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Factors Associated with Hurricane Evacuation: A Statistical Meta-Analysis of Studies, 1999-2018

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  13 April 2021

Ibraheem M Karaye Open the ORCID record for Ibraheem M Karaye [Opens in a new window] ,
Nicholas Taylor ,
Maria Perez-Patron ,
Courtney Thompson  and
Jennifer A Horney Open the ORCID record for Jennifer A Horney [Opens in a new window]
Ibraheem M Karaye*
Affiliation:
Department of Health Professions, Hofstra University, Hempstead, NY, USA
Nicholas Taylor
Affiliation:
Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Texas A&M University, College Station, TX, USA
Maria Perez-Patron
Affiliation:
Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Texas A&M University, College Station, TX, USA
Courtney Thompson
Affiliation:
Department of Geography, Texas A&M University, College Station, TX, USA
Jennifer A Horney
Affiliation:
Program in Epidemiology, University of Delaware, Newark, DE, USA
*
Corresponding author: Ibraheem M Karaye, Email: ibraheem.m.karaye@hofstra.edu.
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Abstract

Objective:

Hurricane evacuation is one of the strategies employed by emergency management and other agencies to reduce morbidity and mortality associated with hurricanes. However, factors associated with residents’ evacuation decision-making have been inconsistent. In this study, we conducted a statistical meta-analysis to identify factors associated with hurricane evacuation as well as moderators of the evacuation decision.

Methods:

A systematic literature search identified 36 studies published between 1999 and 2018. Pooled estimates were calculated using random-effects models, and heterogeneity across studies was checked using both Q and I2 statistics. Meta-regression methods were used to identify moderators. Publication bias was assessed using both visual (funnel plots) and statistical methods.

Results:

Mobile home residence, perception of risk, female sex, and Hispanic ethnicity were statistically associated with hurricane evacuation, while geographic region modified the relationship between Hispanic race and evacuation.

Conclusions:

Agencies responsible for preparedness may utilize these findings to identify specific population sub-groups for hurricane evacuation communication and other interventions. Future studies should consider statistical interactions and explore opportunities for research translation to emergency officials.

Keywords

hurricaneevacuationdeterminantsdisaster
Type
Original Research
Information
Disaster Medicine and Public Health Preparedness , Volume 16 , Issue 3 , June 2022 , pp. 1064 - 1072
Copyright
© Society for Disaster Medicine and Public Health, Inc. 2021

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