• Letter

Percolation theory of self-exciting temporal processes

Daniele Notarmuzi, Claudio Castellano, Alessandro Flammini, Dario Mazzilli, and Filippo Radicchi
Phys. Rev. E 103, L020302 – Published 24 February 2021
PDFHTMLExport Citation

Abstract

We investigate how the properties of inhomogeneous patterns of activity, appearing in many natural and social phenomena, depend on the temporal resolution used to define individual bursts of activity. To this end, we consider time series of microscopic events produced by a self-exciting Hawkes process, and leverage a percolation framework to study the formation of macroscopic bursts of activity as a function of the resolution parameter. We find that the very same process may result in different distributions of avalanche size and duration, which are understood in terms of the competition between the 1D percolation and the branching process universality class. Pure regimes for the individual classes are observed at specific values of the resolution parameter corresponding to the critical points of the percolation diagram. A regime of crossover characterized by a mixture of the two universal behaviors is observed in a wide region of the diagram. The hybrid scaling appears to be a likely outcome for an analysis of the time series based on a reasonably chosen, but not precisely adjusted, value of the resolution parameter.

  • Figure
  • Figure
  • Figure
  • Received 19 August 2020
  • Accepted 5 February 2021

DOI:https://doi.org/10.1103/PhysRevE.103.L020302

©2021 American Physical Society

Physics Subject Headings (PhySH)

Interdisciplinary Physics

Authors & Affiliations

Daniele Notarmuzi1, Claudio Castellano2, Alessandro Flammini1, Dario Mazzilli1, and Filippo Radicchi1,*

  • 1Center for Complex Networks and Systems Research, Luddy School of Informatics, Computing, and Engineering, Indiana University, Bloomington, Indiana 47408, USA
  • 2Istituto dei Sistemi Complessi (ISC-CNR), Via dei Taurini 19, I-00185 Rome, Italy

  • *Corresponding author: filiradi@indiana.edu

Article Text (Subscription Required)

Click to Expand

Supplemental Material (Subscription Required)

Click to Expand

References (Subscription Required)

Click to Expand
Issue

Vol. 103, Iss. 2 — February 2021

Reuse & Permissions
Access Options
CHORUS

Article Available via CHORUS

Download Accepted Manuscript
Author publication services for translation and copyediting assistance advertisement

Authorization Required


×
×

Images

×

Sign up to receive regular email alerts from Physical Review E

Log In

Cancel
×

Search


Article Lookup

Paste a citation or DOI

Enter a citation
×