Skip to main content
Log in

Spatial-temporal variations in cold surge events in northern China during the period 1960–2016

  • Published:
Journal of Geographical Sciences Aims and scope Submit manuscript

Abstract

Among the most devastating extreme weather events, cold surge (CS) events frequently impact northern China. It has been reported that extreme weather events will increase in the global warming context. However, the direct evidence of this hypothesis is limited. Here, we investigated the changes in frequency, number, duration, and temperature of CS events in northern China using the daily minimum temperature dataset of 331 stations from 1960 to 2016. The results indicate that the annual CS events in terms of frequency and number decreased, and the duration shortened as the starting date was later and the ending date earlier. Meanwhile, the annual CS temperature increased. In addition, spatial trends in the CS events in terms of frequency, number, and duration decreased while the CS temperature increased in most regions of northern China. We interpreted these variations as a response to global warming. However, the extreme CS events in terms of frequency, number and the earliest starting date and the latest ending date showed little change though the extreme CS temperature increased, implying climate warming had not limited extreme CS events. The adverse effect of CS events on agriculture and human health remain concerning.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this article

Price excludes VAT (USA)
Tax calculation will be finalised during checkout.

Instant access to the full article PDF.

Similar content being viewed by others

References

  • Aguilar E, Barry A A, Brunet M et al., 2009. Changes in temperature and precipitation extremes in western Central Africa, Guinea Conakry, and Zimbabwe, 1955–2006. Journal of Geophysical Research, 114(D2): 356–360.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Anagnostopoulou C, Tolika K, Lazoglou G et al., 2017. The exceptionally cold January of 2017 over the Balkan Peninsula: A climatological and synoptic analysis. Atmosphere, 8(12): 252. doi: https://doi.org/10.3390/atmos8120252.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Braga A L F, Zanobetti A, Schwartz J, 2002. The effect of weather on respiratory and cardiovascular deaths in 12 US cities. Environmental Health Perspectives, 110(9): 859–863.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Chen Y L, Chen N, Ma J R et al., 2010. Variety of Ningxia cold waves in the last 48 years and its possible reasons. Journal of Natural Resources, 25(6): 939–951. (in Chinese)

    Google Scholar 

  • Cohen J, Screen J A, Furtado J C et al., 2014. Recent Arctic amplification and extreme mid-latitude weather. Nature Geoscience, 7(9): 627–637.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Ding T, Qian W H, Yan Z W, 2009. Characteristics and changes of cold surge events over China during 1960–2007. Atmospheric and Oceanic Science Letters, 2(6): 339–344.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Dong S, Huang W N, Li X et al., 2017. Study on temporal and spatial characteristics of cold waves in Shandong Province of China. Natural Hazards, 88(1): 191–219.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Gonzalez-Hidalgo J C, Peña-Angulo D, Brunetti M et al., 2016. Recent trend in temperature evolution in Spanish mainland (1951–2010): From warming to hiatus. International Journal of Climatology, 36(6): 2405–2416.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Gronlund C J, Zanobetti A, Wellenius G A et al., 2016. Vulnerability to renal, heat and respiratory hospitalizations during extreme heat among US elderly. Climatic Change, 136(3): 631–645.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Ha K J, Yun K S, 2012. Climate change effects on tropical night days in Seoul, Korea. Theoretical and Applied Climatology, 109(1/2): 191–203.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Honda M, Inoue J, Yamane S, 2009. Influence of low Arctic sea-ice minima on anomalously cold Eurasian winters. Geophysical Research Letters, 36(8): 262–275.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Hu Z Y, Zhang C, Hu S Q et al., 2014. Temperature changes in Central Asia from 1979 to 2011 based on multiple datasets. Journal of Climate, 27(3): 1143–1167.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Inoue J, Masatake E H, Koutarou T, 2012. The role of Barents Sea ice in the wintertime cyclone track and emergence of a warm-Arctic cold-Siberian anomaly. Journal of Climate, 25(7): 2561–2568.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Jiang D, Xiao W H, Wang J H et al., 2018. Evaluation of the effects of one cold wave on heating energy consumption in different regions of northern China. Energy, 142: 331–338.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Johnson N C, Xie S P, Kosaka Y et al., 2018. Increasing occurrence of cold and warm extremes during the recent global warming slowdown. Nature Communications, 9(1): 1724. doi: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-018-04040-y.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Leng G Y, Tang Q H, Rayburg S, 2015. Climate change impacts on meteorological, agricultural and hydrological droughts in China. Global and Planetary Change, 126: 23–34.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Lewis S C, King A D, Perkins-Kirkpatrick S E, 2017. Defining a new normal for extremes in a warming world. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 98(6): 1139–1151.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Lhotka O, Kyselý J, 2015. Characterizing joint effects of spatial extent, temperature magnitude and duration of heat waves and cold spells over Central Europe. International Journal of Climatology, 35(7): 1232–1244.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Li Z, Cao L J, Zhu Y N et al., 2016. Comparison of two homogenized datasets of daily maximum/mean/minimum temperature in China during 1960–2013. Journal of Meteorological Research, 30(1): 53–66.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Liu X F, Zhu X F, Pan Ya Z et al., 2015. Spatiotemporal changes of cold surges in Inner Mongolia between 1960 and 2012. Journal of Geographical Sciences, 25(3): 259–273.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Luo D H, Yao Y, Dai A G et al., 2017a. Increased quasi stationarity and persistence of winter ural blocking and eurasian extreme cold events in response to Arctic warming. Part II: A theoretical explanation. Journal of Climate, 30(10): 3569–3587.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Luo J, Dai J M, Yang H et al., 2017b. Climatic characteristics of cold wave in Xinjiang during the period of 1971–2014. Arid Zone Research, 34(2): 309–315. (in Chinese)

    Google Scholar 

  • Meng X J, Wu Z F, Du H B et al., 2013. Spatio-temporal characteristics of cold wave over northeast China during 1961–2010. Journal of Arid Land Resources and Environment, 27(1): 142–147. (in Chinese)

    Google Scholar 

  • Ministry of Agriculture of the People’s Republic of China (MAC), 1988–2017. Agricultural Statistics of China. Beijing: Chinese Agricultural Press.

    Google Scholar 

  • Qian W H, Zhang W W, 2007. Changes in cold wave events and warm winter in China during the last 46 years. Chinese Journal of Atmospheric Sciences, 31(6): 1266–1278. (in Chinese)

    Google Scholar 

  • Sánchez-Benitez A, Garcia-Herrera R, Barriopedro D et al., 2018. June 2017: The Earliest European summer mega-heatwave of reanalysis period. Geophysical Research Letters, 45(4):1955–1962.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Schoetter R, Cattiaux J, Douville H, 2015. Changes of western European heat wave characteristics projected by the CMIP5 ensemble. Climate Dynamics, 45(5/6): 1601–1616.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Screen J A, Deser C, Sun L T, 2015. Reduced risk of North American cold extremes due to continued Arctic sea ice loss. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 96(9): 1489–1503.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Servino R N, Gomes L E D O, Bernardino A F, 2018. Extreme weather impacts on tropical mangrove forests in the eastern Brazil marine ecoregion. Science of the Total Environment, 628/629: 233–240.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Tao Y W, Dai K, Dong Q et al., 2017. Extreme analysis and ensemble prediction verification on cold wave process in January 2016. Meteorological Monthly, 43(10): 1176–1185. (in Chinese)

    Google Scholar 

  • Trenberth K E, 2011. Changes in precipitation with climate change. Climate Research, 47(1): 123–138.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Wang B L, Zhang M J, Wei J L et al., 2013. Changes in extreme precipitation over Northeast China, 1960–2011. Quaternary International, 298(17): 177–186.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Wang C Z, Zhang Z, Zhou M G et al., 2017. Analyzing the spatial differences of the relationships between low temperature and health risk in China. Journal of Geo-information Science, 19(3): 336–345. (in Chinese)

    Google Scholar 

  • Wang Z Y, Ding Y H, 2006. Climate change of the cold wave frequency of China in the last 53 years and the possible reasons. Chinese Journal of Atmospheric Sciences, 30(6): 1068–1076. (in Chinese)

    Google Scholar 

  • Wei J H, Lin Z H, 2009. The leading mode of wintertime cold wave frequency in northern China during the last 42 years and its association with Arctic Oscillation. Atmospheric Oceanic Science Letters, 2(3): 130–134.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Yao Y, Luo D H, Dai A G et al., 2017. Increased quasi stationarity and persistence of winter Ural Blocking and Eurasian extreme cold events in response to Arctic warming (Part I): Insights from observational analyses. Journal of Climate, 30(10): 3549–3568.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Yin J J, Overpeck J T, Peyser C et al., 2018. Big jump of record warm global mean surface temperature in 2014–2016 related to unusually large oceanic heat releases. Geophysical Research Letters, 45(2): 1069–1078.

    Article  Google Scholar 

Download references

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Corresponding author

Correspondence to Keqin Duan.

Additional information

Foundation: National Natural Science Foundation of China, No.41571062, No.41701592

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

About this article

Check for updates. Verify currency and authenticity via CrossMark

Cite this article

Gao, W., Duan, K. & Li, S. Spatial-temporal variations in cold surge events in northern China during the period 1960–2016. J. Geogr. Sci. 29, 971–983 (2019). https://doi.org/10.1007/s11442-019-1668-0

Download citation

  • Received:

  • Accepted:

  • Published:

  • Issue Date:

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s11442-019-1668-0

Keywords

Navigation