Abstract
In this study, the relationship is investigated between the regional human development index and public investment expenditures, terrorist attacks and population density for 12 regions of Turkey. For each region, the Human Development Index method of calculation which is prepared by the United Nations Development Program is used to calculate the regional human development index. In this study, the model is developed to analyze the relation between variables, estimated by the common correlated effects (CCE) approach. For the analyses, firstly all the stationarity of series is investigated by the cross-sectionally augmented dickey fuller test which is considered to have cross-sectional dependence. After the stationarity test, the existence of a cointegration relation between variables, is tested with the Durbin-H test, and the findings obtained from the test showed the presence of a cointegration relation among the series. After confirming a cointegration relation, long-term parameters are estimated by the CCE model. Findings from the CCE test showed that the effect of the variables on the regional human development index was not statistically significant in the general model. On the other hand, regional results showed that the effects of variables were statistically significant in some regions and that these effects vary according to regions. With this study, it is aimed to identify the differences in social development in Turkey and the determinants of regional development. The findings and recommendations are also considered to be beneficial for countries in similar social and economic situation with Turkey.
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Notes
The list of regions is presented in “Appendix 1”.
The HI, EI and II index values of some regions were calculated as 0. In this case since the geometric mean can’t be calculated, the index values in these regions were changed to 0.0001 as the closest value to zero. In addition, some of the TI index values were calculated as 0. In these regions, the index values were changed with 0.0001 as the closest value to zero.
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Appendix: 1
Appendix: 1
Code | NUTS 1 (12 Regions) | Code | NUTS 2 (26 Subregions) | NUTS 3 (81 Provinces) |
---|---|---|---|---|
TR1 | Istanbul | TR10 | Istanbul Subregion | Istanbul |
TR2 | West Marmara | TR21 | Tekirdağ Subregion | Tekirdağ, Edirne, Kırklareli |
TR22 | Balıkesir Subregion | Balıkesir, Çanakkale | ||
TR3 | Aegean | TR31 | İzmir Subregion | İzmir |
TR32 | Aydın Subregion | Aydın, Denizli, Muğla | ||
TR33 | Manisa Subregion | Manisa, Afyonkarahisar, Kütahya, Uşak | ||
TR4 | East Marmara | TR41 | Bursa Subregion | Bursa, Eskişehir, Bilecik |
TR42 | Kocaeli Subregion | Kocaeli, Sakarya, Düzce, Bolu, Yalova | ||
TR5 | West Anatolia | TR51 | Ankara Subregion | Ankara |
TR52 | Konya Subregion | Konya, Karaman | ||
TR6 | Mediterranean | TR61 | Antalya Subregion | Antalya, Isparta, Burdur |
TR62 | Adana Subregion | Adana, Mersin | ||
TR63 | Hatay Subregion | Hatay, Kahramanmaraş, Osmaniye | ||
TR7 | Central Anatolia | TR71 | Kırıkkale Subregion | Kırıkkale, Aksaray, Niğde, Nevşehir, Kırşehir |
TR72 | Kayseri Subregion | Kayseri, Sivas, Yozgat | ||
TR8 | West Black Sea | TR81 | Zonguldak Subregion | Zonguldak, Karabük, Bartın |
TR82 | Kastamonu Subregion | Kastamonu, Çankırı, Sinop | ||
TR83 | Samsun Subregion | Samsun, Tokat, Çorum, Amasya | ||
TR9 | East Black Sea | TR90 | Trabzon Subregion | Trabzon, Ordu, Giresun, Rize, Artvin, Gümüşhane |
TRA | North East Anatolia | TRA1 | Erzurum Subregion | Erzurum, Erzincan, Bayburt |
TRA2 | Ağrı Subregion | Ağrı, Kars, Iğdır, Ardahan | ||
TRB | Central East Anatolia | TRB1 | Malatya Subregion | Malatya, Elazığ, Bingöl, Tunceli |
TRB2 | Van Subregion | Van, Muş, Bitlis, Hakkâri | ||
TRC | South East Anatolia | TRC1 | Gaziantep Subregion | Gaziantep, Adıyaman, Kilis |
TRC2 | Şanlıurfa Subregion | Şanlıurfa, Diyarbakır | ||
TRC3 | Mardin Subregion | Mardin, Batman, Şırnak, Siirt |
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Başar, S., Eren, M. Interregional social development differences and regional social development determinants in Turkey. GeoJournal 87, 2209–2225 (2022). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10708-020-10368-0
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10708-020-10368-0
Keywords
- Regional social development
- Public expenditures
- Terrorist attacks
- Population density
- Panel data analysis