Abstract
This article investigates how the non-linear connection between energy consumption and economic development is influenced by energy intensity level in the context of energy-capital substitution. We firstly analyze the substitutability/complementarity between energy and capital by estimating VES production function within the standard Solow growth model framework for 58 countries over the period of 1975–2017. The selected countries are classified into four groups according to their relative energy intensity levels and their accessibility to energy. The estimation findings reveal that energy and capital are complements in the final output for each country group. Hence, in this paper, as further analysis, the study examines whether or not energy consumption always fosters economic growth. We investigate the non-linear link between energy consumption and economic development by constructing a panel smooth transition regression (PSTR) model for each country group and looking at the impact of energy intensity in this relationship. The empirical results provide that for each country group, there is a threshold level for energy intensity. Regardless of whether a country is a net energy exporter or net energy importer, it needs to use energy efficiently and not exceed the ideal energy intensity level in both production and consumption to maintain long-term economic growth.
Similar content being viewed by others
Data availability
The datasets supporting the results of this article are included within the article and its additional files.
Notes
Lazkano and Pham (2016) adopted the country classification according to the World Bank database for income classification and to Yale University’s Environmental Performance Index (EPI) for environmental classification.
Energy intensity is used to monitor and compare the energy efficiency of countries, sector, and businesses. Energy intensity level is determined by calculating the consumed energy amount in order to produce one unit of product. Thus, increase in energy intensity value is an indicator of less energy efficiency. Quantitatively, it can be showed as 1/energy efficiency (Fisher-Vanden et al. 2004). Therefore, between the two countries that produce the same output during the same time interval, the one that consumes more energy would have the higher energy intensity. In addition to less energy consumption, the low energy intensity also shows the more efficient usage of energy resources during the production process (Aydin and Onay, 2020).
The EoS between energy and capital for VES production function is σ(K,E) = 1 + b2*(K/E)
References
Adetutu MO (2014) Energy efficiency and capital-energy substitutability: evidence from four OPEC countries. Appl Energy 119:363–370. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.apenergy.2014.01.015
Altunc OF, Yildirim A (2020) Capital-energy substitution: does energy sources matter for the elasticity of substitution? An empirical investigation for OECD countries. Siyasal: Journal of Political Sciences 29(2):367–378
Apergis N, Payne JE (2010) Renewable energy consumption and economic growth: evidence from a panel of OECD countries. Energy Policy 38(1):656–660
Aqeel A, Butt MS (2001) The relationship between energy consumption and economic growth in Pakistan. Asia-Pacific Development Journal 8(2):101–110
Arnberg S, Bjørner TB (2007) Substitution between energy, capital and labour within industrial companies: a micro panel data analysis. Resour Energy Econ 29(2):122–136
Aydin C, Esen O (2017) Does too much energy consumption harm economic growth for Turkish Republics in the transition process? New evidence on threshold effects. Int J Energy Econ Policy 7(2):34–43
Aydin C, Esen Ö (2018) Does the level of energy intensity matter in the effect of energy consumption on the growth of transition economies? Evidence from dynamic panel threshold analysis. Energy Econ 69:185–195
Aydin C, Onay RD (2020) Does energy intensity affect the relationship between financial development and environmental pollution? BRAIN. Broad Research in Artificial Intelligence and Neuroscience 11(1):144–156
Aydin C, Aydin H, Altinok H (2022) Does the level of energy intensity matter in the effect of logistic performance on the environmental pollution of OBOR countries? Evidence from PSTR analysis. J Environ Plan Manag 1–19. https://doi.org/10.1080/09640568.2022.2030685
Barro RJ, Lee JW (2013) A new data set of educational attainment in the world, 1950–2010. J Dev Econ 104:184–198
Berndt ER, Wood DO (1975) Technology, prices, and the derived demand for energy. Rev Econ Stat 259–268
BP Statistics (2020) Statistical review of world energy 2020 - 69th edition. https://www.bp.com/en/global/corporate/energy-economics/statistical-review-of-world-energy.html. (accessed 10 January 2021)
Burney NA, Al-Matrouk FT (1996) Energy conservation in electricity generation: a case study of the electricity and water industry in Kuwait. Energy Econ 18(1–2):69–79
Cevik EI, Yıldırım DÇ, Dibooglu S (2021) Renewable and non-renewable energy consumption and economic growth in the US: a Markov-Switching VAR analysis. Energy Environ 32(3):519–541. https://doi.org/10.1177/0958305X20944035
Cleveland CJ, Kaufmann RK, Stern DI (2000) Aggregation and the role of energy in the economy. Ecol Econ 32(2):301–317
Denny M, Fuss M, Waverman L (1981) The substitution possibilities for energy, modeling and measuring natural resource substitution. MIT Press, Cambridge
Duffy J, Papageorgiou C (2000) A cross-country empirical investigation of the aggregate production function specification. J Econ Growth 5(1):87–120. https://doi.org/10.1023/A:1009830421147
Esen O, Bayrak M (2017) Does more energy consumption support economic growth in net energy-importing countries? J Econ Finance Adm Sci 22(42):75–98. https://doi.org/10.1108/JEFAS-01-2017-0015/full/html
Feenstra RC, Robert I, Marcel PT (2015) The next generation of the Penn World Table. Am Econ Rev 105(10):3150–3182
Fisher-Vanden K, Jefferson GH, Liu H, Tao Q (2004) What is driving China’s decline in energy intensity? Resour Energy Econ 26(1):77–97
Fouquau J, Hurlin C, Rabaud I (2008) The Feldstein-Horioka puzzle: a panel smooth transition regression approach. Econ Model 25:284–299
González A, Terasvirta T, Van Dijk D, Yang Y (2005) Panel smooth transition model and an application to investment under credit constraints. Technical Report, Working Paper
Huang BN, Hwang MJ, Yang CW (2008) Causal relationship between energy consumption and GDP growth revisited: a dynamic panel data approach. Ecol Econ 67(1):41–54
Inklaar R, Timmer, MP (2013) Capital, Labor and TFP in PWT8. 0. University of Groningen (unpublished), 23–24
Karagiannis G, Palivos T, Papageorgiou C (2005) Variable elasticity of substitution and economic growth: theory and evidence. In: New trends in macroeconomics, 21–37. Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg
Kim J, Heo E (2013) Asymmetric substitutability between energy and capital: evidence from the manufacturing sectors in 10 OECD countries. Energy Econ 40:81–89
Klump R, de La Grandville O (2000) Economic growth and the elasticity of substitution: two theorems and some suggestions. Am Econ Rev 90(1):282–291
Klump R, Preissler H (2000) CES production functions and economic growth. Scand J Econ 102(1):41–56
Komal R, Abbas F (2015) Linking financial development, economic growth and energy consumption in Pakistan. Renew Sustain Energy Rev 44:211–220
Lazkano I, Pham L (2016) Can capital-energy substitution foster economic growth? Land Econ 92(3):491–514
Lee CC, Chang CP (2007) Energy consumption and GDP revisited: a panel analysis of developed and developing countries. Energy Econ 29(6):1206–1223
Lin B, Abudu H (2019) Changes in energy intensity during the development process: evidence in sub-Saharan Africa and policy implications. Energy 183:1012–1022. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.energy.2019.06.174
Lucas RE (1988) On the mechanics of economic development. J Monet Econ 22:3–42
Moon HR, Perron B (2004) Testing for a unit root in panels with dynamic factors. J Econometrics 122(1):81–126
Munir Q, Lean HH, Smyth R (2020) CO2 emissions, energy consumption and economic growth in the ASEAN-5 countries: a cross-sectional dependence approach. Energy Econ 85:104571
Narayan PK, Popp S (2012) The energy consumption-real GDP nexus revisited: empirical evidence from 93 countries. Econ Model 29(2):303–308
Nijkamp P, Wang S, Kremers H (2005) Modeling the impacts of international climate change policies in a CGE context: the use of the GTAP-E model. Econ Model 22(6):955–974
Ocal O, Aslan A (2013) Renewable energy consumption–economic growth nexus in Turkey. Renew Sustain Energy Rev 28:494–499
Omay T, Hasanov M, Ucar N (2014) Energy consumption and economic growth: evidence from nonlinear panel co-integration and causality tests. Applied Econometrics, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA), 34(2), 36–55
Ozatalay S, Grubaugh S, Long TV (1979) Energy substitution and national energy policy. Am Econ Rev 69(2):369–371
Palivos T, Karagiannis G (2004) The elasticity of substitution in convex models of endogenous growth. Political Economy Perspectives on the Greek Crisis-Debt
Psacharopoulos G (1994) Returns to investment in education: a global update. World Dev 22(9):1325–1343
Razzaq A, Sharif A, Najmi A, Tseng ML, Lim MK (2021) Dynamic and causality interrelationships from municipal solid waste recycling to economic growth, carbon emissions and energy efficiency using a novel bootstrapping autoregressive distributed lag. Resour Conserv Recycl 166:105372. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.resconrec.2020.105372
Revankar NS (1971) A class of variable elasticity of substitution production functions. Econometrica 39(1):61–71
Romer PM (1986) Increasing returns and long-run growth. J Polit Econ 94:1002–1037
Shen K, Whalley J (2017) Capital–labor–energy substitution in nested CES production functions for China. In: The economies of China and India cooperation and conflict: volume 2: Competitiveness, External Cooperation Strategy and Income Distribution—Changes in China 15–27. https://doi.org/10.3386/w19104
Stern DI (2000) A multivariate cointegration analysis of the role of energy in the US macroeconomy. Energy Econ 22(2):267–283
Smyth R, Narayan PK, Shi H (2011) Substitution between energy and classical factor inputs in the Chinese steel sector. Appl Energy 88(1):361–367
Tallman EW, Wang P (1994) Human capital and endogenous growth evidence from Taiwan. J Monet Econ 34(1):101–124. https://doi.org/10.1016/0304-3932(94)01152-4
Teräsvirta T, Tjøstheim D, Granger CW (1994) Aspects of modelling nonlinear time series. Handb Econ 4:2917–2957
Wesseh PK Jr, Lin B (2020) Energy substitution and technology costs in a transitional economy. Energy 203:1–9
World Bank (2021) Energy imports, net (%of energy use). https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/EG.IMP.CONS.ZS?view=chart, (accessed 20 February 2021)
Yıldırım A (2018) Private-public capital, elasticity of substitution and economic growth. Hacettepe University Graduate School of Social Sciences Department of Economics Ph.D. Dissertation, Ankara-Turkey
Yıldırım DÇ, Yıldırım S, Demirtas I (2019) Investigating energy consumption and economic growth for BRICS-T countries. World Journal of Science, Technology and Sustainable Development. https://doi.org/10.1108/WJSTSD-12-2018-0063
Yuxiang K, Chen Z (2010) Financial development and environmental performance: evidence from China. Environ Dev Econ 16(1):93–111. https://doi.org/10.1017/S1355770X10000422
Zheng Z, Liu D (2004) Uncertainty of capital-energy substitution in China. Oper Res Manag Sci 13(2):74–78
Zhou P, Zhang H, Zhang LP (2022) The drivers of energy intensity changes in Chinese cities: A production-theoretical decomposition analysis. Appl Energy 307:118230. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.apenergy.2021.118230
Acknowledgements
This research paper is derived from Reyhan Demir Onay’s Ph.D. dissertation titled “Energy, Energy Intensity, Elasticity of Substitution and Economic Growth with VES Production Function,” completed under the supervision of Assoc. Prof. Celil Aydin.
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Contributions
Reyhan Demir Onay and Celil Aydin performed the analyses with constructive discussions. Reyhan Demir Onay and Ismail Sahin wrote the manuscript. All the authors read and approved the final manuscript.
Corresponding author
Ethics declarations
Ethics approval and consent to participate
Not applicable.
Consent for publication
Written informed consent for publication was obtained from all participants.
Conflict of interests
The authors declare no competing interests.
Additional information
Responsible Editor: Arshian Sharif
Publisher's note
Springer Nature remains neutral with regard to jurisdictional claims in published maps and institutional affiliations.
Electronic supplementary material
Below is the link to the electronic supplementary material.
Rights and permissions
About this article
Cite this article
Aydin, C., Onay, R.D. & Şahin, İ. Does energy intensity matter in the nexus between energy consumption and economic growth regarding capital-energy substitution?. Environ Sci Pollut Res 29, 88240–88255 (2022). https://doi.org/10.1007/s11356-022-21927-y
Received:
Accepted:
Published:
Issue Date:
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s11356-022-21927-y