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A model to predict bottlenecks over time in a remanufacturing system under uncertainty

  • Sustainable Supply Chain Network Design
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Environmental Science and Pollution Research Aims and scope Submit manuscript

Abstract

Bottleneck shifting prediction has been widely applied to the remanufacturing system for throughput improvement, and it would directly influence the general presentation of the remanufacturing system. However, predicting dynamic bottlenecks of remanufacturing systems is complicated due to the disturbed environment (e.g. various processing time and uncertain processing routes). This paper built a metamorphosis CNT conjunct with coupled map lattice (CML) algorithm to predict the bottleneck shifting phenomenon in remanufacturing for the first time. The CNT was applied to the articulation of remanufacturing process, while the CML algorithm was devoted to calculating the dynamic indicator of the bottleneck. We took the value-added connecting rod as the research object to illustrate the availability of the proposed method. As validated by Arena simulation, the approach presented in this paper put forward is feasible to make an accurate prediction for shifting bottlenecks in a remanufacturing system.

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Data availability

The datasets used or analysed during the current study are available from the corresponding author on reasonable request.

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Funding

Financial support and sponsorship from the Natural Science Foundation of China under Grant number 51775086 and Natural Science Foundation of China under Grant number 51605169.

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Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Contributions

Zheng Xue: Conceptualization, methodology, software, data curation, writing (original draft), visualization, formal analysis, investigation, writing—reviewing and editing

Tao Li: Supervision, project administration, formal analysis, investigation

Shitong Peng: Conceptualization, methodology, software, validation, investigation

Chaoyong Zhang: Visualization, conceptualization, methodology, software

Hongchao Zhang: Methodology, software

Corresponding author

Correspondence to Tao Li.

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The authors declare that they have no conflict of interest.

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Responsible Editor: Philippe Garrigues

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Xue, Z., Li, T. & Peng, S. A model to predict bottlenecks over time in a remanufacturing system under uncertainty. Environ Sci Pollut Res (2021). https://doi.org/10.1007/s11356-021-15233-2

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  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s11356-021-15233-2

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