Abstract
Background
The aim of this work is to compare the prognostic ability between the 7th and 8th editions of the American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) tumor–node–metastasis (TNM) classification for gastric cancer (GC).
Methods
A total of 10,194 noncardia GC patients were identified from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results database from 1988 to 2008. Concordance index (C-index), bayesian information criterion (BIC), and time-dependent receiver operating characteristic (t-ROC) analyses were used. External validation was performed using a dataset (n = 2355) derived from Fujian Medical University Union Hospital.
Results
Overall survival for all five AJCC N categories differed significantly when patients were subgrouped into ≤ 15 versus >15 examined lymph nodes (eLNs). The prognostic ability of the 8th edition (C-index 0.716) was not improved over the 7th edition (C-index 0.716). Subgroup analysis showed superior performance of the 8th over the 7th edition in patients with > 15 eLNs (C-index 0.742 vs. 0.735); however, the two editions showed similar performance for patients with ≤ 15 eLNs (C-index 0.713 vs. 0.713). The BIC and t-ROC analyses were consistent. To better predict the prognosis of patients with ≤ 15 eLNs, we established a novel prognostic model based on independent prognostic factors (C-index 0.735). BIC analysis showed that this new model was better than the 7th and 8th editions. Similar results were obtained from the validation set.
Conclusions
The 8th edition of the AJCC TNM classification shows better prognostic ability than the 7th edition in noncardia GC patients with > 15 eLNs, but no improvement was found in patients with ≤ 15 eLNs; therefore, a novel prognostic model is proposed.
Similar content being viewed by others
References
Jemal A, Siegel R, Xu J, Ward E. Cancer statistics, 2010. CA Cancer J Clin. 2010; 5: 277-300.
Edge SB, Compton CC. The American Joint Committee on Cancer: the 7th edition of the AJCC Cancer Staging Manual and the future of TNM. Ann Surg Oncol. 2010; 6: 1471-4.
Wang W, Sun XW, Li CF, et al. Comparison of the 6th and 7th editions of the UICC TNM staging system for gastric cancer: results of a Chinese single-institution study of 1,503 patients. Ann Surg Oncol. 2011; 4: 1060-7.
Fang WL, Huang KH, Chen JH, et al. Comparison of the survival difference between AJCC 6th and 7th editions for gastric cancer patients. World J Surg. 2011; 12: 2723-9.
Deng J, Liang H, Sun D, Wang D, Pan Y. Suitability of 7th UICC N stage for predicting the overall survival of gastric cancer patients after curative resection in China. Ann Surg Oncol. 2010; 5: 1259-66.
Rausei S, Dionigi G, Boni L. Evaluation of the seventh American Joint Committee on Cancer/International Union against Cancer classification of gastric adenocarcinoma in comparison with the sixth classification. Cancer Am Cancer Soc. 2011; 12: 2823-4, 2824.
Marrelli D, Morgagni P, de Manzoni G, et al. Prognostic value of the 7th AJCC/UICC TNM classification of noncardia gastric cancer: analysis of a large series from specialized Western centers. Ann Surg. 2012; 3: 486-91.
Sun Z, Wang ZN, Zhu Z, et al. Evaluation of the seventh edition of American Joint Committee on Cancer TNM staging system for gastric cancer: results from a Chinese monoinstitutional study. Ann Surg Oncol. 2012; 6: 1918-27.
Lu J, Wang W, Zheng CH, et al. Influence of total lymph node count on staging and survival after gastrectomy for gastric cancer: an analysis from a two-institution database in China. Ann Surg Oncol. 2017; 2: 486-93.
Bouvier AM, Haas O, Piard F, Roignot P, Bonithon-Kopp C, Faivre J. How many nodes must be examined to accurately stage gastric carcinomas? Results from a population based study. Cancer Am Cancer Soc. 2002; 11: 2862-6.
Sun Z, Zhu GL, Lu C, et al. The impact of N-ratio in minimizing stage migration phenomenon in gastric cancer patients with insufficient number or level of lymph node retrieved: results from a Chinese mono-institutional study in 2159 patients. Ann Oncol. 2009; 5: 897-905.
Sun Z, Xu Y, Li DM, et al. Log odds of positive lymph nodes: a novel prognostic indicator superior to the number-based and the ratio-based N category for gastric cancer patients with R0 resection. Cancer Am Cancer Soc. 2010; 11: 2571-80.
Ajani JA, In H, Sano T, et al. Stomach. In: Amin MB, Editor. AJCC Cancer Staging Manual, 8th ed. New York: Springer-Verlag. 2016.
Japanese classification of gastric carcinoma: 3rd English ed. Gastric Cancer. 2011; 2: 101–12.
AJCC cancer staging manual. New York: Springer; 2010.
Schwarz G. Estimating the dimension of a model. Ann Stat. 1978; 6: 461-4.
Gertler R, Stein HJ, Langer R, et al. Long-term outcome of 2920 patients with cancers of the esophagus and esophagogastric junction: evaluation of the new Union Internationale Contre le Cancer/American Joint Cancer Committee staging system. Ann Surg. 2011; 4: 689-98.
Chen CH, George SL. The bootstrap and identification of prognostic factors via Cox’s proportional hazards regression model. Stat Med. 1985; 1: 39-46.
Nitsche U, Maak M, Schuster T, et al. Prediction of prognosis is not improved by the seventh and latest edition of the TNM classification for colorectal cancer in a single-center collective. Ann Surg. 2011; 5: 793-801.
Wood M. Statistical interference using bootstrap confidence intervals. Significance. 2004; 4: 180-2.
Heagerty PJ, Lumley T, Pepe MS. Time-dependent ROC curves for censored survival data and a diagnostic marker. Biometrics. 2000; 2: 337-44.
Rodriguez-Alvarez MX, Meira-Machado L, Abu-Assi E, Raposeiras-Roubin S. Nonparametric estimation of time-dependent ROC curves conditional on a continuous covariate. Stat Med. 2016; 7: 1090-102.
Pencina MJ, D’Agostino RS, D’Agostino RJ, Vasan RS. Evaluating the added predictive ability of a new marker: from area under the ROC curve to reclassification and beyond. Stat Med. 2008; 2: 157-72, 207-12.
Wang J, Dang P, Raut CP, et al. Comparison of a lymph node ratio-based staging system with the 7th AJCC system for gastric cancer: analysis of 18,043 patients from the SEER database. Ann Surg. 2012; 3: 478-85.
Rausei S, Dionigi G, Boni L, Rovera F, Dionigi R. How does the 7th TNM edition fit in gastric cancer management? Ann Surg Oncol. 2011; 5: 1219-21.
Reim D, Loos M, Vogl F, et al. Prognostic implications of the seventh edition of the International Union against Cancer classification for patients with gastric cancer: the Western experience of patients treated in a single-center European institution. J Clin Oncol. 2013; 2: 263-71.
Birkmeyer JD, Siewers AE, Finlayson EV, et al. Hospital volume and surgical mortality in the United States. N Engl J Med. 2002; 15: 1128-37.
Hundahl SA, Macdonald JS, Benedetti J, Fitzsimmons T. Surgical treatment variation in a prospective, randomized trial of chemoradiotherapy in gastric cancer: the effect of undertreatment. Ann Surg Oncol. 2002; 3: 278-86.
Shen JY, Kim S, Cheong JH, et al. The impact of total retrieved lymph nodes on staging and survival of patients with pT3 gastric cancer. Cancer Am Cancer Soc. 2007; 4: 745-51.
Smith DD, Schwarz RR, Schwarz RE. Impact of total lymph node count on staging and survival after gastrectomy for gastric cancer: data from a large US-population database. J Clin Oncol. 2005; 28: 7114-24.
Bouvier AM, Haas O, Piard F, Roignot P, Bonithon-Kopp C, Faivre J. How many nodes must be examined to accurately stage gastric carcinomas? Results from a population based study. Cancer Am Cancer Soc. 2002; 11: 2862-6.
Estes NC, MacDonald JS, Touijer K, Benedetti J, Jacobson J. Inadequate documentation and resection for gastric cancer in the United States: a preliminary report. Am Surg. 1998; 7: 680-5.
Kong SH, Lee HJ, Ahn HS, et al. Stage migration effect on survival in gastric cancer surgery with extended lymphadenectomy: the reappraisal of positive lymph node ratio as a proper N-staging. Ann Surg. 2012; 1: 50-8.
Han DS, Suh YS, Kong SH, et al. Nomogram predicting long-term survival after D2 gastrectomy for gastric cancer. J Clin Oncol. 2012; 31: 3834-40.
Nitsche U, Maak M, Schuster T, et al. Prediction of prognosis is not improved by the seventh and latest edition of the TNM classification for colorectal cancer in a single-center collective. Ann Surg. 2011; 5: 793-800.
Funding
This work was supported by the Scientific and technological innovation joint capital projects of Fujian Province (2016Y9031), construction Project of Fujian Province Minimally Invasive Medical Center (No. [2017]171), the second batch of special support funds for Fujian Province innovation and entrepreneurship talents (2016B013), youth scientific research subject of Fujian provincial health and family planning commission (No. 2015-1-37), QIHANG funds of Fujian Medical University (No. 2016QH025), and Joint Health Programs of the Provincial Natural Foundation (2015J01464).
Disclosures
All the authors declare that they have no potential commercial conflicts of interest relevant to this article.
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Corresponding authors
Electronic supplementary material
Below is the link to the electronic supplementary material.
Rights and permissions
About this article
Cite this article
Lu, J., Zheng, ZF., Xie, JW. et al. Is the 8th Edition of the AJCC TNM Staging System Sufficiently Reasonable for All Patients with Noncardia Gastric Cancer? A 12,549-Patient International Database Study. Ann Surg Oncol 25, 2002–2011 (2018). https://doi.org/10.1245/s10434-018-6447-0
Received:
Published:
Issue Date:
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1245/s10434-018-6447-0