed to meet infrastructural needs in the developing world, a series of Chinese dependencies are being created with wide strategic ramifications.

Author :
Sujit Dutta is the Editor of National Security journal and a Distinguished Fellow of the VIF. He was Professor of Peace and Conflict Studies at the Jamia Millia Islamia, Central University, New Delhi, and held the M K Gandhi Chair in peace studies. He was earlier a Senior Fellow at the Institute of Defence Studies and Analyses, New Delhi.

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Article
Periphery, Vulnerability and the Belt and Road Initiative

By: Abanti Bhattacharya

Page No : 229-254

Abstract 
This study explores the link between China’s Belt and Road Initiative and its periphery policy and thereby demonstrates the salience of periphery in Chinese foreign policy. Contextualising the BRI in a periphery policy enables us to not only understand the rationale for China’s gigantic intercontinental connectivity network but to also explain why Chinese foreign policy is emblematic of boundary reinforcing ends and territorial fetishism. In fact, China’s periphery policy is rooted in vulnerability both historically as well as in the modern times. This vulnerability has shaped its current response under Xi Jinping in terms of BRI. And therefore, the BRI is intended to address the issue of insecurity and help China establish its global preponderance. This makes China inherently aggressive and belligerent.

Author :
Abanti Bhattacharaya is Professor of Chinese studies at the Department of East Asian Studies, Delhi University.

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Article
China Pakistan Economic Corridor: Domestic Trajectory and Contested Geopolitics

By: Prateek Joshi

Page No : 255-276

Abstract 
The China Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC) completes six years in 2021. This article analyses its physical progress, the changes in the civil-military ties and the emerging structural impact on Pakistan’s various economic sectors. Besides the continuing opacity in the project details, it is also observed that Pakistan’s power, telecom and connectivity infrastructure commands greater control than ever before from the Chinese corporations. With Pakistan occupying a greater centrality in regional geopolitics, the article also contextualizes CPEC in the tight ropewalk Islamabad traverses between Beijing and Washington in its attempts to balance Chinese inroads with its dependence on the IMF’s bailouts.

Author : 
Prateek Joshi is a Dphil candidate researching on India’s Foreign Policy at St. Antony’s College, University of Oxford. He has also done extensive research and written on developments in Pakistan.

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Article
Bangladesh and Belt Road Initiative: Unfolding Possibilities

By: Sreeradha Datta

Page No : 277-295

Abstract 
Bangladesh has maintained close relations with China over the past four decades. The bilateral cooperation with China straddles a wide spectrum of activities, including a series of infrastructure projects. Thus, when China decided to map out its One Belt and Road network of transport corridors it would have counted on Bangladesh to join the network. Given China’s growing interest in the region its invitation to the South Asian states to join its BRI project was inevitable, and Bangladesh’s positive response was a continual of the ongoing trends. Beyond creating large scale infrastructures for transport and energy sectors, BRI also provides opportunities for further engagements with governments, private sector and civil society entities as well as think tanks and academia. However, despite excitement about the MOUs signed during President Xi’s visit to Dhaka in 2016, the number of projects that have been initiated or under consideration presently are not too many.

Author :
Dr. Sreeradha Datta is the Centre Head and Senior Fellow for Neighbourhood Studies at the Vivekananda International Foundation.

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Article
The China Myanmar Economic Corridor: A Reality Check

By: Jaideep Chanda

Page No : 296-332

Abstract 
This paper traces the evolution of the proposed China-Myanmar Economic Corridor (CMEC) and identifies the deliverables as gleaned from the BRI Fora. It gleans information on the components and scope of the CMEC from newspaper reports, documents signed, and statements made, especially during Xi Jinping’s January 2020 visit to Myanmar and other open sources. The paper looks at the status of the Myanmar-China Oil and Gas Pipelines, which predate the BRI but has now got subsumed into it. The paper dwells on the Chinese concept of ‘guanxi’ and the reciprocal Myanmar concept of ‘ah nar de’ to understand how China seeks to obligate Myanmar into providing access to the Bay of Bengal. It argues that the Chinese strategy in Myanmar has changed post the Myitsone project debacle and that China has re-packaged the BRI to make it more acceptable. Lastly, it proposes a three-pronged strategy for India to become a preferred partner in Myanmar’s journey towards development, thereby securing its own flank.

Author :
Jaideep Chanda was Senior Fellow (August 2019 - July 2020) with the VIF and specialises on terrorism, insurgency in the North East, India-Myanmar relations and National Security Studies.

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Book Review
A Sensitive Account of the Brave Gurkhas

By: Arvind Gupta

Page No : 333-338

Author :
Dr. Arvind Gupta is the Director of the Vivekananda International Foundation. He served as the Deputy National Security Advisor, Government of India from 2014 to 2017 and is also former Director of the Institute of Defence Studies and Analyses, New Delhi.

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Book Review
Preparing for the 21st Century Battles

By: P. K. Chakravorty

Page No : 339-349

Author :
Major General (Dr.) P. K. Chakravorty, VSM, retd. is a Senior Fellow at the Centre for Land Warfare Studies (CLAWS), New Delhi.

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Oct-2021 to Dec-2021

Editor’s Note
The Gathering Storm

By: Sujit Dutta

 

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Essay
Afghanistan: The Taliban Takeover and its Strategic Fallout

By: Gautam Mukhopadhaya

Page No : 345-357

Author :
Gautam Mukhopadhaya has been Ambassador of India to Afghanistan, Syria and Myanmar. He has also worked at the Headquarters of the United Nations in New York as a Consultant on Social Development.

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Eassy
Utopia and Desire: Biden’s Retreat from Afghanistan

By: Umberto Sulpasso

Page No : 358-362

Author :
Prof. Umberto Sulpasso is a Senior Fellow at the Center for The Digital Future, USC Annenberg School, Los Angeles.

 

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Essay
What Does the Chinaman Think?

By: Gautam Banerjee

Page No : 363-373

Author :
Lieutenant General (Retd.) Gautam Banerjee, PVSM, AVSM, YSM is a former Chief of Staff of Central Command and Commandant of the Officer’s Training Academy, Chennai. He has written extensively on defence and military strategy. He is a member of the National Security editorial board at the Vivekananda International Foundation (VIF).

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Eassy
Technology Ecosystem & National Security

By: B.M. Suri

Page No : 374 - 381

Author :
B.M. Suri is a leading Indian physicist who has made pioneering contributions in the field of laser spectroscopy and nuclear technology at the Bhabha Atomic Research Centre (BARC), Mumbai. He is a member of several advisory councils of the government.

 

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Article
Terror Financing in Kashmir

By: Abhinav Pandya

Page No : 382-399

Abstract
This paper is an analysis of terror financing in Jammu and Kashmir based on the author’s research and fieldwork in the past five years in this sensitive border State. To sustain and fund its proxy war in Kashmir valley, over the last three decades, Pakistan has created a complex, multi-layered and networked terror financing system with distinct characteristics not obtained in the other conflict theatres. The novel features of raising money include illegal funds raised from allocating medical, engineering, and other higher education seats in Pakistan and other countries, Haj tours and travels, LoC cross-border trade, and Jamaat-i-Islami funding networks. Separatist and extremist entities, including the officers and politicians with dubious loyalties and the separatist media, also raise money through local State government sources. Terror funding is utilized for various ends like running terrorist organizations, extremist religious entities, separatist media, stone-pelting, funding Hurriyat and mainstream political parties, and funding social media and intellectual narratives. India’s counter-terror financing efforts received a fillip with the formation of National Investigation Agency (NIA) in 2009. Over the last five years, NIA has launched a massive crackdown on terror funding which has given a significant blow to Pakistan’s three-decade-old investment.

Author :
Abhinav Pandya is the founder and CEO of Usanas Foundation, a security and foreign policy think-tank, and the author of Radicalisation in India: An Exploration, Pentagon, 2019.

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Article
Reality of Democracy in India: Contesting False Western Narrative

By: A. Surya Prakash

Page No : 400-426

Abstract
India’s constitutional values and democratic traditions have come under severe and concerted attack from various Western institutions, including research organisations, think-tanks, NGOs, and government established commissions, especially since early 2020. Among them are Varieties of Democracy (V-Dem), Reporters Without Borders (RSF), Freedom House, and the United States Commission on International Religious Freedom (USCIRF). After an in-depth analysis of these reports, the question that arises is on what basis have they arrived at such assessments? Are the authors of these reports apprised of the Indian Constitution, and have they done adequate research on its working? Also pertinent are queries such as: have they looked at the elements which are non-negotiable for a country to be categorised as a ‘democracy’, and have these researchers compared the Indian Constitution and its working with the constitutions of other nation-states which they place above India? This article seeks to answer these questions.

Author :
A. Surya Prakash is former Chairman, Prasar Bharati, India’s public service broadcaster. He specialises in Constitutional and parliamentary studies. He is the author of What Ails Indian Parliament, published by Harper Collins, 1995, and The Emergency -Indian Democracy’s Darkest Hour, 2017.

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Article
The Great Western Social Churn: India Caught in the Crossshairs

By: Abhijit Iyer-Mitra

Page No : 427-440

Abstract
India is in the crosshairs of literally every liberal publication of the western world. Its democracy is described as eroding and it is generally portrayed as slowly but inexorably moving towards fascism. This is despite the fact that press criticism of the government has never been sharper or more vocal, and that the head of state and head of government come from two historically underprivileged castes - a Dalit and an Other Backward Caste (OBC). This is also despite the fact that this government has done more to protect women’s rights, spent more money on religious minority scholarships and afforded more welfare schemes bringing basic amenities like electricity and toilets to every Indian. While it is easy to see this as a conspiracy, it is much easier explained by sociological and political trends in the West. India needs to understand and counter these socio-political trends rather than simply feel sorry about conspiracies.

Author :
Abhijit Iyer-Mitra is a Senior Fellow at the Nuclear Security Programme of the Institute of Peace and Conflict Studies, New Delhi. A defence economist by training he focuses on the intersectionality of policy from historical, anthropological & economic perspectives.

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Article
Intelligence and Big Tech

By: Devsena Mishra

Page No : 441-451

Author :
Devsena Mishra is a promoter of advanced technologiesand startup ecosystem. She is engaged in the government’s business and technology related initiatives.

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Policy Brief
Roadmap for India’s Dominance in Global Shipbuilding

By: Bhaskar Sengupta , Shantanu Bose

Page No : 452-477

Abstract
India has demonstrated her prowess in cutting edge technology, be it pharma, information technology or automobile industry. So why has the maritime industry and shipbuilding -- which has the potential to be the highest employment creator industry -- fallen by the wayside? While merchant shipbuilding in the country has been moribund, our Naval shipbuilding has come of age with the delivery of “State of the Art” Stealth Frigates and Corvettes and the maiden sailing of the Aircraft Carrier recently. It is not widely known that of the three services that comprise India’s Armed Forces, the Navy is at the forefront of indigenising its equipment/requirements. While the Naval shipbuilding ecosystem is not bereft of challenges, it provides a perspective to the issues plaguing the larger maritime construct of the country. A composite national approach that encompasses intellectual property creation, large production runs(scale), standardisation, and a strong Make in India thrust are the building blocks of a robust shipbuilding ecosystem which will ultimately take India to global dominance in shipbuilding.

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Book Review
Indus Basin Uninterrupted

By: Satish Chandra

Page No : 478-493

Author :

Amb. Satish Chandra served as India’s Permanent Representative to the UN Offices in Geneva and later as High Commissioner to Pakistan. He is a former Deputy National Security Advisor and headed the National Security Council Secretariat.

Price: 500

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Book Review

Educational Reforms in Saudi Arabia

By: Hirak J. Das

Page No : 494-499

Author : 

Hirak Jyoti Das is a Research Associate at the Vivekananda International Foundation and a doctoral candidate at the Centre for West Asian Studies, Jawaharlal Nehru University, New Delhi. His research interests cover India’s Relations with the Gulf states, Domestic Politics & Foreign Policies and Islamic movements in West Asia and North Africa.

Price: 500

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