Introduction

Parkinson’s disease (PD) is a common age-related neurodegenerative disorder, characterised by bradykinesia, postural instability, rigidity, and resting tremors. The clinical picture includes non-motor symptoms such as cognitive impairment, autonomic dysfunction, disorders of sleep, depression and hyposmia1. The pathological hallmarks of PD are loss of dopaminergic neurons and Lewy bodies in the substantia nigra2. In China, the number of individuals with PD is estimated to reach 4.94 million by 2030, accounting for half of global cases3. The exact causes of PD are still unclear, but genetic factors, environmental factors and aging play essential roles in pathogenesis of PD4.

Although pathogenic mutations in disease-causing genes play essential roles in PD, few patients carry pathogenic mutations5,6. Common variants with small effect size can be detected via genome-wide association studies (GWASs), and have been shown to affect a large proportion of genetic predisposition of PD7. Previous GWASs of PD in European ancestry, East Asian, and Latino populations comprising more than one million samples have identified over 80 risk loci with more than 90 independent risk variants, including in SNCA, LRRK2, MAPT, BST1, GCH1, VPS13C, and TMEM1758,9,10. Genetic heterogeneity among populations has been inferred from differences in risk loci, such as the overall genetic architecture defined by allele frequency and linkage disequilibrium (LD) patterns, and allelic heterogeneity between European ancestry and East Asian individuals8,11. GWAS data have pointed to several biological pathways involved in PD pathogenesis, such as mitochondrial function, lysosomal function, and endocytosis8,11. However, a large proportion of target subjects were of European ancestry, extrapolating these results to other populations such as Chinese becomes difficult and there is no large GWAS study of PD in Chinese population yet.

The present study explored the genetic architecture of PD with the aim of identifying risk loci responsible for its pathogenesis in the Chinese population. We conducted a GWAS in a total of 1972 PD cases and 2478 controls using whole-genome sequencing (WGS), as well as a replication study in 8209 cases and 9454 controls using multiplex PCR sequencing. We also compared genome-wide significant variants for PD, reported mostly in population of European ancestry, with our results of Chinese population. Finally, we estimated the heritability of PD, assessed its genetic correlation with other traits, and established a predictive model to evaluate at-risk individuals in the Chinese population.

Results

Cohort description and quality control

A total of 22,366 subjects were included in this study: 1980 patients with PD and 2516 matched controls in the GWAS cohort, plus 8294 cases and 9576 matched controls in the replication cohort. Details about genotype quality of GWAS and replication cohorts are provided in Supplementary Table 1 and Supplementary Table 2. The final subjects included in the statistical analysis after quality control (Supplementary Table 3) encompassed 1972 cases (the mean age at recruitment, 66.76 ± 7.08 years; the mean age at onset, 61.88 ± 6.93 years) and 2478 controls (the mean age at recruitment, 62.32 ± 7.11 years) in the GWAS cohort, and 8209 cases (the mean age at recruitment, 60.23 ± 11.20 years; the mean age at onset, 57.77 ± 11.95 years) and 9454 controls (the mean age at recruitment, 64.29 ± 9.68 years) in the replication cohort. Detailed demographic information is listed in Supplementary Table 4.

To explore the quality of WGS with the medium degree of depth, 54 samples from the GWAS cohort were randomly picked using Excel and subjected to WGS with a high degree of depth setting, whereas another randomly picked 39 samples were re-sequenced with the same WGS as GWAS cohort. Sequencing results were compared within sample pairs, revealing good genotype concordance between the analysed GWAS variants (Supplementary Fig. 1). The workflow of this study was showed in Fig. 1.

Fig. 1: Workflow of the study.
figure 1

EUR European, EAS East Asian, MHC histocompatibility complex region, MAF minor allele frequency.

Genome-wide association analysis

In the GWAS cohort, 6,910,086 autosomal single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) passed the quality control threshold and were included in further analyses. Principal component analysis confirmed a good match between patients with PD and controls (Fig. 2a, b). A quantile-quantile plot indicated that population stratification had negligible effects on the statistical results (λ genomic control = 1.065, LD score intercept = 1.036; (Fig. 2c). Two known risk loci (NUCKS1/RAB29 and SNCA) exhibited genome-wide significance (P < 5 × 10−8), and 13 risk loci exhibited suggestive significance (P < 1 × 10−5) in the GWAS analysis. Of the 13 suggestive risk loci, three were known (LRRK2, FYN, and VPS13C) and 10 were possibly novel (Fig. 2d; Supplementary Table 5). NUCKS1/RAB29, SNCA, and LRRK2 regions were previously reported to harbour multiple independent signals, and conditional analysis of our GWAS data revealed probable multiple signals in LRRK2, but not in NUCKS1/RAB29 and SNCA regions (Supplementary Table 6). In the LRRK2 locus, three previously reported risk variants, rs34594498 (LRRK2-A419V), rs33949390 (LRRK2-R1628P), and rs34778348 (LRRK2-G2385R), were found to be independently associated with PD with suggestive significance (P < 1×10−5) (Fig. 3).

Fig. 2: Association results of GWAS cohort.
figure 2

a PCA plot of samples projecting to the 1000 Genomes subjects. b PCA of our 1972 PD cases and 2478 controls in GWAS cohort. c The quantile–quantile (Q–Q) plot of the association results from the GWAS cohort. d Manhattan plot of P values on the −log10 scale for 6,910,086 SNPs in the GWAS cohort. e Manhattan plot of P values on the −log10 scale for genome-wide gene-based analysis in the GWAS stage.

Fig. 3: Regional plot of conditional analysis of reported loci with multiple independent signals.
figure 3

a, b Conditional analysis in NUCKS1/RAB29 region. c, d Conditional analysis in SNCA region. eh Conditional analysis in LRRK2 region. Reference data of Asian population from 1000 Genomes were used for linkage disequilibrium calculation.

In the replication cohort, 17 independent risk variants in 15 risk loci were genotyped and analysed. In the combined analysis, eight of these SNPs showed associations exceeding the genome-wide significance threshold (P < 5.0 × 10–8; Table 1), including four reported GWAS SNPs, three risk variants in the LRRK2 gene and one newly identified risk variant rs61204179.

Table 1 Association results of eight genome-wide significant variants in combined analysis.

The new risk variant (rs61204179) was located in the ninth intron of the HEATR6 gene. This variant had a minor allele frequency of 4% in our population and low LD with other variants in the HEATR6 region (r2 < 0.2 with most variants in the East Asian individuals of 1000 Genomes Project data, Fig. 4, Supplementary Fig. 2). Notably, rs61204179 was rare in the populations of European ancestry, making it a Chinese-specific PD risk variant, similar to the associated variants (A419V, R1628P and G2385R) in LRRK2 gene. HEATR6 shows high expression in multiple brain regions including midbrain (Supplementary Fig. 3) and was reported to be downregulated in the peripheral blood of patients with PD12.

Fig. 4: Regional plot of the rs61204179.
figure 4

Regional plot of the association signal of rs61204179 by LocusZoom. Reference data of Asian population from 1000 Genomes were used for linkage disequilibrium calculation.

Gene-based association analysis

Besides the GWAS of common SNPs, we conducted genome-wide gene association analysis using GWAS data by MAGMA. MAGMA relies on converging evidence from multiple genetic variants in the same gene and can yield novel signals at a gene-based level. Here, it identified three associated genes (RAB7L1, SLC41A1, and SNCA), all of which were located in genome-wide significant loci by the GWAS (Fig. 2e; Supplementary Table 7).

Validation of reported GWAS variants

To date, 78 loci and 90 independent variants have been reported in populations of European ancestry, 11 loci (11 variants) in the East Asian population, and one locus (one variant) in the Latino population8,9,10. Among the 92 independent PD-associated variants in the 80 non-overlapping loci, a high correlation of minor allele frequency was observed between the East Asian and European ancestry populations (r = 0.65, Fig. 5a, b). Fourteen variants with minor allele frequency < 0.5% in the East Asian population and two variants located in the major histocompatibility complex region, were excluded from the validation analysis. Besides, the GBA-L444P variant was added in validation given the reported genome-wide significant risk variant in GBA gene (N370S) in European ancestry populations was very rare in the Chinese population but GBA-L444P was reported to be associated with PD in Chinese.

Fig. 5: Correlation plots.
figure 5

a, b Allele frequency—Allele frequency plot showing the correlation of minor allele frequencies for reported genome-wide significant variants between European (x-axis) and East Asian populations (y-axis); allele frequencies were extracted from gnomAD database. c, d Beta-beta plot showing the correlation between effect sizes derived from the GWAS in which they were reported (x-axis) and effect sizes calculated in this study (y-axis); beta in other studies were from European population (Nalls, 2019) and East Asian population (Foo, 2020). Red dots denote variants with P < 5 × 10−8, blue dots denote variants with P < 0.05/77, green dots denote variants with P < 0.05, black dots denote variants with P > 0.05, and grey dots denote variants not included in replication cohort of this study. r shows the Pearson correlation coefficient and rb shows the correlation coefficient correcting for errors in the estimated effects. EUR European, EAS East Asian.

Of the 77 reported variants included in our validation analysis, nine attained genome-wide significance in the combined data, 15 were significant after Bonferroni correction (P < 0.05/77), and 25 had P < 0.05 (a total of 63.6% variants were validated, Fisher’s exact test P < 2.84 × 10−15). All of the validated variants had the same effect direction as the reported, and of the 28 non-validated variants, 24 exhibited the same effect direction as reported previously (Supplementary Table 8), suggesting that more samples were needed to further validate these variants (sign concordance test P < 1.99 × 10−9). Specifically, rs11557080 and rs823118 were reported to be independent risk variants in the NUCKS1/RAB29 locus in populations of European ancestry, but they appeared in high LD in our data (r2 = 0.94), and conditional analysis showed that only one signal remained significant (Supplementary Table 8). Moreover, the estimation of variants effect correlation (r) between our data and existing data8,9 was 0.82, and the correlation estimate (rb) was 0.91 when accounting for errors in the variant’s effects (Fig. 5c, d), suggesting a large proportion of GWAS markers discovered in Europeans were likely replicable in the Chinese population. Nevertheless, some differences between the associated sites still persist.

Heritability, genetic correlation and MR

Using the genetic data of the GWAS cohort, the estimated heritability of PD in the Chinese population was 0.140 (se = 0.047) by LDSC and 0.184 (se = 0.041) by GCTA-GREML, assuming a global prevalence of 0.5%. These values seemed lower than the estimate of 0.22 for populations of European ancestry8, but the heritability remained comparable between two populations given the relatively large confidence interval of heritability estimates.

Using our GWAS data and publicly available PD-GWAS summary statistics, we found that the European ancestry and Chinese populations showed an intermediate genetic correlation (rg = 0.47, se = 0.21), suggesting a certain amount of population heterogeneity in PD. This result was in line with the validation outcomes of GWAS variants and further confirmed the need for genome research on PD among different populations.

We further analysed possible genetic correlations between Chinese patients with PD and other phenotypes in East Asian populations. Using publicly available GWAS summary data originating mainly from the BioBank Japan Project, 157 traits were analysed, but no significant genetic correlation was found after Bonferroni correction. However, height, type 2 diabetes, rheumatoid arthritis, systemic lupus erythematosus, and gamma-glutamyl transferase showed suggestive association with PD (P < 0.05) (Supplementary Table 9).

Additional MR analysis between PD and phenotypes with suggestive genetic correlation refuted any significant causal relationship (P > 0.05) (Supplementary Table 10).

Polygenic risk score analysis

Using the GWAS cohort as a training dataset for effect size calculation and the validation cohort as test data, we calculated polygenic risk scores based on three sets of SNPs stratified by significance level. For 12 genome-wide significant variants, the proportion of explained genetic liability of PD was 16% based on our current heritability estimates. Moreover, 12 genome-wide significant variants (P < 5 × 10–8) and 15 variants with (P < 0.05/77) explained 20% of PD heritability, while 52 variants with P < 0.05 accounted for 23% of heritability (Fig. 6a). In the weighted polygenic risk score distribution based on different single nucleotide variant sets, we observed a 2.8-fold and 3.9-fold difference in risk between the top and bottom 25% of the test population (Fig. 6b).

Fig. 6: Predictive model.
figure 6

a Polygenic risk score (PRS) receiver-operator curves for variants with different significance levels. b Odds ratio of developing PD for each quartile of the PRS compared with the lowest quartile of genetic risk. Red lines and dots correspond to data calculated from variants with P < 5 × 10−8, blue lines and dots correspond to data calculated from variants with P < 0.05/77, and green lines and dots correspond to data calculated from variants with P < 0.05.

Discussion

We conducted a GWAS and a replication study in a large Chinese cohort, identified a new PD-related locus, and confirmed multiple independent risk variants with genome-wide significance in the LRRK2 locus. In addition, a large proportion of reported GWAS variants were validated in our data. We constructed polygenic risk models to better predict the risk of PD and also systematically assessed the genetic correlation of PD in different populations, and in relation to other phenotypes among East Asians. Overall, these analyses may provide new insights on the impact of genetic variants on the pathogenesis of PD.

SNP arrays and WGS have been shown similarly efficient at surveying common variants in the genome13. Here, we employed the WGS method for genotyping our GWAS cohort, because it captured significant signals with low minor allele frequency, which were not well imputed in commonly used SNP arrays8,9. This was the case of the newly identified risk locus in the HEATR6 gene and multiple independent risk variants located in the LRRK2 region, supporting the potential use of WGS for future GWASs. On the other hand, the newly identified locus in the HEATR6 gene could not be validated in the published PD GWAS datasets of Asian populations9,14,15 due to the methodology differences. In addition, the tag SNP of the new risk locus was a rare variant in populations of European ancestry and, therefore, it could not be validated in PD GWAS datasets of European ancestry populations either8,15. Given that most currently used functional annotation databases are derived from populations of European ancestry16,17,18, while the corresponding databases for East Asian populations are still too narrow in scope19, it is hard to comprehensively explore the possible regulatory mechanism of this locus. Based on data from European ancestry populations20,21,22, there is few genomic regulatory elements in the region harbouring this locus. HEATR6 encodes the HEAT repeat containing protein 6, which have 37–47 amino acid motifs called HEAT repeats forming repetitive arrays of short amphiphilic α-helices. While the functions of the HEATR6 remains unclear, HEAT repeat proteins mediate important protein-protein interactions involved in cytoplasmic and nuclear transport, microtubule dynamics and chromosome segregation23. Several HEAT repeat proteins were reported to cause neurological diseases23,24,25. HEATR6 showed high expression in multiple brain regions including midbrain, moreover, Heatr6 were reported to be altered in neurological diseases26,27 and downregulated in the peripheral blood of patients with PD12. We speculate the new risk variant rs61204179 may mediate the risk of PD through HEATR6, but functional studies are required to further confirm the relationship between this locus and PD.

Multiple independent risk variants were identified by GWASs in the LRRK2 region of European ancestry populations8,28, and this observation was confirmed in Chinese with LRRK2-A419V, LRRK2-G2385R, and LRRK2-R1628P showing associations independently. However, the risk variants of LRRK2 exhibited significantly different incidence across populations. For example, the LRRK2-G2019S which was identified in European ancestry populations is very rare in the Chinese population; whereas multiple independent variants identified in the present study are rare in the European ancestry populations7,8. In addition, although the reported GWAS signal for rs76904798, located in the 5ʹ untranslated region of LRRK2, was common in both populations, no significant association was found in the Chinese population, indicating substantial population heterogeneity in the LRRK2 locus. This finding is of relevance for future studies, which should further explore PD-related variants in the LRRK2 region, such as finding more disease-associated variants and fine mapping of the causal variants across different populations.

We systematically validated the reported GWAS variants and found that those identified in populations of European ancestry were well validated in our population. In fact, the correlation of effect size between European ancestry and East Asian populations was significantly better than the previously published correlation (0.82 vs. 0.44)9. The correlation was even higher (0.91) after applying rb method which estimate the correlation of estimated SNP effects accounting for estimation errors. Moreover, after the stratification of variant’s significance, the effects of validated variants were better correlated between datasets. This result pointed to the genetic homogeneity of PD between the two populations and indirectly confirmed the success of our methodology. One of the two risk variants identified in Eastern Asian have not been validated in our study (SV2C-rs246814, P = 0.49), despite the strong association of SV2C-rs246814 was observed in further replication study in both European ancestry population and pooling dataset of worldwide population29. Another risk variant was validated in our data (WBSCR17-rs9638616, P = 0.047), which was consistent with former studies9,29. Future studies are required to investigate PD among populations inhabiting different regions of East Asia.

No significant genetic correlation was found between traits describing the East Asian population and the PD in Chinese population, however, suggestively significant correlated traits found in this study (including type 2 diabetes, autoimmune disorders and height) may be informative for further epidemiological, clinical, and pathophysiological researches30. The PRS model was constructed in this study, but the overall performance of PD prediction was limited, and there was no significant improvement compared with the previous studies.

This study has some limitations. First, although the total sample size exceeded 20,000, this study had moderate power because the subjects were divided into GWAS and validation cohorts, resulting in limited power to detect variants with small or moderate effects. This may be the reason for the limited number of identified new loci and the high false-positive rate of nominally significant GWAS signals. Second, we only validated tag SNPs in the associated loci, but not in the entire locus, which could result in the loss of valuable information for fine-mapping based on different LD structures within populations. Third, the newly identified risk signal has not been verified by functional studies, and requires further validation in larger cohorts.

In conclusion, this GWAS using WGS identified PD risk loci in Chinese population and validated shared genetic factors among PD from different populations. These findings further emphasise both the genetic homogeneity and heterogeneity of PD in disparate populations, and suggested the potential of WGS in improving our understanding of the disease’s genetic architecture.

Methods

Participants

A total of 10,274 patients with PD and 12,092 control subjects free from neurological disorders were recruited from study groups participating in the Parkinson’s Disease and Movement Disorders Multicenter Database and Collaborative Network in China (http://pd-mdcnc.com)31 and centres across China. The GWAS included 1980 cases with PD and 2516 matched controls due to the costs of WGS and the numbers of study participants recruited during the GWAS phase. Another 8,294 cases and 9,576 controls were included in the replication study. Each patient was diagnosed by two neurologists specialised in movement disorders according to either the Movement Disorder Society Clinical Diagnostic Criteria32 or the United Kingdom Parkinson’s Disease Society Brain Bank Clinical Diagnostic Criteria33 in recruiting sites. Blood samples were collected, and genomic DNA was prepared according to standard procedures. The study was approved by the ethics committees of Xiangya Hospital of Central South University and other centres including Xuanwu Hospital of Capital Medical University, Ruijin Hospital of Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine, Affiliated Brain Hospital of Nanjing Medical University, Union Hospital of Huazhong University of Science and Technology, the First Affiliated Hospital of Zhengzhou University and First Affiliated Hospital of Sun Yat-sen University. Written informed consent was obtained from the participants or their legal guardians.

Next-generation sequencing and variants calling

For the GWAS, WGS was performed on the Illumina NovaSeq 6000 sequencing platform with 150-bp pair-end reads, followed by preparation of an Illumina DNA library using genomic DNA sheared to 100–1000 bp. The mean WGS depth was 13× per individual in the GWAS cohort.

For the replication study, a single multiplex PCR was used to amplify the amplicons of candidate variants from our GWAS, as well as variants reported in previous GWASs on European ancestry, East Asian, and Latino populations8,9,10, followed by sequencing on an Illumina platform. The mean depth was 2000× per individual in the replication cohort.

Variant calling was conducted on all samples using BWA34 and GATK435. Clean reads were aligned to the GRCh37 human reference genome (hg19) using the BWA mem tool to produce SAM files. The SAMtools36 view option was used convert SAM files into BAM files. MarkDuplicates was used to mark PCR duplicates with a REMOVE_DUPLICATES parameter setting of false. The BaseRecalibrator generated a recalibration table using known dbSNP and 1000 Genomes Project VCF resources. ApplyBQSR generated the recalibrated final BAM files for HaplotypeCaller. The gVCF file for each sample was obtained and combined into joint VCF files using GATK4 GenomicsDBImport and GenotypeGVCFs, following the suggested pipelines. We calculated the VQSLOD value of each single nucleotide variant (SNV) and insertion-deletion (INDEL) variant by setting the max-Gaussian value to 5. SNVs were annotated with ReadPosRankSum, MQRankSum, DP, QD, FS, and SOR; whereas INDELs were annotated with ReadPosRankSum, DP, QD, and FS. In the ApplyVQSR filtering step, the true sensitivity level for INDELs and SNVs was set to 99.0 and 99.6, respectively. All variants that passed the filter were retained for downstream analyses. We conducted LD-based genotype refinement for low-confidence genotypes and missing sites in WGS data using BEAGLE v5.137 with default settings.

Quality control

For individual and variant quality control of WGS data, the data were recoded into binary PLINK input format using PLINK v1.938. Variant quality control was accomplished by keeping all autosomal SNPs with minor allele frequency ≥ 0.01 which may have sufficient power to detect the associations given the sample size in GWAS cohort13, while removing variants deviating from the Hardy-Weinberg equilibrium (P < 1 × 10−4). Individuals and variants that passed the quality control thresholds were subjected to further analyses. Individuals were excluded if they showed conflicting sex assignments between inferred sex and self-reported sex, deviating heterozygosity/genotype calls (±3 standard deviations), or cryptic relatedness (identity by descent > 0.15). The remaining samples were assessed for population outliers and stratification by principal component analysis using PLINK v1.9, and those that showed divergent ancestry were excluded. For the replication cohort, variants with low-quality genotypes (Phred-scaled genotype quality score 30), low call rates (missing rate > 5%), or departure from Hardy–Weinberg equilibrium (P < 1 × 10−4) were excluded. Samples with low genotype call rates (missing rate > 5%) were removed from further analysis. We also did principal component analysis using genotyped variants not associating with PD and excluded the outliers (Supplementary Fig. 4).

We performed WGS with a high degree of depth setting (30× depth) on 54 GWAS samples which were randomly picked using Excel from the entire list of control subjects to estimate the calling accuracy of WGS with medium depth (13× depth). Moreover, WGS with medium depth (13×) was performed again on 39 randomly picked GWAS control samples to estimate calling consistency. We computed calling concordance between matched samples for genotypes of all GWAS-analysed variants and non-reference genotypes of GWAS variants using previously specified formulae39.

Association testing and combined analysis

For GWAS, logistic regression analysis was conducted in PLINK v1.9 to test the differences in allele dosage between patients with PD and controls. An additive genetic model adjusted for sex, age, and population substructure based on the first five principal components was employed. Conditional analyses were conducted by adding in-locus tag SNP, which was the most significant variant in our data or reported variant in linkage with the most significant variant, to logistic regression as covariates until no variants within the locus reached suggestive significance (P < 1 × 10−5). SNPs reached suggestive significance within the corresponding locus in the GWAS, and previously reported variants in GWASs were included for validation. In the replication study, logistic regression analyses in PLINK v1.9 were conducted on genotype dosages with sex, age and first two principal components as covariates.

To improve the statistical power of the validated variants, we used meta-analysis to combine the association results from the GWAS and replication study using METAL40 with an inverse variance-based model. The extent of heterogeneity was assessed using I2 and P-values of the Q statistics calculated in METAL41.

Gene-based association analysis

SNP-based P-values from the GWAS were used as inputs for gene-based analysis of common variants. We used all 19,427 protein-coding genes from NCBI 37.3 (hg19) gene definitions as the basis for a genome-wide gene association analysis in MAGMA42. The MAGMA approach is based on a multiple linear principal component regression model. By projecting the multivariate LD matrix of SNPs in a gene estimated from the 1000 Genomes Phase 3 Asian reference population43, the principal components explaining genetic variation were extracted first. These principal components were used as predictors of PD under a linear regression framework. MAGMA then employed Fisher’s test to compute P-values for association testing. A stringent Bonferroni correction was applied to account for multiple testing.

SNP-based heritability analysis

We used linkage disequilibrium score regression (LDSC)44 and univariate genome-wide complex trait analysis- genomic-relatedness-based restricted maximum-likelihood (GCTA-GREML)45 with default parameters and the same covariates as GWAS to estimate the heritability of PD. East Asian LD scores were downloaded from https://github.com/bulik/ldsc. The LDSC method derives the heritability of PD by regressing an SNP’s association statistic onto its LD score (the sum of squared correlations between the minor allele count of the SNP and the minor allele count of every other SNP). GCTA-GREML methods estimate heritability by calculating the proportion of variation in phenotypes explained by common SNPs using individual phenotypic and genotypic information.

Genetic correlation and variant effect correlation

POPCORN46 was used to investigate the genetic correlation of PD between populations of European ancestry and East Asians. POPCORN uses a Bayesian approach, which assumes that genotypes are drawn separately from each population and that effect sizes follow the infinitesimal model. Genetic correlations in POPCORN were computed in the ‘genetic effect’ mode, which estimated the correlation based on LD covariance scores and effect sizes from summary statistics. We used bivariate LDSC to investigate the genetic correlations of PD with multiple traits and diseases in East Asian populations based on data from the BioBank Japan Project (http://jenger.riken.jp/en/result) and the GWAS catalogue47. Pearson correlation analysis and rb method48 which correct sampling errors in the estimated SNP effects were used to estimate the correlation of SNP effects between reported GWASs and our data.

Mendelian randomisation

Mendelian randomisation (MR) was used to assess the potential causal role of traits showing significant genetic correlations with PD. A two-sample MR approach was applied using genetic effect estimates for SNPs presenting genome-wide significance for PD, and those for the risk of associated traits. The analysis was performed using the MendelianRandomization package49 in R based on two different strategies. According to the inverse variance weighted (IVW) MR method, which assumed that all SNPs were valid instrumental variables, conventional linear regression analysis of Wald ratios for each SNP was undertaken and weighted by the estimated inverse variance. This method constrains the regression when βZX and βZY are equal to zero. According to the MR-Egger regression, horizontal pleiotropy was tested to provide a causal estimate in the presence of pleiotropy. As in the IVW method, βZY is plotted against βZX. However, the intercept is not fixed; therefore, the deviation from the origin provides evidence for pleiotropic effects in the corresponding direction. In the absence of unbalanced pleiotropy, if SNPs are viewed individually, βIV values are distributed symmetrically around the point estimate, as demonstrated by a funnel plot.

Polygenic risk prediction

Predictive modelling was performed using the polygenic risk score in the replication samples. Weighted polygenic risk scores were calculated based on SNP significance in the combined analysis and their effect size in the GWAS. Areas under the receiver operating characteristic curve were calculated by comparing the observed case/control status and the polygenic risk score calculated using PRSice250 profiling in a standard weighted allele-dose manner. Equations from Wray and colleagues51 were used to estimate the proportion of genetic liability accounted by SNP sets assuming a global prevalence of 0.5%.

Reporting summary

Further information on research design is available in the Nature Research Reporting Summary linked to this article.