Shifting Effects of Ocean Conditions on Survival and Breeding Probability of a Long-Lived Seabird
Fig 2
Time series of estimated (A, B) survival, (C) breeding probability, and (D) recapture probability from the reference model (Reft).
Survival estimates in (A) are for pre-breeders of all age classes. Shaded areas indicate 95% confidence intervals. For clarity, only the confidence intervals for young adult and immature pre-breeders are shown in (A). Survival differences for breeding states shown in (B) are for the mature age class (age 5–11). Confidence intervals for survival of different breeding states almost completely overlap so only the CI for non-breeders (middle line) is shown here. Recapture probabilities of breeders were estimated near one and are not shown in (D).