Abstract
Purpose
Hepatic encephalopathy (HE) is a common complication in patients undergoing transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt (TIPS). The objective of this study was to assess the prognostic factors and make risk stratification of post-TIPS HE.
Methods
This was a retrospective cohort study consisting of cirrhotic patients who had undergone TIPS creation at our center from November 2015 to August 2020. The baseline characteristics including spleen volume (SVol) and other markers were collected. The univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses were used to identify independent predictors of post-TIPS overt HE (OHE).
Results
Higher Child–Pugh (CP) score (HR 1.334, 95% CI 1.090–1.632, P = 0.005) and smaller SVol (HR 0.999, 95% CI 0.997–1.000, P = 0.004) were identified as the independent risk factors for post-TIPS OHE. And a time-dependent ROC analysis was used to determine the cutoff values of CP score and SVol, which were respectively 6.5 and 773 cm3. Subsequently, the CP-SVol grading system was developed to divide patients into three risk grades according to the above two cutoff values. Kaplan–Meier analysis showed that the cumulative rates of patients free of OHE in Grade 1, 2 and 3 were respectively 96.4% ± 3.5%, 82.1 ± 4.7%, and 59.3% ± 6.4%, which were in descending order (Log rank P < 0.001).
Conclusion
SVol might be a novel marker to predict the prognosis of post-TIPS OHE, and the proposed CP-SVol grading system composed of CP score and SVol achieved a superior predictive performance.
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Data availability
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Abbreviations
- HE:
-
Hepatic encephalopathy
- TIPS:
-
Transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt
- SVol:
-
Spleen volume
- OHE:
-
Overt hepatic encephalopathy
- CT:
-
Computed tomography
- CP:
-
Child–Pugh
- MELD:
-
Model for end-stage liver disease
- PVT:
-
Portal vein thrombosis
- SPSS:
-
Spontaneous portosystemic shunt
- PPG:
-
Portal pressure gradient
- PACS:
-
Picture archiving and communication systems
- ROI:
-
Regions of interest
- SD:
-
Standard deviation
- OR:
-
Odds ratio
- CI:
-
Confidence interval
- ROC:
-
Receiver operating characteristic
- AUC:
-
Area under the curve
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Acknowledgements
This study was funded by Grant from National Nature Science Foundation of China (Grant no. 81873917).
Funding
This study was funded by Grant from National Nature Science Foundation of China (Grant No. 81873917).
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Study conception and design: BX and JL; acquisition of data: JL, CZ, YW, QS and CY; analysis and interpretation of data: JL, CZ, SH, YC and TL; drafting of manuscript: JL and CZ; and critical revision: BX.
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All procedures performed in studies involving human participants were in accordance with the ethical standards of the institutional and/or national research committee and with the 1964 Helsinki declaration and its later amendments or comparable ethical standards. This retrospective study was approved by the institutional review board of the Union Hospital, Tongji Medical college, Huazhong University of Science and Technology.
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Liu, J., Zhou, C., Wang, Y. et al. The combination of Child–Pugh score and quantitative CT-based spleen volume could predict the risk of hepatic encephalopathy after transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt creation. Abdom Radiol 46, 3464–3470 (2021). https://doi.org/10.1007/s00261-021-02972-6
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00261-021-02972-6