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Incremental value of plaque enhancement in predicting stroke recurrence in symptomatic intracranial atherosclerosis

  • Diagnostic Neuroradiology
  • Published:
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Abstract

Purpose

To investigate the association between plaque enhancement and stroke recurrence in subjects with intracranial atherosclerosis.

Methods

Ischemic stroke patients with symptomatic intracranial atherosclerosis were prospectively included and followed in a comprehensive stroke center. Pre- and post-contrast vessel wall images were used to evaluate plaque enhancement. Other established suggestive imaging markers were also acquired simultaneously. Univariate- and multivariate-adjusted Cox proportional hazard regression models were used to determine the association between plaque enhancement and stroke recurrence. Finally, receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves were used to demonstrate the predictive value of different imaging markers.

Results

Of the 60 subjects included, 12 (20.0%) patients presented with ipsilateral stroke recurrence during the median 12-month follow-up. Cox proportional hazard regression models indicated that plaque enhancement was an independent risk factor associated with stroke recurrence after adjusted covariates, with a hazard ratio (HR) of 14.24 and 95% confidence interval (95% CI) (1.21, 168.11), p = 0.04. In addition, border zone infarction was also statistically significant in predicting stroke recurrence in multi-variable regression (HR = 3.80; 95% CI = 1.04, 13.80; p = 0.04). Collateral status was in marginal significance (HR = 0.25; 95% CI = 0.06, 1.08; p = 0.06). ROC analysis indicated that the area under the curve and 95% CI to identify stroke recurrence are 0.67 (0.51, 0.82) for plaque enhancement and 0.71 (0.54, 0.88) for infarction pattern and collateral status and may increase to 0.82 (0.70, 0.93) by combining the three markers above.

Conclusion

Plaque enhancement is independently associated with stroke recurrence in subjects with intracranial atherosclerosis and has added value to hemodynamic indicators in predicting stroke recurrence.

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Funding

This study is supported by the Beijing Municipal Science & Technology Commission (Z171100001017019), the Beijing Municipal Administration of Hospitals’ Ascent Plan (DFL20152201), the Tsinghua University Initiative Scientific Research Program (20161080076), and the Beijing Municipal Health Bureau Project (2013-2-034).

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Correspondence to Jian Wu.

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The authors declare that they have no conflict of interest.

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All procedures performed in this study were in accordance with the ethical standards of the institutional research committee and with the 1964 Helsinki Declaration and its later amendments; the protocol was also approved by the local ethics committee.

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Informed consent was obtained from all individual participants included in the study.

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Song, X., Zhao, X., Liebeskind, D.S. et al. Incremental value of plaque enhancement in predicting stroke recurrence in symptomatic intracranial atherosclerosis. Neuroradiology 62, 1123–1131 (2020). https://doi.org/10.1007/s00234-020-02418-8

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  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00234-020-02418-8

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