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Crisis in Urban Water Systems during the Reconstruction Period: A System Dynamics Analysis of Alternative Policies after the 2003 Earthquake in Bam-Iran

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Abstract

Quick restoration of critical infrastructure systems, such as water, electrical power, natural gas, and transportation systems, are essential for rapid and effective post disaster recovery and reconstruction process. A number of previous studies have assessed vulnerability of infrastructure systems to various hazards such as earthquakes, but seldom have the impacts of post disaster policies been considered. In its assessment of the water system in post disaster situation after Bam earthquake, this paper examines the impacts of various reconstruction as well as water management policies on the system failure in operation in terms of the ability of Bam urban water system to meet increased demand trends. Adopting a system dynamics modeling approach and the concept of viability loops, the paper will show that in order to minimize further crisis in the water system during the reconstruction period stricter water management policies need to be considered.

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Authors and Affiliations

  1. Department of Water Resources Engineering, Faculty of Agriculture, Tarbiat Modares University, Box 14115-336, Tehran, Iran

    Ali Bagheri & Saeed Morid

  2. Department of Civil Engineering, Faculty of Engineering, Tarbiat Modares University, Box 14115-336, Tehran, Iran

    Moosa Darijani

  3. Emergency Management Program, School of Administrative Studies, Faculty of Liberal Arts and Professional Studies, York University, 4700 Keele Street, Toronto, Ontario, M3J 1P3, Canada

    Ali Asgary

Authors
  1. Ali Bagheri
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  2. Moosa Darijani
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  3. Ali Asgary
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  4. Saeed Morid
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Correspondence to Ali Bagheri.

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Bagheri, A., Darijani, M., Asgary, A. et al. Crisis in Urban Water Systems during the Reconstruction Period: A System Dynamics Analysis of Alternative Policies after the 2003 Earthquake in Bam-Iran. Water Resour Manage 24, 2567–2596 (2010). https://doi.org/10.1007/s11269-009-9568-1

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