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Forecast dispersion and error versus size, book-to-market ratio and momentum: A comparison of anomalies from 1992 to 2001

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Abstract

Anomalies based on forecast properties (dispersion and error), size, book-to-market ratio and momentum are evaluated during the period 1992–2001 for a sample of US stocks using an annual buy-and-hold strategy. The forecast property, book-to-market and momentum anomalies all clearly persist during the sample period, while the size anomaly disappears. Although the book-to-market anomaly is the most powerful in magnitude, the forecast property anomalies are the most consistent in year-by-year performance. Combining the forecast property anomalies with either the momentum or book-to-market anomalies results in spectacular return performance. Overall, investors should consider taking advantage of the forecast property anomalies when selecting their stock holdings.

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J Ciccone, S. Forecast dispersion and error versus size, book-to-market ratio and momentum: A comparison of anomalies from 1992 to 2001. J Asset Manag 3, 333–344 (2003). https://doi.org/10.1057/palgrave.jam.2240087

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  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1057/palgrave.jam.2240087

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