Skip to main content
Log in

Ice-thermal Regime of Lake Baikal under Conditions of Modern Warming (1950–2017)

  • Published:
Russian Meteorology and Hydrology Aims and scope Submit manuscript

Abstract

The impact of modern climate change on lakes is one of the most relevant problems in the field of limnology. For Lake Baikal this impact is manifested in the change in abiotic characteristics of the lake ecosystem. It is shown that the pattern of modern climate change in the Baikal region includes both the “secular” warming trend and the intrasecular variations which exceed this trend in the scale and may be caused by atmospheric circulation. The effect of atmospheric circulation is associated with the physiographic characteristics of separate parts of the lake and its watershed. The influence of changes in atmospheric circulation on the ice and thermal regime of Lake Baikal is analyzed for the period of 1950–2017 for which objective analysis data on the large-scale atmospheric circulation in the Northern Hemisphere are available.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this article

Price excludes VAT (USA)
Tax calculation will be finalised during checkout.

Instant access to the full article PDF.

Similar content being viewed by others

References

  1. V. I. Verbolov, V. M. Sokol’nikov, and M. N. Shimaraev, Hydrometeorological Regime and Heat Budget of Lake Baikal. (Nauka, Moscow, 1965) [in Russian].

    Google Scholar 

  2. Second Roshydromet Assessment Report on Climate Change and Its Consequences in the Russian Federation, https://doi.org/downloads.igce.ru/publications/OD_2_2014/v2014/pdf/resume_teh.pdf (Accessed on April 3, 2019).

  3. L. E. Nazarova, Variability of Hydrological Characteristics in Lake Onega Catchment under the Influence of Climate Impacts. (Institut Vodnykh Problem Severa KarNTs RAN, Petrozavodsk, 2008) [in Russian].

    Google Scholar 

  4. L. N. Sizova, Variability of Hydrological Processes in Lake Baikal and Atmospheric Circulation. (Institut Geografii RAN, Moscow, 2017) [in Russian].

    Google Scholar 

  5. U.S. Climate Prediction Center (NOAA), https://doi.org/www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/ (Accessed on February 15, 2019).

  6. M. N. Shimaraev, “Influence of the North Atlantic Oscillation on Ice-thermal Processes in Lake Baikal,” Dokl. Akad. Nauk, No. 3, 423 (2008) [Dokl. Earth Sci., No. 9, 423 (2008)].

    Article  Google Scholar 

  7. M. N. Shimaraev, “Circulation Factors of Changes in the Ice-thermal Regime of Lake Baikal,” Geografiya i Prirodnye Resursy, No. 4 (2007) [in Russian].

  8. M. N. Shimaraev, L. N. Kuimova, V. N. Sinyukovich, and V. V. Tsekhanovskii, “Climate and Hydrological Processes in Lake Baikal in the 20th Century,” Meteorol. Gidrol., No. 3 (2002) [Russ. Meteorol. Hydrol., No. 3 (2002)].

  9. Climatic Change and Global Warming of Inland Waters: Impacts and Mitigation for Ecosystems and Societies, Ed. by Ch. R. Goldman, M. Kumagai, and R. Robarts (Wiley-Blackwell, 2012).

  10. S. E. Hampton, L. R. Izmest’eva, M. V. Moore, S. L. Katz, B. Dennis, and E. A. Silov, “Sixty Years of Environmental Change in the World’s Largest Freshwater Lake: Lake Baikal, Siberia,” Global Change Biol., 14 (2008).

    Article  Google Scholar 

  11. J. W. Hurrell, “Decadal Trends in the North Atlantic Oscillation: Regional Temperatures and Precipitation,” Science, 269 (1995).

    Article  Google Scholar 

  12. IPCC, 2013: Climate Change 2013: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, Ed. by T. F. Stocker, D. Qin, G.-K. Plattner, M. Tignor, S. K. Allen, J. Doschung, A. Nauels, Y. Xia, V. Bex, and P. M. Midgley (Cambridge Univ. Press, Cambridge, UK and New York, NY, USA, 2013).

    Google Scholar 

  13. M. J. Kainz, R. Ptacnik, S. Rasconi, and H. H. Hager, “Irregular Changes in Lake Surface Temperature and Ice Cover in Subalpine Lake Lunz, Austria,” Inland Waters, No. 1, 7 (2017).

    Article  Google Scholar 

  14. S. L. Katz, S. E. Hampton, L. R. Izmest’eva, and M. V. Moore, “Influence of Long-distance Climate Teleconnection on Seasonality of Water Temperature in the World’s Largest Lake: Lake Baikal, Siberia,” PLoS ONE, 6 (2011).

  15. A. V. Kouraev, S. V. Semovski, M. N. Shimaraev, N. M. Mognard, B. Legresy, and F. Remy, “The Ice Regime of Lake Baikal from Historical and Satellite Data: Relation to Air Temperature, Dynamical, and Other Factors,” Limnol. Oceanogr., No. 3, 52 (2007).

    Article  Google Scholar 

  16. D. M. Living stone, “Ice Break-up on Southern Lake Baikal and Its Relationship to Local and Regional Air Temperatures in Siberia and to the North Atlantic Oscillation,” Limnol. Oceanogr., No. 6, 44 (1999).

  17. M. R. Magee, Ch. H. Wu, D. M. Robertson, R. C. Lathrop, and D. P. Hamilton, “Trends and Abrupt Changes in 104 Years of Ice Cover and Water Temperature in a Dimictic Lake in Response to Air Temperature, Wind Speed, and Water Clarity Drivers,” Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 20 (2016).

    Article  Google Scholar 

  18. J. J. Magnuson, D. M. Robertson, B. J. Benson, R. H. Wynne, D. M. Living stone, T. Arai, R. A. Assel, R. G. Barry, V. V. Card, E. Kuusisto, N. G. Granin, T. D. Prowse, K. M. Stewart, and V. S. Vuglinski, “Historical Trends in Lake and River Ice Cover in the Northern Hemisphere,” Science, 289 (2000).

    Article  Google Scholar 

  19. M. C. Todd and A. W. Mackay, “Large-scale Climate Controls on Lake Baikal Ice Cover,” J. Climate, 16 (2003).

    Article  Google Scholar 

  20. W. F. Vincent, “Effects of Climate Change on Lakes,” in Encyclopedia of Inland Waters, Ed. by G. E. Likens (Elsevier, Amsterdam, Boston, 2009).

    Google Scholar 

Download references

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Corresponding author

Correspondence to M. N. Shimaraev.

Additional information

Russian Text © The Author(s), 2019, published in Meteorologiya i Gidrologiya, 2019, No. 10, pp. 67–76.

Funding

The research was performed in the framework of the state task of Limnological Institute of Siberian Branch of Russian Academy of Sciences (0345-2019-0008).

About this article

Check for updates. Verify currency and authenticity via CrossMark

Cite this article

Shimaraev, M.N., Sizova, L.N., Troitskaya, E.S. et al. Ice-thermal Regime of Lake Baikal under Conditions of Modern Warming (1950–2017). Russ. Meteorol. Hydrol. 44, 679–686 (2019). https://doi.org/10.3103/S1068373919100066

Download citation

  • Received:

  • Revised:

  • Accepted:

  • Published:

  • Issue Date:

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.3103/S1068373919100066

Keywords

Navigation