Abstract
Objectives
To establish and validate a CT radiomics model for prediction of induction chemotherapy (IC) response and progression-free survival (PFS) among patients with locally advanced hypopharyngeal carcinoma (LAHC).
Methods
One hundred twelve patients with LAHC (78 in training cohort and 34 in validation cohort) who underwent contrast-enhanced CT (CECT) scans prior to IC were enrolled. Least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) was used to select the crucial radiomic features in the training cohort. Radiomics signature and clinical data were used to build a radiomics nomogram to predict individual response to IC. Kaplan–Meier analysis and log-rank test were used to evaluate ability of radiomics signature in progression-free survival risk stratification.
Results
The radiomics signature consisted of 6 selected features from the arterial and venous phases of CECT images and demonstrated good performance in predicting the IC response in both two cohorts. The radiomics nomogram showed good discriminative performance, and the C-index of nomogram was 0.899 (95% confidence interval (CI), 0.831–0.967) and 0.775 (95% CI, 0.591–0.959) in the training and validation cohorts, respectively. Survival analysis indicated that low-risk and high-risk groups defined by the value of radiomics signature had significant difference in PFS (3-year PFS 66.4% vs 29.7%, p < 0.001).
Conclusions
Multiparametric CT-based radiomics model could be useful for predicting treatment response and PFS in patients with LAHC who underwent IC.
Key Points
• CT radiomics can predict IC response and progression-free survival in hypopharyngeal carcinoma.
• We combined significant radiomics signature with clinical predictors to establish a nomogram to predict individual response to IC.
• Radiomics signature could divide patients into the high-risk and low-risk groups based on the PFS.
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Abbreviations
- CCRT:
-
Concurrent chemoradiotherapy
- CECT:
-
Contrast-enhanced computed tomography
- IC:
-
Induction chemotherapy
- LAHC:
-
Locally advanced hypopharyngeal carcinoma
- LASSO:
-
Least absolute shrinkage and selection operator
- LR:
-
Logistic regression
- PFS:
-
Progression-free survival
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Acknowledgments
This work is supported by the National Natural Science Fund of China 81871342 and the National Key Research and Development 2019YFC0120903.
Funding
This study has received funding by the National Natural Science Fund of China 81871342 and the National Key Research and Development 2019YFC0120903. This work is founded by Tianjin Key Medical Discipline (Specialty) Construction Project and Tianjin Institute of imaging medicine. This study is funded by Tianjin Health Commission Science and Technology Talent Cultivation Project (RC20184).
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The scientific guarantor of this publication is Dr. Wen Shen from the Department of Radiology, Tianjin First Central Hospital.
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One of the authors (Zhiwei Shen) is an employee of Philips Healthcare. The remaining authors declare no relationships with any companies whose products or services may be related to the subject matter of the article.
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No complex statistical methods were necessary for this paper.
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Written informed consent was not required for this study because of the retrospective nature of the study.
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Institutional Review Board approval was obtained from the ethics committee of the First Central Hospital of Tianjin (2019N186KY).
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• retrospective
• diagnostic or prognostic study
• performed at one institution
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Liu, X., Long, M., Sun, C. et al. CT-based radiomics signature analysis for evaluation of response to induction chemotherapy and progression-free survival in locally advanced hypopharyngeal carcinoma. Eur Radiol 32, 7755–7766 (2022). https://doi.org/10.1007/s00330-022-08859-4
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00330-022-08859-4