Abstract
New York City (NYC) has experienced large reductions in violent crime over the last two decades, but gun-related violence continues to pose a threat to public safety. Despite strong gun laws, high-risk individuals in NYC neighborhoods are unfortunately still able to access and misuse firearms. This research analyzes NYC’s underground gun market by closely examining the flow of guns into the two boroughs where gun violence and crime gun recoveries are most prevalent: the Bronx and Brooklyn. A mixed methods approach is utilized that consists of an assessment of firearms trace data and in-depth interviews with individuals considered to be at high risk for involvement in gun violence. Findings suggest that guns recovered in the Bronx and Brooklyn were significantly more likely to originate in states with less restrictive gun laws and more likely to have changed ownership in unregulated transactions relative to guns recovered elsewhere in NYC. Interviews revealed three primary avenues for illegal guns reaching Bronx and Brooklyn neighborhoods: high-volume gun brokers, middlemen, and individuals who make episodic low-level acquisitions from straw purchasers in other states. No subjects identified theft as a meaningful source of crime guns.
Similar content being viewed by others
Notes
Shootings represent gun murders and non-fatal gun assault victimizations. Calculations based on data provided to the authors by the NYPD for this project.
References
New York City Police Department. Seven major felony offenses. New York, NY: New York City Police Department. https://www1.nyc.gov/assets/nypd/downloads/pdf/analysis_and_planning/historical-crime-data/seven-major-felony-offenses-2000-2019.pdf. Accessed 28 Mar 2020.
Moore T, McCarthy C, Golding B. Shootings on the rise in NYC, up 5% in first 7 months of year. New York, NY: New York Post. 2019 Aug 6. https://nypost.com/2019/08/06/shootings-on-the-rise-in-nyc-up-5-percent-in-first-7-months-of-year/. Accessed 28 Mar 2020.
Bloomberg MR. Foreward. In: Webster DW, Vernick JS, editors. Gun violence in America: informing policy with evidence and analysis. Baltimore, MD: Johns Hopkins University Press; 2013.
Institute of Medicine and National Research Council. Priorities for research to reduce the threat of firearm-related violence. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press; 2013.
Cook PJ. Challenge of firearms control in a free society. Criminol Public Policy. 2018;17(2):437–51.
Braga AA, Cook PJ, Kennedy DM, Moore MH. The illegal supply of firearms. In: Tonry M, editor. Crime and justice: a review of research, vol. 29. Chicago, IL: University of Chicago Press; 2002. p. 229–62.
Braga AA, Wintemute GJ, Pierce GL, Cook PJ, Ridgeway G. Interpreting the empirical evidence on illegal gun market dynamics. J Urban Health. 2012;89(5):779–93.
Giffords Law Center to Prevent Gun Violence. Annual gun law scorecard: New York. 2019. https://lawcenter.giffords.org/scorecard/#NY. Accessed 28 Mar 2020.
Azrael D, Cook PJ, Miller M. State and local prevalence of firearms ownership measurement, structure, and trends. J Quant Criminol. 2004;20:43–62.
Office of the Attorney General. Target on trafficking: New York crime gun analysis. New York, NY: State of New York, Office of the Attorney General. https://targettrafficking.ag.ny.gov/#part1. Accessed 28 Mar 2020.
Cook PJ, Braga AA. Comprehensive firearms tracing: strategic and investigative uses of new data on firearms markets. Arizona Law Rev. 2001;43:277–309.
Wellford C, Pepper JV, Petrie CV, editors. Firearms and violence: a critical review. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press; 2005.
Cook PJ, Ludwig J, Venkatesh S, Braga AA. Underground gun markets. Econ J. 2007;117(11):558–88.
Hureau DM, Braga AA. The trade in tools: the market for illicit guns in high-risk networks. Criminol. 2018;56(3):510–45.
Cook PJ, Molloconi S, Cole T. Regulating gun markets. J Crim Law Criminol. 1995;86:59–92.
Miller M, Hepburn L, Azrael D. Firearm acquisition without background checks: results of a national survey. Ann Intern Med. 2017;166:233–9.
Cook PJ. Gun markets. Ann Rev Criminol. 2018;1:359–77.
Zimring FE. Street crime and new guns: some implications for firearms control. J Crim Justice. 1976;4:95–107.
Bureau of Alcohol, Tobacco and Firearms (ATF). Crime gun trace analysis reports (1997): the illegal firearms market in 17 communities. Washington, DC: Bureau of Alcohol, Tobacco and Firearms; 1997.
Bureau of Alcohol, Tobacco and Firearms (ATF). Crime gun trace analysis (2000): National report. Washington, DC: Bureau of Alcohol, Tobacco and Firearms; 2002.
Congressional Research Service. “Assault weapons:” military-style semi-automatic firearms facts and issues, report 92–434. Washington, DC: Library of Congress; 1992.
Kennedy DM, Piehl AM, Braga AA. Youth violence in Boston: gun markets, serious youth offenders, and a use-reduction strategy. Law & Contemp Probl. 1996;59:147–96.
Braga AA, Hureau DM. Strong gun laws are note enough: the need for improved enforcement of secondhand gun transfer laws in Massachusetts. Prev Med. 2015;79:37–42.
Pierce GL, Briggs L, Carlson D. The identification of patterns in firearms trafficking: implications for a focused enforcement strategy. Washington, DC: U.S. Bureau of Alcohol, Tobacco, and Firearms; 1995.
Wintemute GJ, Cook PJ, Wright M. Risk factors among handgun retailers for frequent and disproportionate sales of guns used in violent and firearm-related crimes. Inj Prev. 2005:379–91.
Pierce GL, Braga AA, Hyatt RR, Koper CS. The characteristics and dynamics of illegal firearms markets: implications for a supply-side enforcement strategy. Justice Q. 2004;21:391–422.
Knight B. State gun policy and cross-state externalities: evidence from crime gun tracing. Am Econ J: Econ Policy. 2013;5(4):200–29.
Cook PJ, Parker S, Pollack HA. Sources of guns to dangerous people: what we learn by asking them. Prev Med. 2015;79:28–36.
Braga AA. Long-term trends in the sources of Boston crime guns. RSF. 2017;3:76–95.
Bureau of Alcohol, Tobacco and Firearms (ATF). Following the gun: enforcing federal laws against firearms traffickers. Washington, DC: U.S. Department of the Treasury; 2000.
Braga AA, Pierce GL. Disrupting illegal firearms markets in Boston: the effects of operation ceasefire on the supply of new handguns to criminals. Criminol Public Policy. 2005;4:717–48.
Wright JD, Rossi PH. Armed and considered dangerous. 2nd ed. Aldine de Gruyter: New York, NY; 1994.
Sheley JF, Wright JD. In the line of fire: youth, guns, and violence in urban America. Aldine de Gruyter: New York, NY; 1995.
Langton L. Firearms stolen during household burglaries and other property crimes, 2005–2010. Washington, DC: U.S. Department of Justice, Bureau of Justice Statistics; 2012.
Kleck G. BATF gun trace data and the role of organized gun trafficking in supplying guns to criminals. Saint Louis University Public Law Review. 1999;18:23–45.
Kleck G, Wang S-YK. The myth of big-time gun trafficking and the overinterpretation of gun tracing data. UCLA Law Rev. 2009;56:1233–94.
Aldrich JH, Nelson FD. Linear probability, logit, and probit models. Newbury Park, CA: SAGE Publications, Inc.; 1984.
Papachristos A, Braga A, Hureau D. Social networks and the risk of gunshot injury. J Urban Health. 2018;89(6):992–1003.
Roberto E, Braga AA, Papachristos AV. Closer to guns: the role of street gangs in facilitating access to illegal firearms. J Urban Health. 2018;95(3):372–82.
Strauss AL. Qualitative analysis for social scientists. Cambridge, UK: Cambridge University Press; 1987.
Ciomek A, Braga AA, Papachristos AV. The influence of firearms trafficking on gunshot injuries in a co-offending network. Soc Sci Med. 2020;259:113114. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.socscimed.2020.113114.
Braga AA. More gun laws or more gun law enforcement. J Policy Anal Mgmt. 2001;20(3):545–9.
Braga AA, Gagliardi PL. Enforcing federal laws against firearms traffickers: raising operational effectiveness by lowering enforcement obstacles. In: Webster DW, Vernick JS, editors. Reducing gun violence in America: informing policy with evidence and analysis. Baltimore, MD: Johns Hopkins University Press; 2013.
Butts JA, Roman CG, Bostwick L, Porter JR. Cure violence: a public health model to reduce gun violence. Ann Rev Public Health. 2015;36:39–53.
Citizens for Safety. Operation Lipstick. Boston, MA. https://www.operationlipstick.org/. Accessed 29 Mar 2020.
Ridgeway G, Braga AA, Tita GE, Pierce GL. Intervening in gun markets: an experiment to assess the impact of targeted gun law messaging. J Exp Criminol. 2011;7(1):103–9.
Webster DW, Zeoli AM, Bulzacchelli MT, Vernick JS. Effects of police stings of gun dealers on the supply of new guns to criminals. Inj Prev. 2006;12:225–30.
Webster DW, Vernick JS, Bulzacchelli MT. Effects of a gun dealer’s change in sales practices on the supply of guns to criminals. J Urban Health. 2006;83:778–87.
Cook PJ, Ludwig J. Aiming for evidence-based gun policy. J Policy Anal Manag. 2006;25(3):691–736.
Cook PJ, Pollack H, White K. The last link: from gun acquisition to criminal use. J Urban Health. 2019;96:784–91.
Acknowledgments
This research was supported by a grant from the New York City Mayor’s Office of Criminal Justice (PIN: 00216N0001). The findings of this research represent the views of the authors and do not necessarily represent the official positions of the City of New York, New York City Police Department (NYPD), or the Bureau of Alcohol, Tobacco, Explosives, and Firearms. We would like to thank former Commissioner William Bratton, First Deputy Commissioner Benjamin Tucker, Deputy Commissioner Tanya Meisenholder, Elizabeth Glazer, Karina Christiansen, and Eric Cumberbatch for their assistance with the completion of this research.
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Corresponding author
Additional information
Publisher’s Note
Springer Nature remains neutral with regard to jurisdictional claims in published maps and institutional affiliations.
Rights and permissions
About this article
Cite this article
Braga, A.A., Brunson, R.K., Cook, P.J. et al. Underground Gun Markets and the Flow of Illegal Guns into the Bronx and Brooklyn: A Mixed Methods Analysis. J Urban Health 98, 596–608 (2021). https://doi.org/10.1007/s11524-020-00477-z
Published:
Issue Date:
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s11524-020-00477-z