Skip to main content
Log in

Testing of a New GMPE Model in Probabilistic Seismic Hazard Analysis for the Sakhalin Region

  • Published:
Seismic Instruments Aims and scope Submit manuscript

Abstract

The study focuses on improving the methodology and technology of detailed seismic zoning of the Sakhalin region and adjacent areas. A new regional GMPE (ground motion prediction equation) model derived from instrumental data of accelerometer and seismometer networks are considered, as well as imported new-generation advanced (NGA 2) models. The results of probabilistic seismic hazard analysis (PSHA) for Yuzhno-Sakhalinsk has made it possible to compare the hazard curves of physical parameters produced by different attenuation models. The advantages and disadvantages of the regional GMPE model are discussed based on this comparison. Practical recommendations are given.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this article

Price excludes VAT (USA)
Tax calculation will be finalised during checkout.

Instant access to the full article PDF.

Fig. 1.
Fig. 2.
Fig. 3.
Fig. 4.
Fig. 5.

Similar content being viewed by others

REFERENCES

  1. Abrahamson, N.A. and Silva, W., Summary of the Abrahamson & Silva NGA ground-motion relations, Earthquake Spectra, 2008, vol. 24, no. 1, pp. 67–97.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  2. Abrahamson, N.A., Silva, W.J., and Kamai, R., Summary of the ASK14 ground motion relation for active crustal regions, Earthquake Spectra, 2014, vol. 30, no. 3, pp. 1025–1055. https://doi.org/10.1193/070913EQS198M

    Article  Google Scholar 

  3. Aguilar-Meléndez, A., Ordaz Schroeder, M.G., De la Puente, J., González Rocha, S.N., Rodriguez Lozoya, H.E., Córdova Ceballos, A., García Elías, A., Calderón Ramón, C.M., Escalante Martínez, J.E., Laguna Camacho, J.R., and Campos Rios, A., Development and validation of software CRISIS to perform probabilistic seismic hazard assessment with emphasis on the recent CRISIS2015, Comput. Sist., 2017, vol. 21, no. 1, pp. 67–90.

    Google Scholar 

  4. Aleshin, A.S., Kontinual’naya teoriya seismicheskogo mikroraionirovaniya (Continuum Theory of Seismic Microzoning), Moscow: Nauchnyi mir, 2017.

  5. Boore, D.M. and Atkinson, G.M., Ground-motion prediction equations for the average horizontal component of PGA, PGV, and 5%-damped PSA at spectral periods between 0.01 s and 10.0 s, Earthquake Spectra, 2008, vol. 24, no. 1, pp. 99–138. https://doi.org/10.1193/1.2830434

    Article  Google Scholar 

  6. Boore, D.M., Stewart, J.P., Seyhan, E., and Atkin-son, G.M., NGA-West 2 equations for predicting PGA, PGV, and 5%-damped PSA for shallow crustal earthquakes, Earthquake Spectra, 2014, vol. 30, no. 3, pp. 1057–1085. https://doi.org/10.1193/070113EQS184M

    Article  Google Scholar 

  7. Cornell, C.A., Engineering seismic risk analysis, Bull. Seismol. Soc. Am., 1968, vol. 58, pp. 1583–1606.

    Google Scholar 

  8. Explanatory note on the GSZ-2016 maps set of general seismic zoning of the Russian Federation territory, Inzh. Izyskaniya, 2016, no. 7, pp. 49–121.

  9. Grünthal, G., Stromeyer, D., Bosse, C., Cotton, F., and Bindi, D., The probabilistic seismic hazard assessment of Germany—version 2016, considering the range of epistemic uncertainties and aleatory variability, Bull. Earthquake Eng., 2018, vol., 16, no. 10, pp. 4339–4395. https:// doi.org/https://doi.org/10.1007/s10518-018-0315-y

    Article  Google Scholar 

  10. Gusev, A.A., On the principles of mapping regions of seismic hazard in Russian Federation and normalization of seismic effects in terms of seismic accelerations. Part 1, Inzh. Izyskaniya, 2011a, no. 10, pp. 20–29.

  11. Gusev, A.A., On the principles of mapping regions of seismic hazard in Russian Federation and normalization of seismic effects in terms of seismic accelerations. Part 2, Inzh. Izyskaniya, 2011b, no. 11, pp. 66–77.

  12. Idriss, I.M., An NGA empirical model for estimating the horizontal spectral values generated by shallow crustal earthquakes, Earthquake Spectra, 2008, vol. 24, no. 1, pp. 217–242. https://doi.org/10.1193/1.2924362

    Article  Google Scholar 

  13. Konovalov, A.V., Probabilistic seismic hazard analysis. https://habrahabr.ru/post/346734/. Accessed December 15, 2018.

  14. Konovalov, A.V., Nagornykh, T.V., and Safonov, D.A., Sovremennye issledovaniya mekhanizmov ochagov zemletryasenii o. Sakhalin (Contemporary Studies of Focal Mechanisms of Sakhalin Island Earthquakes), Kozhurin, A.I., Ed., Vladivostok: Dal’nauka, 2014.

    Google Scholar 

  15. Konovalov, A.V., Manaichev, K.A., Stepnov, A.A., and Gavrilov, A.V., Regional model of attenuation of strong ground motions for Sakhalin Island, Vopr. Inzh. Seismol., 2018, vol. 45, no. 1. pp. 19–30. https://doi.org/10.21455/VIS2018.1-2

  16. Levin, B.W., Kim, Ch.U., and Solovjev, V.N., A seismic hazard assessment and the results of detailed seismic zoning for urban territories of Sakhalin Island, Russ. J. Pac. Geol., 2013, vol. 7, no. 6, pp. 455–463.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  17. Lin, T. and Baker, J.W., Probabilistic seismic hazard deaggregation of ground motion prediction models, 5th International Conference on Earthquake Geotechnical Engineering, Santiago, Chile, 2011.

  18. Pagani, M., Hao, K.X., Fujiwara, H., Gerstenberger, M., and Ma, K.F., Appraising the PSHA earthquake source models of Japan, New Zealand, and Taiwan, Seismol. Res. Lett., 2016, vol. 87, no. 6, pp. 1240–1253. https://doi.org/10.1785/0220160101

    Article  Google Scholar 

  19. Peretokin, S.A., Some aspects of probabilistic seismic hazard assessment using empirical dependences, Inzh. Izyskaniya, 2016, no. 7, pp. 39–48.

  20. Villani, M., Faccioli, E., Ordaz, M., and Stupazzini, M., High-resolution seismic hazard analysis in a complex geological configuration: The case of the sulmona basin in Central Italy, Earthquake Spectra, 2014, vol. 30, no. 4, pp. 1801–1824. https://doi.org/10.1193/1112911EQS288M

    Article  Google Scholar 

Download references

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Corresponding author

Correspondence to A. V. Konovalov.

Additional information

Translated by L. Mukhortova

About this article

Check for updates. Verify currency and authenticity via CrossMark

Cite this article

Konovalov, A.V., Sychov, A.S., Manaychev, K.A. et al. Testing of a New GMPE Model in Probabilistic Seismic Hazard Analysis for the Sakhalin Region. Seism. Instr. 55, 283–290 (2019). https://doi.org/10.3103/S0747923919030095

Download citation

  • Published:

  • Issue Date:

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.3103/S0747923919030095

Keywords:

Navigation