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On a class of circulas: copulas for circular distributions

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Abstract

This article is concerned with the analogue of copulas for circular distributions, which we call ‘circulas’. We concentrate on one particular class of circulas, which is pre-existing but not studied in such explicit form or detail before. This class is appealing in many ways but does not necessarily result in especially attractive bivariate circular models for arbitrary non-uniform marginals. A major exception to this is an elegant bivariate wrapped Cauchy distribution previously proposed and developed by two of the current authors. We look both at properties of the circulas themselves, including their density behaviour, distribution function, and dependence measures, and at properties of various distributions based on these circulas by transformation to non-uniform marginal distributions. We consider inference for the latter distributions and present two applications of them to modelling data. We concentrate mostly on the bivariate case, but also briefly consider extension to the multivariate case.

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Acknowledgments

We are grateful to the editorial team for suggestions, including two of the five pre-existing dependence measures to which we refer and the multivariate analogy with factor models, that have improved the paper in revision. Financial support for this work was received by Arthur Pewsey in the form of grant MTM2010-16845 from the Spanish Ministry of Science and Education and grant GR10064 from the Junta de Extremadura.

   We would like to dedicate this paper to the memory of Arthur’s father who passed away around the time work for the paper first began.

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Correspondence to M. C. Jones.

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Jones, M.C., Pewsey, A. & Kato, S. On a class of circulas: copulas for circular distributions. Ann Inst Stat Math 67, 843–862 (2015). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10463-014-0493-6

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