Data assimilation (DA) of turbulence, which involves reconstructing small-scale turbulent structures based on observational data from large-scale ones, is crucial not only for practical forecasting but also for gaining a deeper understanding of turbulent dynamics. We propose a theoretical framework for DA of turbulence based on the transverse Lyapunov exponents (TLEs) in synchronization theory. Through stability analysis using TLEs, we identify a critical length scale as a key condition for DA; turbulent dynamics smaller than this scale are synchronized with larger-scale turbulent dynamics. Furthermore, considering recent findings for the maximal Lyapunov exponent and its relation with the TLEs, we clarify the Reynolds number dependence of the critical length scale.

• Received 6 July 2023
• Revised 30 September 2023
• Accepted 31 October 2023

DOI:https://doi.org/10.1103/PhysRevLett.131.254001