Skip to main content

Advertisement

SpringerLink
Log in

A district-level analysis for measuring the effects of climate change on production of agricultural crops, i.e., wheat and paddy: evidence from India

  • Research Article
  • Published:
Environmental Science and Pollution Research Aims and scope Submit manuscript

Abstract

The present study aims to examine the impact of climate change on wheat and rice yield in Punjab, India, during 1981–2017. The study employs fully modified ordinary least squares (FMOLS), dynamic ordinary least squares (DOLS), and pooled mean group (PMG) approaches. The Pedroni cointegration has established a long-run relationship of climate variables with rice and wheat crops. FMOLS and DOLS models show that minimum temperature has a positive effect on both wheat and rice. In contrast, the maximum temperature is found to be negatively contributing to both crops. Rainfall has a significant adverse impact on the production of wheat. In the study period, seasonal rainfall has been found detrimental for the production of wheat and rice crops, indicating that excess rainfall proved counterproductive. Moreover, the Dumitrescu-Hurlin causality test has revealed a unidirectional causality running from minimum temperature, rainfall, and maximum temperature for rice and wheat production. The findings of the study suggest that the government should invest in developing stress-tolerant varieties of wheat and rice, managing crop residuals to curb other environmental effects, and sustaining natural resources for ensuring food security.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this article

Log in via an institution

Price excludes VAT (USA)
Tax calculation will be finalised during checkout.

Instant access to the full article PDF.

Institutional subscriptions

Fig. 1
Fig. 2
Fig. 3
Fig. 4
Fig. 5
Fig. 6
Fig. 7
Fig. 8
Fig. 9
Fig. 10
Fig. 11
Fig. 12

Similar content being viewed by others

Data availability

Data will be made available upon request.

References

  • Abbas S (2021) Climate change and major crop production: evidence from Pakistan. Environmental Science and Pollution Research, Fao 2020. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11356-021-16041-4

  • Abbas S, Mayo ZA (2021) Impact of temperature and rainfall on rice production in Punjab, Pakistan. Environ Dev Sustain 23:1706–1728. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10668-020-00647-8

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Abbas, S., Kousar, S., Shirazi, S. A., Yaseen, M., & Latif, Y. (2021). Illuminating Empirical Evidence of Climate Change: Impacts on Rice Production in the Punjab Regions, Pakistan. Agricultural Research. https://doi.org/10.1007/s40003-021-00548-w

  • Ageliki A, Dimitris K, George P (2016) Integrating the Neighbors: A Dynamic Panel Analysis of the EU-ENP Countries’ Trade Relations. Comparative Economic Studies, Palgrave Macmillan 58(1):17–42

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Ahsan F, Chandio AA, Fang W (2020) Climate change impacts on cereal crops production in Pakistan: Evidence from cointegration analysis. International Journal of Climate Change Strategies and Management 12(2):257–269. https://doi.org/10.1108/IJCCSM-04-2019-0020

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Akpolat, A. G. (2014). The Long-Term Impact of Human Capital Investment on GDP: A Panel Cointegrated Regression Analysis. Economics Research International. 1(10). https://doi.org/10.1155/2014/646518

  • Alvarado R, Tillaguango B, Dagar V, Ahmad M, Işık C, Méndez P, Toledo E (2021) Ecological footprint, economic complexity and natural resources rents in Latin America: Empirical evidence using quantile regressions. J Clean Prod 318(August):128585. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jclepro.2021.128585

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Amir J, Sinclair TR (1991) A model of the temperature and solar-radiation effects on spring wheat growth and yield. Field Crops Research 28(1–2):47–58. https://doi.org/10.1016/0378-4290(91)90073-5

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Appiah K, Du J, Poku J (2018) Causal relationship between agricultural production and carbon dioxide emissions in selected emerging economies. Environ Sci Pollut Res 25:24764–24777. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11356-018-2523-z

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Arrhenius S (1896) On the influence of carbonic acid in the air upon the temperature of the ground. Phil Mag 41:237–276

    Article  CAS  Google Scholar 

  • Asseng S, Foster I, Turner NC (2011) The impact of temperature variability on wheat yields. Glob Change Biol 17:997–1012. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1365-2486.2010.02262.x

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Asteriou D, Pilbeam K, Pratiwi CE (2021) Public debt and economic growth: panel data evidence for Asian countries. J Econ Finan 45:270–287. https://doi.org/10.1007/s12197-020-09515-7

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Attiaoui I, Boufateh T (2019) Impacts of climate change on cereal farming in Tunisia: a panel ARDL–PMG approach. Environ Sci Pollut Res 26:13334–13345. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11356-019-04867-y

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Baig IA, Ahmed F, Salam MA, Khan SM (2020) An assessment of climate change and crop productivity in India: a multivariate cointegration framework. TEST Engineering & Management 83:3438–3452

    Google Scholar 

  • Bansal S, Kumar P, Mohammad S, Ali N, Ansari MA (2021) Asymmetric Effects of Cereals Crops on Agricultural Economic Growth: A Case Study of India. SN Business & Economics 1. https://doi.org/10.1007/s43546-021-00166-2

  • Barbieri L (2008) Panel Cointegration Tests: A Survey. Rivista Internazionale Di Scienze Sociali 116(1):3–36

    Google Scholar 

  • Brown, M. E., & Funk, C. C. (2008). Food security under climate change. Science, 319(5863), 580–581. https://doi.org/10.1126/science.1154102

  • Chamberlin TC (1897) A group of hypothesis bearing on climatic changes. J Geol 5:653–683

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Chandio AA, Gokmenoglu KK, Ahmad F (2021a) Addressing the long- and short-run effects of climate change on major food crops production in Turkey. Environ Sci Pollut Res 28(37):51657–51673. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11356-021-14358-8

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Chandio AA, Gokmenoglu KK, Ahmad M, Jiang Y (2021b) Towards Sustainable Rice Production in Asia: The Role of Climatic Factors. Earth Systems and Environment. https://doi.org/10.1007/s41748-021-00210-z

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Chandio, A. A., Jiang, Y., Ahmad, F., Adhikari, S., & Ain, Q. U. (2021). Assessing the impacts of climatic and technological factors on rice production: Empirical evidence from Nepal. Technology in Society, 66(December 2020), 101607. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.techsoc.2021.101607

  • Chandio AA, Jiang Y, Rauf A, Ahmad F, Amin W, Shehzad K (2020a) Assessment of formal credit and climate change impact on agricultural production in Pakistan: A time series ARDL modeling approach. Sustainability (switzerland) 12(13):1–19. https://doi.org/10.3390/su12135241

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Chandio AA, Magsi H, Ozturk I (2020b) Examining the effects of climate change on rice production: case study of Pakistan. Environ Sci Pollut Res 27(8):7812–7822. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11356-019-07486-9

    Article  CAS  Google Scholar 

  • Chandio AA, Jiang Y, Rehman A, Rauf A (2020c) Short and long-run impacts of climate change on agriculture: an empirical evidence from China. International Journal of Climate Change Strategies and Management 12(2):201–221. https://doi.org/10.1108/IJCCSM-05-2019-0026

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Chandio AA, Ozturk I, Akram W (2020d) Empirical analysis of climate change factors affecting cereal yield: evidence from Turkey. Environ Sci Pollut Res 27:11944–11957. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11356-020-07739-y

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Chien, M., Lee, C. & Cai, S. (2014). A Panel Cointegration Analysis for Macroeconomic Determinants of International Housing Market. World Academy of Science, Engineering and Technology. International Journal of Economics and Management Engineering, 8(7), 2066– 2073. 10.5281/zenodo.1093548

  • Chiotti QP, Johnston T (1995) Extending the boundaries of climate change research: a discussion on agriculture. J Rural Stud 11(3):335–350

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Chishti MZ, Ahmad M, Rehman A, Khan MK (2021) Mitigations pathways towards sustainable development: assessing the influence of fiscal and monetary policies on carbon emissions in BRICS economies. J Clean Prod 292:126035. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jclepro.2021.126035

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Chowdhury, I. U. A., & Khan, M. A. E. (2015). The impact of climate change on rice yield in Bangladesh: a time series analysis. Russian Journal of Agricultural and Socio-Economic Sciences, 40(4).

  • Dagar V, Bansal E, Murshed M, Mishra V, Alvarado R, Kumar A, Anser MK (2020a) Stochastic frontier analysis to measure technical efficiency: Evidence from skilled and unskilled agricultural labour in india. International Journal of Agricultural and Statistical Sciences 16(2):647–657

    Google Scholar 

  • Dagar, V., Bhattacharjee, M., Ahmad, F., Charan, A., & Jit, P. (2020). A Comparative Stochastic Frontier Analysis for Technical Efficiency of Irrigation in Haryana. Int. J. Agricult. Stat. Sci, 16(1), 199–209. https://www.researchgate.net/publication/342353144

  • Dagar V, Khan MK, Alvarado R, Usman M, Zakari A, Rehman A, Murshed M, Tillaguango B (2021a) Variations in technical efficiency of farmers with distinct land size across agro-climatic zones: Evidence from India. J Clean Prod 315(June):128109. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jclepro.2021.128109

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Dagar V, Paramjit B, M., Ahmad, F., & Pawariya, V. (2020c) Stochastic frontier analysis for measuring technical efficiency of neem coated urea: Evidence from North India. International Journal of Agricultural and Statistical Sciences 16(1):361–371. https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.4027114

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Dagar V, Tiwari AK, Mishra S, Mahajan V, Singh S, Jit P, Saroha K, Khan MK, Rehman A (2021b) Covid 19 - Risk management and technical efficiency of farmers post migration of agricultural labour in India. International Journal of Agricultural and Statistical Sciences 16:965–977

    Google Scholar 

  • Demirhan H (2020) Impact of increasing temperature anomalies and carbon dioxide emissions on wheat production. Sci Total Environ 741:139616. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2020.139616

    Article  CAS  Google Scholar 

  • Dkhar DK, Feroze SM, Singh R (2017) Effect of Rainfall Variability on Rice Yield in North Eastern Hills of India: A Case Study. Agricultural Research 6:341–346. https://doi.org/10.1007/s40003-017-0276-4

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Dumitrescu EI, Hurlin C (2012) Testing for Granger non-causality in heterogeneous panels. Econ Model 29(4):1450–1460. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.econmod.2012.02.014

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Dumrul, Y., Kilicarslan, Z., (2017). Economic impacts of climate change on agriculture: empirical evidence from ARDL approach for Turkey. Journal of Business, Economics and Finance, 6(4), 336–347. https://doi.org/10.17261/Pressacademia.2017.766.

  • Falkenmark M, Molden D (2008) Wake up to realities of river basin closure. Int J Water Resour Dev 24(2):201–215. https://doi.org/10.1080/07900620701723570

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Felkner J, Tazhibayeva K, Townsend R (2009) Impact of climate change on rice production in Thailand. American Economic Review 99(2):205–210. https://doi.org/10.1257/aer.99.2.205

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Grover DK, Upadhya D (2014) Changing Climate Pattern and Its Impact on Paddy Productivity in Ludhiana District of Punjab. Indian Journal of Agricultural Economics 69(1):1–13

    Google Scholar 

  • Guntukula R (2019) Assessing the impact of climate change on Indian agriculture: Evidence from major crop yields. J Public Aff 20(1):1–7. https://doi.org/10.1002/pa.204

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Guntukula, R., & Goyari, P. (2020). The impact of climate change on maize yields and its variability in Telangana, India: A panel approach study. Journal of Public Affairs. https://doi.org/10.1002/pa.2088

  • Gupta, R., & Mishra, A. (2019). Climate change induced impact and uncertainty of rice yield of agro-ecological zones of India. Agricultural Systems, 173(October 2018), 1–11. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.agsy.2019.01.009

  • He W, Liu Y, Sun H, Taghizadeh-Hesary F (2020) How does climate change affect rice yield in China? Agriculture (switzerland) 10(10):1–16. https://doi.org/10.3390/agriculture10100441

    Article  CAS  Google Scholar 

  • Houghton JT, Jenkins GJ, Ephraums JJ (eds) (1990) Climate Change: The IPCC Scientific Assessment. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge

    Google Scholar 

  • Hundal S, Kaur P (2007) Climatic variability and its impact on cereal productivity in Indian Punjab. Curr Sci 92(4):506–512

    Google Scholar 

  • Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (2018). Global Warming of 1.5° C: An IPCC Special Report on the Impacts of Global Warming of 1.5° C Above Pre-industrial Levels and Related Global Greenhouse Gas Emission Pathways, in the Context of Strengthening the Global Response to the Threat of Climate Change, Sustainable Development, and Efforts to Eradicate Poverty.

  • IPCC, Climate Change (2007). The physical science basis. Contribution of working group I to the fourth assessment report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, United Kingdom and New York, NY, USA, 996, 2007.

  • Jan I, Ashfaq M, Chandio AA (2021) Impacts of climate change on yield of cereal crops in northern climatic region of Pakistan. Environ Sci Pollut Res 28(42):60235–60245. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11356-021-14954-8

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Janjua PZ, Samad G, Khan N (2014) Climate Change and Wheat Production in Pakistan: An Autoregressive Distributed Lag Approach. NJAS - Wageningen Journal of Life Sciences 68:13–19. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.njas.2013.11.002

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Jha B, Tripathi A (2011) Isn’t Climate Change Affecting Wheat Productivity in India? Indian Journal of Agricultural Economics 66(3):1–12

    Google Scholar 

  • Kaimakamis, I., Aggelopoulos, S., & Pavloudi, A. (2013). Agricultural Production & Climate Changes. A Case of Greece. Journal of Environmental Protection and Ecology. 14(2), 693–698.

  • Kakarlapudi, K. K. (2012). Agricultural Growth Deceleration in India: An Enquiry into Possible Explanations. Journal of Regional Development and Planning, 1(1), 25–40. https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/id/eprint/35865

  • Kashyap D, Agarwal T (2021) Temporal trends of climatic variables and water footprint of rice and wheat production in Punjab, India from 1986 to 2017. Journal of Water and Climate Change 12(4):1203–1219. https://doi.org/10.2166/wcc.2020.093

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Kaur N, Kaur P (2019) Maize yield projections under different climate change scenarios in different districts of Punjab. Journal of Agrometeorology 21(2):154–158

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Kaur. P., Sandhu, S.S., Simarnjit & Gill, K.K. (2013). Climate change- Punjab Scenario. AICRPAM, School of climate change and agricultural Meteorology, Punjab Agriculture, Ludhiana. 1–16.

  • Kleinjan, J. (2021). Low Temperature Effects on Winter Wheat. Retrieved from: https://extension.sdstate.edu/low-temperature-effects-winter-wheat

  • Koirala, K. H., Mishra, A. K. & Mohanty, S. (2014). Impact of Land Ownership on Productivity and Efficiency of Rice Farmers: A Simulated Maximum Likelihood Approach. Minneapolis, Minnesota 170608, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.

  • Kotschi, J. (2007). Agricultural Biodiversity Is Essential for Adapting to Climate Change. GAIA-Ecological Perspectives for Science and Society, 16, 98–101. https://doi.org/10.14512/gaia.16.2.8

  • Kumar S, Sidana BK (2019) Impact of climate change on the productivity of rice and wheat crops in Punjab. Econ Pol Wkly 54(46):38–46

    Google Scholar 

  • Kumar P, Sahu NC, Kumar S, Ansari MA (2021a) Impact of climate change on cereal production: evidence from lower-middle-income countries. Environ Sci Pollut Res 1–15. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11356-021-14373-9

  • Kumar P, Sahu NC, Ansari MA, Kumar S (2021b) Climate change and rice production in India: role of ecological and carbon footprint. J Agribus Dev Emerg Econ. https://doi.org/10.1108/JADEE-06-2021-0152

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Libanio GA (2005) Unit roots in macroeconomic time series: theory, implications, and evidence. Nova Economia, Economics Department, Universidade Federal De Minas Gerais 15(3):145–176

    Google Scholar 

  • Lobell DB, Burke MB, Tebaldi C, Mastrandrea MD, Falcon WP, Naylor RL (2008) Prioritizing climate change adaptation needs for food security in 2030. Science 319(5863):607–610

    Article  CAS  Google Scholar 

  • Loum, A., & Fogarassy, C. (2015). The effects of climate change on cereals yield of production and food security in Gambia. Applied Studies in Agribusiness and Commerce. 9(4), 83–92. https://doi.org/10.19041/APSTRACT/2015/4/11

  • Mahmood N, Ahmad B, Hassan S, Bakhsh K (2012) Impact of temperature and precipitation on rice productivity in rice-wheat cropping system of Punjab Province. J Anim Plant Sci 22(4):993–997

    Google Scholar 

  • Malhi GS, Kaur M, Kaushik P (2021) Impact of Climate Change on Agriculture and Its Mitigation Strategies: A Review. Sustainability 13:1318. https://doi.org/10.3390/su13031318

    Article  CAS  Google Scholar 

  • Ministry of Agriculture & Farmers’ Welfare, (2020). Annual Report, 2019–20. https://agricoop.nic.in/sites/default/files/ACFW%20English%20%20Annual%20Report%202019-20.pdf.

  • Mitic P, Ivanovic OM, Zdravkovic A (2017) A Cointegration Analysis of Real GDP and CO2 Emissions in Transitional Countries. Sustainability 9(4):1–18

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Mohapatra, L., & Gopalaswamy, A. (2016). FDI, Domestic Investment And 2008 Financial Crisis: Evidence from Emerging Nations. The Journal of Developing Areas, 50(6), 277–289. https://www.jstor.org/stable/26415666

  • Morton JF (2007) The impact of climate change on smallholder and subsistence agriculture. Proc Natl Acad Sci 104(50):19680–19685

    Article  CAS  Google Scholar 

  • Nasrullah M, Rizwanullah M, Yu X, Jo H, Sohail MT, Liang L (2021) Autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) approach to study the impact of climate change and other factors on rice production in South Korea. Journal of Water and Climate Change 12(6):2256–2270. https://doi.org/10.2166/wcc.2021.030

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Ndoricimpa A (2014) Heterogeneous Panel Causality Between Exports and Growth in COMESA Countries. The Journal of Developing Areas 48(4):349–361

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Neal T (2014) Panel Cointegration Analysis with Xtpedroni. Stand Genomic Sci 14(3):684–692. https://doi.org/10.1177/1536867X1401400312

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Olayide OE, Tetteh IK, Popoola L (2016) Differential impacts of rainfall and irrigation on agricultural production in Nigeria: Any lessons for climate-smart agriculture? Agricultural Water Management 178:30–36. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.agwat.2016.08.034

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Onyeneke, R. U. (2020). Does climate change adaptation lead to increased productivity of rice production? Lessons from Ebonyi State, Nigeria. Renewable Agriculture and Food Systems. https://doi.org/10.1017/S1742170519000486

  • Othman, A. N. & Masih, M. (2015). Do profit and loss sharing (PLS) deposits also affect PLS financing? Evidence from Malaysia based on DOLS, FMOLS and system GMM techniques. MPRA Paper 65224, University Library of Munich, Germany.

  • Peng S, Huang J, Sheehy JE, Laza RC, Visperas RM, Zhong X, Centeno GS, Khush GS, Cassman KG (2004) Rice yields decline with higher night temperature from global warming. Proc Natl Acad Sci USA 101(27):9971–9975. https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.0403720101

    Article  CAS  Google Scholar 

  • Pickson RB, He G, Boateng E (2021) Impacts of climate change on rice production: evidence from 30 Chinese provinces. Environ Dev Sustain 0123456789. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10668-021-01594-8

  • Porter JR, Howden M, Smith P (2017) Considering agriculture in IPCC assessments. Nat Clim Chang 7(10):680–683

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Prasanna, P. A., Kumar, S., & Singh, A. (2009). Rice Production in India—Implications of Land Inequity and Market Imperfections1. Agricultural Economics Research Review, 22(conf), 431–442.

  • Praveen, B., & Sharma, P. (2019a). Climate Change and its impacts on Indian agriculture: An Econometric analysis. Journal of Public Affairs. https://doi.org/10.1002/pa.1972

  • Praveen, B., & Sharma, P. (2019b). Climate variability and its impacts on agriculture production and future prediction using autoregressive integrated moving average method (ARIMA). Journal of Public Affairs. https://doi.org/10.1002/pa.2016

  • Rafindadi AA, Ozturk I (2017) Dynamic Effects of Financial Development, Trade Openness and Economic Growth on Energy Consumption: Evidence from South Africa. International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy 7(3):74–85

    Google Scholar 

  • Raimondo M, Nazzaro C, Marotta G, Caracciolo F (2021) Land degradation and climate change: Global impact on wheat yields. Land Degrad Dev 32(1):387–398. https://doi.org/10.1002/ldr.3699

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Ramirez, M. D., (2006). A Panel Unit Root and Panel Cointegration Test of the Complementarity Hypothesis in the Mexican Case, 1960–2001. Center Discussion Papers 28402, Yale University, Economic Growth Center. https://https://doi.org/10.22004/ag.econ.28402

  • Rayamajhee V, Guo W, Bohara AK (2021) The impact of climate change on rice production in Nepal. Economics of Disasters and Climate Change 5(1):111–134. https://doi.org/10.1007/s41885-020-00079-8

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Samargandi, N., Fidrmuc, J., & Ghosh, S., (2014). Financial development and economic growth in an oil-rich economy: The case of Saudi Arabia. Economic Modelling. 43(C), 267–278. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.econmod.2014.07.042

  • Sandhu SS, Kaur P, Gill KK, Vashisth BB (2020) The effect of recent climate shifts on optimal sowing windows for wheat in Punjab, India. Journal of Water and Climate Change 11(4):1177–1190. https://doi.org/10.2166/wcc.2019.241

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Sarker MAR, Khorshed A, Jeff G (2014) Assessing the effects of climate change on rice yields: An econometric investigation using Bangladeshi panel data. Economic Analysis and Policy 44(4):405–416. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eap.2014.11.004

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Saseendran SA, Singh KK, Rathore LS (2000) Effects of Climate Change on Rice Production in the Tropical Humid Climate of Kerala, India. Clim Change 44:495–514. https://doi.org/10.1023/A:1005542414134

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Shabbir G, Khaliq T, Ahmad A, Saqib M (2020) Assessing the climate change impacts and adaptation strategies for rice production in Punjab Pakistan. Environmental Science and Pollution Research 27(18):22568–22578. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11356-020-08846-6

    Article  CAS  Google Scholar 

  • Sidhu RS, Kamal V (2013) Climate change and wheat yields in Punjab: the impact of rise in temperature. Agricultural Situation in India 69(10):29–32

    Google Scholar 

  • Singh, A. K. (2020). Climate Change Assessing the Climate Change Impact on Rice. March.

  • Sudmeyer. R, Edward. A, Fazakerley. V, Simpkin. L & Foster, I. (2016). Climate change: impacts and adaptation for agriculture in Western Australia. Bulletin 4870, Department of Agriculture and Food, Western Australia, Perth.

  • Tan BT, Fam PS, Firdaus RB, Tan ML, Gunaratne MS (2021) Impact of Climate Change on Rice Yield in Malaysia: A Panel Data Analysis. Agriculture 11(6):569. https://doi.org/10.3390/agriculture11060569

    Article  CAS  Google Scholar 

  • Tan S, Heerink N, Kuyvenhoven A, Qu F (2010) Impact of land fragmentation on rice producers’ technical efficiency in South-East China. Wagening J Life Sci 57:117–123

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Tataw JT, Baier F, Krottenthaler F (2016) Climate change induced rainfall patterns affect wheat productivity and agroecosystem functioning dependent on soil types. Ecol Res 31:203–212. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11284-015-1328-5

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Tatoglu F (2011) The long and short run effects between unemployment and economic growth in Europe. Doğuş Üniversitesi Dergisi 12(1):99–113

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Tripathi A, Prasad AR (2009) Agricultural Development in India since Independence: A Study on Progress, Performance, and Determinants. Journal of Emerging Knowledge on Emerging Markets 1:63–92. https://doi.org/10.7885/1946-651X.1007

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Vyankatrao NK (2017) Impact of climate change on agricultural production in India: effect on rice productivity. Biosci Discov 8(4):897–914

    Google Scholar 

  • Vyas, V.S. (2003), India's Agrarian Structure, Economic Policies and Sustainable Development: Variations on a Theme, Academic Foundation, New Delhi.

  • Warsame AA, Sheik-Ali IA, Ali AO, Sarkodie SA (2021) Climate change and crop production nexus in Somalia: an empirical evidence from ARDL technique. Environ Sci Pollut Res 28(16):19838–19850. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11356-020-11739-3

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Wiersma, J. (2018). University of Minnesota Extension. Retrieved from https://extension.umn.edu/growing-small-grains/how-high-temperatures-affect-wheat-yield-potential

  • World Bank. (2020, Sep). Agriculture and Food. https://www.worldbank.org/en/topic/agriculture/overview.

  • Yu Q, Li L, Luo Q, Eamus D, Xu S, Chen C, Nielsen DC (2013) Year patterns of climate impact on wheat yields. Int J Climatol 34(2):518–528. https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.3704

  • Zaied, Y., & Zouabi, O. (2015). Climate change impacts on agriculture: A panel cointegration approach and application to Tunisia. https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/id/eprint/64711

  • Zhai S, Song G, Qin Y, Ye X, Lee J (2017) Modeling the impacts of climate change and technical progress on the wheat yield in inland China: An autoregressive distributed lag approach. PLoS ONE 12(9):e0184474. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0184474

    Article  CAS  Google Scholar 

  • Zhang T, Zhu J, Wassmann R (2010) Responses of rice yields to recent climate change in China: An empirical assessment based on long-term observations at different spatial scales (1981–2005). Agric for Meteorol 150:1128–1137. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.agrformet.2010.04.013

    Article  Google Scholar 

Download references

Acknowledgements

Not Applicable

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

  1. Department of Economics, School of Business, Lovely Professional University, Jalandhar, Punjab, 144 411, India

    Mandeep Bhardwaj & Ashish Kumar

  2. School of Humanities, Social Sciences, and Management, Indian Institute of Technology Bhubaneswar, Odisha, 752 050, India

    Pushp Kumar & Siddharth Kumar

  3. Amity School of Economics, Amity University Uttar Pradesh, Noida, 201 301, India

    Vishal Dagar

Authors
  1. Mandeep Bhardwaj
    View author publications

    You can also search for this author in PubMed Google Scholar

  2. Pushp Kumar
    View author publications

    You can also search for this author in PubMed Google Scholar

  3. Siddharth Kumar
    View author publications

    You can also search for this author in PubMed Google Scholar

  4. Vishal Dagar
    View author publications

    You can also search for this author in PubMed Google Scholar

  5. Ashish Kumar
    View author publications

    You can also search for this author in PubMed Google Scholar

Contributions

Mandeep Bhardwaj and Pushp Kumar have done the Literature Review, Data Analysis and Results Reporting. Siddharth Kumar, Vishal Dagar, and Ashish Kumar have compiled the Introduction and Discussion of the Results. Pushp Kumar and Mandeep Bhardwaj have done the overall formatting of the paper. All authors have read and approved the manuscript.

Corresponding author

Correspondence to Pushp Kumar.

Ethics declarations

Ethics approval and consent to participate

Not applicable.

Consent for publication

Not applicable.

Competing interests

The authors declare no competing interests.

Additional information

Responsible Editor: Philippe Garrigues

Publisher's Note

Springer Nature remains neutral with regard to jurisdictional claims in published maps and institutional affiliations.

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

About this article

Check for updates. Verify currency and authenticity via CrossMark

Cite this article

Bhardwaj, M., Kumar, P., Kumar, S. et al. A district-level analysis for measuring the effects of climate change on production of agricultural crops, i.e., wheat and paddy: evidence from India. Environ Sci Pollut Res 29, 31861–31885 (2022). https://doi.org/10.1007/s11356-021-17994-2

Download citation

  • Received:

  • Accepted:

  • Published:

  • Issue Date:

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s11356-021-17994-2

Keywords

Search

Navigation