Skip to main content

Contracts for Difference and Risk Management in Multi-agent Energy Markets

  • Conference paper
  • First Online:
Book cover Advances in Practical Applications of Agents, Multi-Agent Systems, and Sustainability: The PAAMS Collection (PAAMS 2015)

Part of the book series: Lecture Notes in Computer Science ((LNAI,volume 9086))

Abstract

The liberalization process of the power sector has led to competitive wholesale and retail markets. Market participants are exposed to risks associated with price volatility and uncertainties regarding production and consumption. This paper addresses these issues by analyzing and evaluating the role of contracts for difference (CFDs) as a financial product used to hedge against risk. The article presents several key features of software gents able to negotiate CFDs, paying special attention to risk management, notably risk attitude, and price negotiation. It starts with a contextualization of the subject, which is followed by the definition of a model to negotiate CFDs, involving several trading strategies and tactics. It starts with a contextualization of the subject, which is followed by the definition of a model to negotiate CFDs, involving a group of strategies to control the exposure of risk by software agents. Finally, a set of case studies is described to assess the performance of CFDs as a risk management tool and to compare their performance to forward bilateral contracts.

This work was performed under the project MAN-REM (FCOMP-01-0124-FEDER-020397), supported by both FEDER and National funds through the program “COMPETE\(-\)Programa Operacional Temático Factores de Competividade” and “FCT\(-\)Fundação para a Ciência e a Tecnologia”.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this chapter

Chapter
USD 29.95
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
eBook
USD 39.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
Softcover Book
USD 54.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Compact, lightweight edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info

Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout

Purchases are for personal use only

Institutional subscriptions

Preview

Unable to display preview. Download preview PDF.

Unable to display preview. Download preview PDF.

References

  1. Hunt, S., Shuttleworth, G.: Competition and Choice in Electricity. Wiley, Chichester (1996)

    Google Scholar 

  2. Hausman, E., Hornby, R., Smith, A.: Bilateral Contracting in Deregulated Electricity Markets. Report to the American Public Power Association, Synapse Energy Economics (2008)

    Google Scholar 

  3. Bajpai, P., Singh, S.: Electricity trading in competitive power market: an overview and key issues. In: International Conference on Power Systems, Kathmandu (2004)

    Google Scholar 

  4. Paiva, J.: Redes de Energia Elétrica. IST Press, Lisboa (2007)

    Google Scholar 

  5. Lopes, F., Mamede, N., Novais, A.Q., Coelho, H.: A Negotiation Model for Autonomous Computational Agents: Formal Description and Empirical Evaluation. Journal of Intelligent & Fuzzy Systems 12(3), 195–212 (2002)

    MATH  Google Scholar 

  6. Lopes, F., Mamede, N., Novais, A.Q., Coelho, H.: Negotiation in a multi-agent supply chain system. In: Third Int. Workshop of the IFIP WG 5.7 Special Interest Group on Advanced Techniques in Production Planning & Control, pp. 153–168. Firenze University Press (2002)

    Google Scholar 

  7. Lopes, F., Mamede, N., Novais, A.Q., Coelho, H.: Negotiation among autonomous agents: experimental evaluation of integrative strategies. In: 12th Portuguese Conference on Artificial Intelligence, pp. 280–288. IEEE Computer Society Press (2005)

    Google Scholar 

  8. Lopes, F., Coelho, H.: Concession behaviour in automated negotiation. In: Buccafurri, F., Semeraro, G. (eds.) EC-Web 2010. LNBIP, vol. 61, pp. 184–194. Springer, Heidelberg (2010)

    Chapter  Google Scholar 

  9. Lopes, F., Coelho, H.: Strategic and Tactical Behaviour in Automated Negotiation. International Journal of Artificial Intelligence 4(S10), 35–63 (2010)

    Google Scholar 

  10. Lopes, F., Coelho, H. (eds.): Negotiation and Argumentation in Multi-agent Systems. Bentham Science, The Netherlands (2014)

    Google Scholar 

  11. Kahneman, D., Tversky, A.: Prospect Theory: An Analysis of Decision Under Risk. Econometrica 47(2), 263–292 (1979)

    Article  MATH  Google Scholar 

  12. von Neumann, J., Morgenstern, O.: Theory of Games and Economic Behavior. Princeton University Press (1953)

    Google Scholar 

  13. Varian, R.: Intermediate Microeconomics: A Modern Approach. W. W. Norton & Company, New York (2010)

    Google Scholar 

  14. Pratt, J.: Risk Aversion in the Small and in the Large. Econometrica 32(1/2), 122–136 (1964)

    Article  MATH  Google Scholar 

  15. Faratin, P., Sierra, C., Jennings, N.: Negotiation Decision Functions for Autonomous Agents. Journal of Robotics and Autonomous Systems 24(3–4), 159–182 (1998)

    Article  Google Scholar 

Download references

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Corresponding author

Correspondence to Fernando Lopes .

Editor information

Editors and Affiliations

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

Copyright information

© 2015 Springer International Publishing Switzerland

About this paper

Cite this paper

Sousa, F., Lopes, F., Santana, J. (2015). Contracts for Difference and Risk Management in Multi-agent Energy Markets. In: Demazeau, Y., Decker, K., Bajo Pérez, J., de la Prieta, F. (eds) Advances in Practical Applications of Agents, Multi-Agent Systems, and Sustainability: The PAAMS Collection. PAAMS 2015. Lecture Notes in Computer Science(), vol 9086. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-18944-4_13

Download citation

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-18944-4_13

  • Published:

  • Publisher Name: Springer, Cham

  • Print ISBN: 978-3-319-18943-7

  • Online ISBN: 978-3-319-18944-4

  • eBook Packages: Computer ScienceComputer Science (R0)

Publish with us

Policies and ethics