Identification of drug resistance mutations in HIV from constraints on natural evolution

Thomas C. Butler, John P. Barton, Mehran Kardar, and Arup K. Chakraborty
Phys. Rev. E 93, 022412 – Published 19 February 2016

Abstract

Human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) evolves with extraordinary rapidity. However, its evolution is constrained by interactions between mutations in its fitness landscape. Here we show that an Ising model describing these interactions, inferred from sequence data obtained prior to the use of antiretroviral drugs, can be used to identify clinically significant sites of resistance mutations. Successful predictions of the resistance sites indicate progress in the development of successful models of real viral evolution at the single residue level and suggest that our approach may be applied to help design new therapies that are less prone to failure even where resistance data are not yet available.

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  • Received 7 August 2015
  • Revised 4 December 2015

DOI:https://doi.org/10.1103/PhysRevE.93.022412

©2016 American Physical Society

Physics Subject Headings (PhySH)

  1. Physical Systems
Physics of Living Systems

Authors & Affiliations

Thomas C. Butler1,2, John P. Barton1,2,3, Mehran Kardar1,*, and Arup K. Chakraborty1,2,3,4,†

  • 1Department of Physics, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Cambridge, Massachusetts 02139, USA
  • 2Department of Chemical Engineering, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Cambridge, Massachusetts 02142, USA
  • 3Ragon Institute of Massachusetts General Hospital, Massachusetts Institute of Technology and Harvard University, Cambridge, Massachusetts 02139, USA
  • 4Departments of Chemistry and Biological Engineering, Institute for Medical Engineering and Science, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Cambridge, Massachusetts 02139, USA

  • *kardar@mit.edu
  • arupc@mit.edu

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Issue

Vol. 93, Iss. 2 — February 2016

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