Skip to main content

Topics on Space Weather: Operational Numerical Prediction for Electron Content

  • Conference paper
  • First Online:
Integral Methods in Science and Engineering (IMSE 2022)

Abstract

This contribution reports on the INPE activity on prediction of the atmospheric electronic content by the SUPIM model. The model was modified to be employed as an operational system to simulate the atmospheric ionization process, as well as to compute the electron and ions concentration. The operational version includes a parallel processing, data assimilation, a correction factor for additional model stability, and several routines for post-processing. The operational SUPIM is executed everyday, and the forecasting period is 24 hours ahead.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this chapter

Chapter
USD 29.95
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
eBook
USD 169.00
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as EPUB and PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
Hardcover Book
USD 219.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Durable hardcover edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info

Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout

Purchases are for personal use only

Institutional subscriptions

References

  1. Bailey, G.J., Sellek, R.: A mathematical model of the Earth’s plasmasphere and its application on a study of He+ at L = 3. Ann. Geophys. 8, 171–190 (1990)

    Google Scholar 

  2. Bailey, G.J., Balan, N.: A low-latitude ionosphere-plasmasphere model. In: Schunk, R.W. (ed.) STEP Handbook on Ionospheric Models, pp. 173–206. Utah State University, USA (1996)

    Google Scholar 

  3. Daley, R.: Atmospherics Data Analysis. Cambridge University Press, New York (1991)

    Google Scholar 

  4. Hoke, J., Anthes, R.: The initialization of numerical models by a dynamic relaxation technique. Mon. Weather Rev. 104, 1551–1556 (1976)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  5. Jakowsky, N., Mayer, C. Hoque, M.M., Wilken, V.: Total electron content models and their use in ionosphere monitoring. Radio Sci. 46, RS0D18 (2011)

    Google Scholar 

  6. Kalnay, E.: Atmospheric Modeling, Data Assimilation and Predictability. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge (2003)

    Google Scholar 

  7. Klipp, T.S., Petry, A., Souza, J.R., Falcão, G.S., Campos Velho, H.F., Paula, E.R., Antreich, F., Hoque, M., Kriegel, M., Berdermann, J., JoKowisky, N., Fernandez-Gomez, I., Borries, C., Sto, H., Wilken, V.: Evaluation of ionospheric models for Central and South Americas. Adv. Space Res. 64, 2521–2136 (2019)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  8. Li, J., Heap, A.D.: A review of comparative studies of spatial interpolation methods in environmental sciences: performance and impact factors. Eco. Inform. 6, 228–241 (2011)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  9. [SUPIM-2014] [SUPIM-2014] Petry, A., Souza, J.R., Campos Velho, H.F., Pereira, A.G., Bailey, G.J.: First results of operational ionospheric dynamics prediction for the Brazilian Space Weather program. Adv. Space Res. 54, 22–36 (2015)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  10. Petry, A., Pereira, A.G., Souza, J.R.: Approximate nearest neighbors searching algorithm for low-dimensional grid locations. Earth Sci. Inf. 10, 1–14 (2016)

    Google Scholar 

  11. Richards, P.G., Fennelly, J.A., Torr, D.G.: EUVAC: A solar EUV flux model for aeronomic calculations. J. Geophys. Res. Space Phys. 99, 8981–8992 (1994)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  12. Stauffer, D.R., Seman, N.L.: Multiscale four-dimensional data assimilation. J. Appl. Meteorol. 33, 416–434 (1994)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  13. Tobiska, W., Woods, T., Eparvier, F., Viereck, R., Floyd, L., Bouwer, D., Rottman, G., White, O.: The SOLAR2000 empirical solar irradiance model and forecast tool. J. Atmos. Sol. Terr. Phys. 62, 1233–1250 (2000)

    Article  Google Scholar 

Download references

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Corresponding author

Correspondence to H. F. de Campos Velho .

Editor information

Editors and Affiliations

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

Copyright information

© 2023 The Author(s), under exclusive license to Springer Nature Switzerland AG

About this paper

Check for updates. Verify currency and authenticity via CrossMark

Cite this paper

Velho, H.F.d.C. et al. (2023). Topics on Space Weather: Operational Numerical Prediction for Electron Content. In: Constanda, C., Bodmann, B.E., Harris, P.J. (eds) Integral Methods in Science and Engineering. IMSE 2022. Birkhäuser, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-031-34099-4_7

Download citation

Publish with us

Policies and ethics