Elsevier

International Congress Series

Volume 1275, December 2004, Pages 250-257
International Congress Series

Do TSD, sex ratios, and nest characteristics influence the vulnerability of tuatara to global warming?

https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ics.2004.08.093Get rights and content

Abstract

Tuatara (Sphenodon punctatus) are threatened New Zealand reptiles with temperature-dependent sex determination (TSD). Higher incubation temperatures produce males, and less than 1 °C separates production of males and females. We investigated variability in nesting ecology to assess whether global warming is likely to result in increasingly male-biased populations. We examined nesting seasons during 1998/1999 and 2002/2003 in New Zealand's largest tuatara population on Stephens Island, and collected hourly temperature recordings and physical descriptions from 70 nests. Nest depths were not significantly different between years, and ranged from 10 to 230 mm from the soil surface to the top egg. Incubation temperatures in successful nests throughout the year-long incubation period ranged from 1.6 to 38.4 °C. Sex ratios of nests were correlated with incubation temperature: 64% males were produced in 1998/1999, a relatively warm season, but we predict an equal sex ratio was produced in 2002/2003. Although temperatures varied over the 2002/2003 season with respect to monthly long-term averages, 2002 was the second warmest year on record. Stephens Island supports a wide range of nesting habitat, a relatively large population of tuatara, and nest characteristics are highly variable. As such, this population is likely to be resilient to global warming in the short term because an equal sex ratio was predicted from a relatively warm season. However, most other islands where tuatara occur are smaller, have smaller populations, and have fewer open areas for nesting and/or shallower soils. These conditions are more likely to produce a male bias in hatchlings because female tuatara do not appear to vary construction of nests with respect to temperature or location. In the extreme, this could lead to the extinction of small populations.

Introduction

Reptiles with temperature-dependent sex determination (TSD), where embryonic sex is determined by incubation temperatures, have survived extreme climate change before [1]. However, the short time frame and the scale of global temperature increase predicted (+1.4–5.8 °C in the next 100 years)[2] may result in sex ratio imbalances that will threaten population persistence. Species with narrow transitional ranges (the range of incubation temperatures that produce 100% of one sex to 100% of the other sex) and long generation times (indicating limited potential to respond to rapid changes in climate) have four alternatives: to modify their geographic range, to convert to genetic sex determination, to go extinct, or to modify their nesting behaviour [3], [4]. Biased sex ratios are already known for reptiles with TSD [5]. A general warming trend is already evident in sea turtle nests (Chelonia mydas at Ascension Island) over the past 100 years [6]. In addition, findings so far point to nest site selection by female reptiles for hatching success rather than sex ratio manipulation (e.g. Refs. [4], [7], [8]).

Tuatara (Sphenodon), long-lived sole surviving members of the reptilian Order Sphenodontia, are restricted to small off-shore islands of New Zealand [9]. The two species (S. guntheri and S. punctatus) both have the rare Type 1b pattern of TSD, where males are produced from nests with higher incubation temperatures [10], [11]. There is no evidence so far to suggest they exhibit the type II pattern of TSD where females are produced at both extremes and males at intermediate incubation temperatures [11]. The pivotal temperature of the largest population of tuatara (21.7 °C, S. punctatus on Stephens Island) is relatively low for reptiles [12]. In addition, sex determination of embryos from this population occurs over a narrow transitional range of less than 1 °C [11]. The adult sex ratio on Stephens Island is estimated to be 50% males [13]. The only extant population of S. guntheri on North Brother Island comprises 60% adult males [14].

Nesting occurs in spring from early November, and female tuatara lay a clutch of eggs only about every 2–5 years [15], [16]. Shallow subterranean nests are constructed in open areas, not in forest habitat where temperatures are too low for successful development of embryos. On Stephens Island, nesting occurs in paddocks grazed by sheep, open cliff faces and rocky outcrops, and paths [16].

We investigate whether the tuatara's rare pattern of TSD, biased sex ratios, and diversity of nest characteristics and habitat influence the likelihood of male-biased populations that potentially threaten population persistence as a result of global warming. As the first step towards an inventory we ask the following questions: (1) What is the hatchling sex ratio? (2) Are there between-year variations in hatchling sex ratio? (3) Are there between-year variations in nest construction or time of laying?

Section snippets

Methods

Nests of tuatara were investigated during the annual nesting seasons in 1998 (3 weeks, November 1–21)[11] and 2002 (6 weeks, October 28–December 7) on Stephens Island (150 ha), New Zealand. Temperature data loggers (waterproof Stowaway® TidbiT®, dimensions: 30×41×17 mm, Onset Computer, MA, USA) set to record hourly measurements were inserted into nests spread throughout rookeries in sheep paddocks and on rocky outcrops (25 nests in 1998 and 45 nests in 2002). Back-fill of nests was excavated,

Results

Mean depth of nests was 103.5±9.2 mm (range 40–200 mm) in 1998/1999, and was not significantly different from 111.0±6.3 mm (range 10–230 mm) in 2002/2003 (Table 1; F(1,60)=0.55; P=0.459). Nest depths were not significantly correlated with the date of laying or rookery location (F(1,60)=0.36; P=0.551 and F(8,53)=1.10; P=0.377). Depth significantly influenced variability of nest temperatures (minimum: F(1,60)=28.45; P<0.001; maximum: F(1,60)=17.25; P<0.001; CTE: F(1,60)=5.50; P=0.022) but not

Discussion

We found a male-biased sex ratio in our first season of monitoring tuatara nests, but estimated an equal sex ratio from the second season. Several differences exist between the two seasons. Although we encompassed the preponderance of nesting in each instance, nests in the first season in 1998/1999 were marked over 3 weeks compared to 6 weeks in the second season (2002/2003). Temperatures during November, the primary period for laying, were higher in the first season. Warmer weather during nest

Acknowledgements

We thank the Marsden Fund and the Zoological Society of San Diego for funding, Arthur Georges, Brian Gartrell, and Alison Cree for help with techniques, and Victoria University of Wellington Animal Ethics Committee, Te Ngati Koata no Rangitoto ki te Tonga Trust and the New Zealand Department of Conservation for permitting the study.

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