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Prospects for the application of scientometric methods for forecasting

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Abstract

Forecasting studies, which are conducted in all the developed economies of the world, are one of the fastest growing applications of scientometrics. Currently, in Russia there is a formed state Technology Foresight System, which creates a new format for the future development of research and for interaction among the key players in the national innovation system. Considering the new institutional environment of forecasting projects in Russia and the international trends in the relevant research environments, scientometric methods for the monitoring, analysis, and forecasting of the development of science and technology are identified as one of the most important methods. Specific demands and trends, which will soon have a substantial impact on the entire area of scientometrics, are formulated.

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Correspondence to V. R. Mesropyan.

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Original Russian Text © V.R. Mesropyan, M.V. Ovsyannikov, 2014, published in Nauchno-Technicheskaya Informatsiya, Seriya 1, 2014, No. 1, pp. 19–27.

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Mesropyan, V.R., Ovsyannikov, M.V. Prospects for the application of scientometric methods for forecasting. Sci. Tech.Inf. Proc. 41, 38–46 (2014). https://doi.org/10.3103/S0147688214010080

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