Panel forecasts of country-level Covid-19 infections☆
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We thank Elie Tamer (co-editor), an anonymous referee, Graham Elliott, and participants at the 26th IIF workshop on Economic Forecasting in Times of COVID-19, the NBER-NSF Seminar on Bayesian Inference in Econometrics and Statistics, and the FRB Philadelphia Conference on Real Time Data Analysis for helpful comments and suggestions. We also thank the Johns Hopkins University Center for Systems Science and Engineering for making Covid-19 data publicly available on GitHub and Evan Chan for his help in developing the website on which we publish our forecasts. Moon and Schorfheide gratefully acknowledge financial support from the National Science Foundation, USA under Grants SES 1625586 and SES 1851634, respectively. Moon thanks Dr. S. Kim, Dr. C. Moon, and Dr. H. Song of GemVax & KAEL for helpful conversations on Covid-19 related topics.
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Department of Economics, Indiana University, 100 S. Woodlawn Ave, Bloomington, IN 47405.
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Department of Economics, University of Southern California, KAP 300, Los Angeles, CA 90089.