Skip to main content

Advertisement

Log in

Optimization of network redundancy and contingency planning in sustainable and resilient supply chain resource management under conditions of structural dynamics

  • S.I.: OR for Sustainability in Supply Chain Management
  • Published:
Annals of Operations Research Aims and scope Submit manuscript

Abstract

One of the key issues in supply chain sustainability is the efficient usage of the available resources. At the same time, proactive supply chain design with disruption risk considerations frequently leads to a network redundancy which implies some resource reservations in anticipation of possible disruptions. Even if resilient supply chain design has received much attention in literature, there is a research gap in designing both resilient and sustainable supply chains. This study contributes to closing the given gap by proposing a novel methodological approach to modelling network redundancy optimization. This allows for simultaneous computation of both optimal network redundancy and proactive contingency plans, considering both supply dynamics and structural disruption risks. The novelties of this study are the integration of sustainable resource utilization and SC resilience based on coordination of structure- and flow-oriented optimization. The model uncovers a practical approach to analyze and optimize supply chain redundancy by varying processing intensities of resource consumption in the network according to supply and structural dynamics. This makes it possible to explicitly include the dynamics of resource consumption for contingency plan realization in disruption scenarios.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this article

Price excludes VAT (USA)
Tax calculation will be finalised during checkout.

Instant access to the full article PDF.

Fig. 1
Fig. 2
Fig. 3
Fig. 4
Fig. 5
Fig. 6
Fig. 7
Fig. 8
Fig. 9

Similar content being viewed by others

References

  • Berle, Ø., Asbjørnslet, B. E., & Rice, J. B. (2011). Formal vulnerability assessment of a maritime transportation system. Reliability Engineering & System Safety, 96, 696–705.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Blackhurst, J., Craighead, C. W., Elkins, D., & Handfield, R. (2005). An empirically derived agenda of critical research issues for managing supply-chain disruptions. International Journal of Production Research, 43(19), 4067–4081.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Brandenburg, M., Govindan, K., Sarkis, J., & Seuring, S. (2014). Quantitative models for sustainable supply chain management: Developments and directions. European Journal of Operational Research, 233(2), 299–312.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Brandenburg, M., & Rebs, T. (2015). Sustainable supply chain management: A modeling perspective. Annals of Operation Research, 229, 213–252.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Chan, J. C. C., & Kroese, D. P. (2011). Rare-event probability estimation with conditional Monte Carlo. Annals of Operations Research, 189(1), 43–61.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Chan, F. T. S., Li, N., Chung, S. H., & Saadat, M. (2017). Management of sustainable manufacturing systems: A review on mathematical problems. International Journal of Production Research, 55(4), 1210–1225.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Chávez, H., Castillo-Villar, K. K., Herrera, L., & Bustos, A. (2016). Simulation-based multi-objective model for supply chains with disruptions in transportation. Robotics and Computer-Integrated Manufacturing, 43, 39–49.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Choi, T. M., Govindan, K., Li, X., & Li, Y. (2017). Innovative supply chain optimization models with multiple uncertainty factors. Annals of Operations Research, 257(1–2), 1–14.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Choi, T. M., & Lambert, J. H. (2017). Advances in risk analysis with big data. Risk Analysis, 37(8), 1435–1442.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Craighead, C., Blackhurst, J., Rungtusanatham, M., & Handfield, R. (2007). The severity of supply chain disruptions: Design characteristics and mitigation capabilities. Decision Sciences, 38(1), 131–156.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Dantzig, G. B., & Wolfe, P. (1960). Decomposition principle for linear programs. Operations Research, 8, 101–111.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Dolgui, A., Ivanov, D., & Sokolov, B. (2018). Ripple effect in the supply chain: An analysis and recent literature. International Journal of Production Research, 56(1–2), 414–430.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Elluru, S., Gupta, H., Kaur, H., & Singh, S. P. (2017). Proactive and reactive models for disaster resilient supply chain. Annals of Operations Research. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10479-017-2681-2.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Fahimnia, B., & Jabarzadeh, A. (2016). Marrying supply chain sustainability and resilience: A match made in heaven. Transportation Research-Part E, 91, 306–324.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Fahimnia, B., Sarkis, J., & Eshragh, A. (2014). A tradeoff model for green supply chain planning: A leanness-versus-greenness analysis. Omega, 54, 173–190.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Fattahi, M., Govindan, K., & Keyvanshokooh, E. (2017). Responsive and resilient supply chain network design under operational and disruption risks with delivery lead-time sensitive customers. Transportation Research Part E, 101, 176–200.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Gao, S. Y., Simchi-Levi, D., Teo, C.-P., & Yan, Z. (2018). Disruption risk mitigation in supply chains: The risk exposure index revisited. Operations Research. https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2875596.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Gedik, R., Medal, H., Rainwater, C. E., Pohl, E. A., & Mason, S. J. (2014). Vulnerability assessment and re-routing of freight trains under disruptions: A coal supply chain network application. Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, 71, 45–57.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Giannakis, M., & Papadopoulos, T. (2016). Supply chain sustainability: A risk management approach. International Journal of Production Economics, 171(4), 455–470.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Govindan, K. (2018). Sustainable consumption and production in the food supply chain: A conceptual framework. International Journal of Production Economics, 195, 419–431.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Govindan, K., Fattahi, M., & Keyvanshokooh, E. (2017). Supply chain network design under uncertainty: A comprehensive review and future research directions. European Journal of Operational Research, 263(1), 108–141.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Govindan, K., Jafarian, A., Azbari, M. E., & Choi, T. M. (2016). Optimal bi-objective redundancy allocation for systems reliability and risk management. IEEE Transactions on Cybernetics, 46(8), 1735–1748.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Hanson, T. R. (2016). Using open source data to quantify the impact of supply chain disruptions at niche ports: Scenario involving Canada’s largest oil refinery. Transportation Research Record, 2549, 29–36.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • He, J., Alavifard, F., Ivanov, D., & Jahani, H. (2018). A real-option approach to mitigate disruption risk in the supply chain. Omega: The International Journal of Management Science. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.omega.2018.08.008. (in press).

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Ho, W., Zheng, T., Yildiz, H., & Talluri, S. (2015). Supply chain risk management: A literature review. International Journal of Production Research, 53(16), 5031–5069.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Hosseini, S., & Barker, K. (2016). Modeling infrastructure resilience using Bayesian networks: A case study of inland waterway ports. Computers & Industrial Engineering, 93, 252–266.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Hsieh, C.-H. (2014). Disaster risk assessment of ports based on the perspective of vulnerability. Natural Hazards, 74(2), 851–864.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Ivanov, D. (2017). Simulation-based ripple effect modelling in the supply chain. International Journal of Production Research, 55(7), 2083–2101.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Ivanov, D. (2018a). Structural dynamics and resilience in supply chain risk management. New York: Springer.

    Book  Google Scholar 

  • Ivanov, D. (2018b). Revealing interfaces of supply chain resilience and sustainability: A simulation study. International Journal of Production Research, 56(10), 3507–3523.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Ivanov D., & Dolgui, A. (2019). Low-certainty-need (LCN) supply chains: A new perspective in managing disruption risks and resilience. International Journal of Production Research. https://doi.org/10.1080/00207543.2018.1521025.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Ivanov, D., Dolgui, A., Ivanova, M., & Sokolov, B. (2018). Simulation vs optimization approaches to ripple effect modelling in the supply chain. In Proceedings of the LDIC conference 2018, February 20–22. Bremen: Springer.

  • Ivanov, D., Dolgui, A., Sokolov, B., & Ivanova, M. (2017a). Literature review on disruption recovery in the supply chain. International Journal of Production Research, 55(20), 6158–6174.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Ivanov, D., Pavlov, A., Pavlov, D., & Sokolov, B. (2017b). Minimization of disruption-related return flows in the supply chain. International Journal of Production Economics, 183, 503–513.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Ivanov, D., & Rozhkov, M. (2017). Coordination of production and ordering policies under capacity disruption and product write-off risk: An analytical study with real-data based simulations of a fast moving consumer goods company. Annals of Operations Research. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10479-017-2643-8.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Ivanov, D., Sokolov, B., & Dolgui, A. (2014a). The Ripple effect in supply chains: trade-off ‘efficiency-flexibility-resilience’ in disruption management. International Journal of Production Research, 52(7), 2154–2172.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Ivanov, D., Sokolov, B., & Kaeschel, J. (2010). A multi-structural framework for adaptive supply chain planning and operations with structure dynamics considerations. European Journal of Operational Research, 200(2), 409–420.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Ivanov, D., Sokolov, B., & Pavlov, A. (2014b). Optimal distribution (re)planning in a centralized multi-stage network under conditions of ripple effect and structure dynamics. European Journal of Operational Research, 237(2), 758–770.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Ivanov, D., Sokolov, B., Pavlov, A., Dolgui, A., & Pavlov, D. (2016). Disruption-driven supply chain (re)-planning and performance impact assessment with consideration of pro-active and recovery policies. Transportation Research Part E, 90, 7–24.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Jabarzadeh, A., Fahimnia, B., & Sabouhi, F. (2018). Resilient and sustainable supply chain design: sustainability analysis under disruption risks. International Journal of Production Research, 56(17), 5945–5968.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Kwesi-Buor, J., Menachof, D. A., & Talas, R. (2015). Scenario analysis and disaster preparedness for port and maritime logistics risk management. Accident Analysis & Prevention, 123, 433–447.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Lalmazloumian, M., Wong, K. Y., Govindan, K., & Kannan, D. (2016). A robust optimization model for agile and build-to-order supply chain planning under uncertainties. Annals of Operations Research, 240(2), 435–470.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Lam, J. S. L., & Su, S. (2015). Disruption risks and mitigation strategies: An analysis of Asian ports. Maritime Policy & Management, 42(5), 415–435.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Lewis, B. M., Erera, A. L., Nowak, M. A., & White, C. C., III. (2013). Managing inventory in global supply chains facing port-of-entry disruption risks. Transportation Science, 47(2), 162–180.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Loh, H. S., & Thai, V. V. (2015). Cost consequences of a port-related supply chain disruption. Asian Journal of Shipping and Logistics, 31(3), 319–340.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Mizgier, K. J., Jüttner, M., & Wagner, S. M. (2013). Bottleneck identification in supply chain networks. International Journal of Production Research, 51(5), 1477–1490.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Paul, S. K., Asian, S., Goh, M., & Torabi, S. A. (2017). Managing sudden transportation disruptions in supply chains under delivery delay and quantity loss. Annals of Operations Research, 273, 783–814.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Paul, S. K., Sarker, R., & Essam, D. (2014). Real time disruption management for a two-stage batch production–inventory system with reliability considerations. European Journal of Operational Research, 237, 113–128.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Pavlov, A., Ivanov, D., Dolgui, A., & Sokolov, B. (2018). Hybrid fuzzy-probabilistic approach to supply chain resilience assessment. IEEE Transactions on Engineering Management, 65(2), 303–315.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Rajeev, A., Pati, R. K., Padhi, S. S., & Govindan, K. (2017). Evolution of sustainability in supply chain management: A literature review. Journal of Cleaner Production, 162, 299–314.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Rose, A., Sue Wing, I., Wei, D., & Wein, A. (2016). Economic impacts of a California tsunami. Natural Hazards Review, 17(2), 04016002.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Sawik, T. (2017). A portfolio approach to supply chain disruption management. International Journal of Production Research, 55(7), 1970–1991.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Seuring, S. (2013). A review of modeling approaches for sustainable supply chain management. Decision Support Systems, 54, 1513–1520.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Shao, X. F., & Dong, M. (2012). Supply disruption and reactive strategies in an assemble-to-order supply chain with time-sensitive demand. IEEE Transactions on Engineering Management, 59(2), 201–212.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Thekdi, S. A., & Santos, J. R. (2016). Supply chain vulnerability analysis using scenario-based input-output modeling: Application to port operations. Risk Analysis, 36(5), 1025–1039.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Torabi, S. A., Baghersad, M., & Mansouri, S. A. (2015). Resilient supplier selection and order allocation under operational and disruption risks. Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, 79, 22–48.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • UCL. (2017). www.uclholding.ru/press-center/data. Accessed on Nov 6, 2017.

  • Vadali, S., Chandra, S., Shelton, J., Valdez, A., & Medina, M. (2015). Economic costs of critical infrastructure failure in bi-national regions and implications for resilience building: Evidence from El Paso-Ciudad Juarez. Research in Transportation Business and Management, 191, 15–31.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Vahdani, B., Zandieh, M., & Roshanaei, V. (2011). A hybrid multi-stage predictive model for supply chain network collapse recovery analysis: A practical framework for effective supply chain network continuity management. International Journal of Production Research, 49(7), 2035–2060.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Yliskylä-Peuralahti, J., Spies, M., & Tapaninen, U. (2011). Transport vulnerabilities and critical industries: Experiences from a Finnish stevedore strike. International Journal of Risk Assessment and Management, 15(2/3), 222–240.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Zhang, Y., & Lam, J. S. L. (2016). Estimating economic losses of industry clusters due to port disruptions. Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, 91, 17–33.

    Google Scholar 

  • Zhu, Z., Chu, F., Dolgui, A., Chu, C., Zhou, W., & Piramuthu, S. (2018). Recent advances and opportunities in sustainable food supply chain: A model-oriented review. International Journal of Production Research. https://doi.org/10.1080/00207543.2018.1425014.

    Article  Google Scholar 

Download references

Acknowledgements

The authors thank the guest editor and three anonymous referees for their invaluable comments which helped us improve this manuscript immensely. The research described in this paper is partially supported by the Russian Foundation for Basic Research (grant 17-08-00797) and state research 0073–2019–0004.

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Corresponding author

Correspondence to Dmitry Ivanov.

Additional information

Publisher's Note

Springer Nature remains neutral with regard to jurisdictional claims in published maps and institutional affiliations.

Appendix 1: Input data for computational experiments

Appendix 1: Input data for computational experiments

Notation

Meaning

Experimental value

Decision-maker preferences

 α1

Priority coefficient for outbound shipment of the trans-shipped cargo to the customers

0.6

 α2

Priority coefficient for the storage of the cargo flow ρ-гo at the node \( i \)

0.3

 α3

Priority coefficient for the efficient resource consumption

0.1

The priorities of the sending of cargo flow

 \( \gamma_{1} \)

Priority coefficient of the \( \rho_{1} \) flow type 1 (low-tonnage) delivered at the customer

1

 \( \gamma_{2} \)

Priority coefficient of the \( \rho_{2} \) flow type 2 (wagon or carload) delivered at the customer

1

 \( \gamma_{3} \)

Priority coefficient of the \( \rho_{3} \) flow type 4 (group) delivered at the customer

1

Node characteristics

 \( Y_{i} \)

Storage capacity at the nodes

16,000 tons of cargo

 \( E_{1} \)

Budget at the node 1

3600 $

 \( E_{2} \)

Budget at the node 2

3200 $

 \( E_{3} \)

Budget at the node 3

3000 $

 \( E_{4} \)

Budget at the node 4

3000 $

 \( E_{5} \)

Budget at the node 5

3200 $

 \( E_{6} \)

Budget at the node 6

3400 $

 \( E_{7} \)

Budget at the node 7

3400 $

Structural dynamics of seaport operations

 \( T_{1} \)

Duration of the 1st interval of structural constancy

60 h

 \( T_{2} \)

Duration of the 2nd interval of structural constancy

120 h

 \( T_{3} \)

Duration of the 3rd interval of structural constancy

180 h

 \( T_{4} \)

Duration of the 4th interval of structural constancy

60 h

 \( T_{5} \)

Duration of the 5th interval of structural constancy

90 h

 \( I_{121} \)

Incoming flow of the cargo flow type 2 (i.e., carload) at the node 1 at k = 1

12,000 cargo units

 \( I_{611} \)

Incoming flow of the cargo flow type 1 (i.e., low-tonnage) at the node 6 at k = 1

8000 cargo units

 \( I_{711} \)

Incoming flow of the cargo flow type 1 (i.e., low-tonnage) at the node 7 at k = 1

5000 cargo units

 \( I_{522} \)

Incoming flow of the cargo flow type 2 (i.e., carload) at the node 5 at k = 2

4000 cargo units

 \( I_{322} \)

Incoming flow of the cargo flow type 2 (i.e., carload) at the node 3 at k = 2

10,000 cargo units

 \( I_{312} \)

Incoming flow of the cargo flow type 1 at the node 3 at k = 2

6000 cargo units

 \( I_{412} \)

Incoming flow of the cargo flow type 2 at the node 4 at k = 2

6000 cargo units

 \( I_{123} \)

Incoming flow of the cargo flow type 2 at the node 1 at k = 3

15,000 cargo units

 \( I_{613} \)

Incoming flow of the cargo flow type 1 at the node 6 at k = 3

6000 cargo units

 \( I_{413} \)

Incoming flow of the cargo flow type 1 at the node 4 at k = 3

7000 cargo units

 \( I_{213} \)

Incoming flow of the cargo flow type 1 at the node 2 at k = 3

3000 cargo units

 \( I_{114} \)

Incoming flow of the cargo flow type 1 at the node 1 at k = 4

5000 cargo units

 \( I_{214} \)

Incoming flow of the cargo flow type 1 at the node 2 at k = 4

7000 cargo units

 \( I_{225} \)

Incoming flow of the cargo flow type 2 at the node 2 at k = 5

9000 cargo units

Operation parameters «LOW»

 \( \omega_{i11} \)

Processing intensity for cargo flow type 1 trans-shipment

16, 7 cargo units/h

 \( \omega_{i21} \)

Processing intensity for cargo flow type 2 trans-shipment

50 cargo units/h

 \( \omega_{ij\rho 1} \)

Processing intensity for forwarding the cargo flow between the nodes i and j

16, 7 cargo units/h

 \( \omega_{{i\rho_{0} 1}} \)

Trans-shipment costs

1 $/h

 \( \omega_{i41} \)

Processing intensity for building the cargo flow of type 4 (group flow)

66, 7 cargo units/h

 \( \omega_{{ij\rho_{0} 1}} \)

Cargo processing and forwarding costs between the nodes

3, 3 $/h

Operation parameters «HIGH»

 \( \omega_{i12} \)

Processing intensity for cargo flow type 1 trans-shipment

50 cargo units/h

 \( \omega_{i21} \)

Processing intensity for cargo flow type 2 trans-shipment

150 cargo units/h

 \( \omega_{ij\rho 2} \)

Processing intensity for forwarding the cargo flow between the nodes i and j

200 cargo units/h

 \( \omega_{{i\rho_{0} 2}} \)

Trans-shipment costs

15 $/h

 \( \omega_{i42} \)

Processing intensity for building the cargo flow of type 4 (group flow)

50 cargo units/h

 \( \omega_{{ij\rho_{0} 2}} \)

Cargo processing and forwarding costs between the nodes

50 $/h

Operation parameters «FLEX»

 \( \omega_{i13} \)

Processing intensity for cargo flow type 1 trans-shipment

[16, 7, 50] cargo units/h

 \( \omega_{i23} \)

Processing intensity for cargo flow type 2 trans-shipment

\( \left[ {50,150} \right] \) cargo units/h

 \( \omega_{{i\rho_{0} 3}} \)

Trans-shipment costs

\( \left[ {1,15} \right] \) $/h

 \( \omega_{i43} \)

Processing intensity for forwarding the cargo flow between the nodes i and j

[66, 7, 200] cargo units/h

 \( \omega_{ij\rho 3} \)

Processing intensity for building the cargo flow of type 4 (group flow)

[16, 7, 50] cargo units/h

 \( \omega_{{ij\rho_{0} 3}} \)

Cargo processing and forwarding costs between the nodes

[3, 50] $/h

1.1 Appendix 2: Decomposition procedure for large scale linear optimization problems with block-diagonal constraints

With regards to the large-scale optimization problems using the model (2)–(10), the block programming method has been used in this study (Dantzig and Wolfe 1960) based on the problem decomposition. An example of the block-diagonal view of the constraint matrix is shown in Fig. 9.

In Fig. 9, an example of block-diagonal view of the constraint matrix for the constraint system (2)–(10) is presented. The peculiarity of the block programming method is the use of a coordinating problem that comprises a lower number of rows and columns as compared to the initial problem. An explicit definition of all the columns is not required for coordinating problem solution. They are generated in the progress of simplex method computation. The initial solution is being iteratively improved using the method of iterative plan improvement with two-side constraints until the optimal solution \( U_{{}}^{*} \) is found.

In general, the transformation of the constraint matrix from a general to block-diagonal structure with top edging is a task of very high combinatorial complexity. This complexity results first from the row permutation (i.e., top edging formation), and second from the column permutation (i.e., separation of non-zero blocks without common members). However, for the considered planning problem, it became possible to apply quite a simple approach to form the required blocks in the constraint matrix. The constraints which are related to different structural constancy intervals are blocked independently. The constraints which connect different structural constancy intervals (i.e., the matrix top edging) are grouped as a set of flow balance constraints (Eq. 3) that are using the variables from all the structural constancy intervals. The blocks can be aggregated. The analysis of aggregation impacts on the computational productivity is beyond the scope of this paper.

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

About this article

Check for updates. Verify currency and authenticity via CrossMark

Cite this article

Pavlov, A., Ivanov, D., Pavlov, D. et al. Optimization of network redundancy and contingency planning in sustainable and resilient supply chain resource management under conditions of structural dynamics. Ann Oper Res (2019). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10479-019-03182-6

Download citation

  • Published:

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10479-019-03182-6

Keywords

Navigation