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Ureteral wall thickness as a significant factor in predicting spontaneous passage of ureteral stones of ≤ 10 mm: a preliminary report

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Abstract

Purpose

To evaluate the clinical significance of ureteral wall thickness (UWT) for predicting spontaneous passage (SP) of uncomplicated ureteral stones of ≤ 10 mm.

Methods

We retrospectively reviewed 418 patients with a diagnosis of uncomplicated ureteral stones who presented to Kori Hospital from 2011 to 2018. The maximum stone diameter and UWT at the stone site were measured from axial computed tomography images. Clinical predictors of 4-week SP were assessed using univariate and multivariate analyses. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis was applied to evaluate the accuracy of factors in predicting SP of ureteral stones.

Results

Of the 418 patients, 202 (48.3%) spontaneously passed their stones within 4 weeks of their initial visit. Multivariate analysis showed that stone location, stone size, and UWT (odds ratio, 0.40; P < 0.001) were independent predictors of 4-week SP. ROC analysis showed that 2.71 mm was the optimal cut-off value for UWT, with a predictive accuracy of 0.83. Low UWT had a significantly higher 4-week SP rate than high UWT (76.4% vs. 14.7%, respectively; P < 0.001). In addition, high UWT was associated with a higher risk of stone-related complications within 4 weeks compared with low UWT (16.4% vs. 7.2%, respectively; P = 0.0044).

Conclusions

UWT can serve as a potential predictive factor for 4-week SP and may help physicians to select patients who require immediate interventions among those with ≤ 10-mm ureteral stones.

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Abbreviations

ESWL:

Extracorporeal shock wave lithotripsy

MET:

Medical expulsive therapy

NCCT:

Non-contrast computed tomography

ROC:

Receiver operating characteristic

SP:

Spontaneous passage

SRC:

Stone-related complication

URS:

Ureteroscopy

UTI:

Urinary tract infection

UWT:

Ureteral wall thickness

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Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Contributions

TY: project development, data collection and analysis, manuscript writing and editing; TI: manuscript review and editing; TM: data collection and manuscript review; NO: data collection and manuscript review; HK: data collection and manuscript review; and TM: manuscript review and editing.

Corresponding author

Correspondence to Takashi Yoshida.

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Conflict of interest

The authors declare no conflict of interest.

Ethical approval

This quality assurance audit was approved by the Institutional Review Board.

Informed consent

Informed consent was not obtained as this study is a retrospective audit.

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Yoshida, T., Inoue, T., Taguchi, M. et al. Ureteral wall thickness as a significant factor in predicting spontaneous passage of ureteral stones of ≤ 10 mm: a preliminary report. World J Urol 37, 913–919 (2019). https://doi.org/10.1007/s00345-018-2461-x

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  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00345-018-2461-x

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