Abstract
This paper uses panel cointegration techniques and Granger causality tests to examine the dynamic causal link between per capita real gross domestic product (GDP), combustible renewables and waste (CRW) consumption, and CO2 emissions for a panel of five North African countries during the period 1971–2008. Granger causality test results suggest short- and long-run unidirectional causalities running from CO2 emissions and CRW consumption to real GDP and a short-run unidirectional causality running from CRW to CO2 emissions. The results from panel long-run fully modified ordinary least squares (FMOLS) and dynamic ordinary least squares (DOLS) estimates show that CO2 emissions and CRW consumption have a positive and statistically significant impact on GDP. Our policy recommendations are that these countries should use more CRW because this increases their output, reduces their energy dependency on fossil energy, and may decrease their CO2 emissions.
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Notes
This study concerns both Sudan and South Sudan because of lack of data concerning each country taken separately.
The criteria used for the lag order selection are sequential-modified LR statistic test (LR), final prediction error (FPE), Akaike information criterion (AIC), Schwarz information criterion (SIC), and Hannan-Quinn information criterion (HQ). Based on all these criteria, the optimal number of lag selected for VAR model is 1.
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We would like to thank the Editor and three anonymous referees for their very useful comments.
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Ben Jebli, M., Ben Youssef, S. Economic growth, combustible renewables and waste consumption, and CO2 emissions in North Africa. Environ Sci Pollut Res 22, 16022–16030 (2015). https://doi.org/10.1007/s11356-015-4792-0
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s11356-015-4792-0