Abstract
Problem Structuring Methods (PSMs) were developed almost 50 years ago within Operational Research (OR) to support group decision-making. Through the provision of modelling and facilitation support, PSMs are said to enable groups to develop a better understanding of a problem situation they wish to tackle, and come to agreements on how to respond to the situation. In this chapter we take stock of what we know about PSMs, first by describing their shared characteristics regarding technology and process, and then reviewing their use in practice. We also examine the evidence supporting or questioning the actual achievement of the impacts claimed to be the result of using PSMs. The chapter ends with a discussion of some areas of work that deserve critical attention for the continuing advance of PSMs as a field of practice and research within OR.
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Notes
- 1.
Presidential Commission on the Space Shuttle Accident (1986) Report of the presidential commission on the space shuttle challenger accident. Washington, DC.
- 2.
The original version contained six methods. In the revised version Metagame Analysis and Hypergame Analysis were fused into Drama Theory, resulting in five methods.
- 3.
Mingers [108] makes a similar point.
- 4.
- 5.
A related and frequently used concept is āmental modelā. In System Dynamics this term is typically used to refer to a personās understanding of a complex issue he or she is involved in. Doyle and Ford [42] state that āA mental model of a dynamic system is a relatively enduring and accessible, but limited, internal conceptual representation of an external system (historical, existing or projected) whose structure is analogous to the perceived structure of that systemā (p. 414).
- 6.
Some PSMs also offer explicit means of analysing uncertainties. In traditional OR models, the uncertainty about future values of a factor of interest is handled by deriving probability distributions across its possible values. By contrast, PSM models focus on the āpossibilityā and implications of an uncertain event deemed to be important enough by the group to enter their deliberations [140].
- 7.
It is worth noting that some prominent PSM scholars consider other cognate approaches as falling within the PSM family, though they do not use models and modelling in the sense described above [108]. However, whilst it is possible to support problem structuring without the type of models described here, we believe that the use of models amenable to formal analysis of relationships is a shared characteristic that locates all PSMs firmly and unequivocally within OR. PSMs are sometimes referred to as Soft OR approaches, a loosely defined term to indicate any use of OR that pays attention to the non-quantitative elements of a problem or uses traditional quantitative OR methods in a āsoftā way. Thus Soft OR would include, for example, approaches such as Interactive Planning [12] and Strategic Assumptions Surfacing and Testing [103], as well as particular forms of multimethodology [111] that combine hard and soft methods. In this chapter, however, we will stick to the term āPSMsā as it is more sharply defined and firmly located within OR.
- 8.
- 9.
Built into some PSMs are features whose purpose is to enable participants to distance themselves from previous bindings during the problem structuring process, effectively providing them with a certain degree of ambiguity or āequivocalityā regarding their own positions [46]. This is often facilitated by the possibility of group members entering their inputs to the model anonymously, which can allow them to change their positions in response to what they have learned about the problem without destroying the social order in the group [46]. Changing positions implies individuals āchanging their mindsā, i.e. changed beliefs, changed values, and changes in the salience of particular issues or values [44]. The consequence of this adaptability is that it becomes easier for group members to reconcile the position they eventually take both with principles and with past words and actions during discussion.
- 10.
The list has similarities to the one proposed by Mingers [108], although we have not included methods that do not build and use models (as defined here) in a facilitated mode. We also excluded other facilitated modelling methods that would fit the characterisation presented here but which do not have yet a substantive volume of applications published in the mainstream OR literatureāsee, for example, Conklinās [35] Dialog Mapping and Ritcheyās Morphological Analysis [138].
- 11.
Although the VSM was originally developed with a prescriptive orientation (see, for example, Jackson [90]), an increasing body of published VSM applications show practitioners using the method in an interpretivist mode akin to PSM use, namely, they work with stakeholder groups to understand disfunctions in the system of interest, identify suitable responses to improve its effectiveness and viability, and help stakeholders in building a commitment to implementation (see Harwood [80]).
- 12.
Group Explorer was originally developed by Colin Eden and Fran Ackermann at the University of Strathclyde.
- 13.
Decision Explorer is a software tool to support the creation of causal maps. It is developed and distributed by Banxia Software (www.banxia.com).
- 14.
MACBETH is a software tool that supports the evaluation of options when multiple objectives need to be considered. It was originally developed by Carlos Bana e Costa at the University of Lisbon (m-macbeth.com).
- 15.
Serious Case Reviews (SCRs) were established in the UK under the 2004 Children Act to review cases where a child has died and abuse or neglect is known or suspected. SCRs could additionally be carried out where a child has not died, but has come to serious harm as a result of abuse or neglect.
- 16.
The list of PSMs included in Mingers [107] also considered problem methods that do not use models as defined here.
- 17.
Papers proposing new PSMs are mentioned in Sect. 23.5.
- 18.
In the case of VFT/DC and GMB, the problem frame represented in the model is often used to inform the development of a quantitative model.
- 19.
See also, Footnote 4.
- 20.
- 21.
In specific contexts, commitment to maintain the group membership has also been claimed [41].
- 22.
- 23.
Although this meta-framework focuses on evaluating MCDA interventions, the framework could also be applied to evaluate PSM interventions.
- 24.
Ackermann [2] argues that an academicās PSM expertise can be real or vicarious. However, we would warn against the latter. Only academics with actual PSM expertise will be able to share their largely tacit, uncodified experience with their students, and in doing so help students appreciate the nuances and complexities of PSM practice, and know when and how to adapt a PSM intervention to fit the context in which it is deployed.
- 25.
A recent development is the OR apprenticeship approved in 2020 by the Institute for Apprenticeships and Technical Education in the UK (https://www.instituteforapprenticeships.org). The apprenticeship has not started at the time of writing. Notably, how to select and apply, a range of PSMs to understand complex problems is part of the knowledge, skills, and behaviours expected from the participants taking up the apprenticeship.
- 26.
Some PSMs also contain specific tools to gain an appreciation of context, for example, the use of rich pictures and analysis I, II, and III (cultural stream analysis) in SSM [31].
- 27.
- 28.
It is worth clarifying that the concern of Behavioural OR scholars relates to OR practice in general, and not just PSM practice.
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Franco, L.A., Rouwette, E.A.J.A. (2022). Problem Structuring Methods: Taking Stock and Looking Ahead. In: Salhi, S., Boylan, J. (eds) The Palgrave Handbook of Operations Research . Palgrave Macmillan, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-96935-6_23
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