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A 17-year oscillation in cancer mortality birth cohorts on three continents – synchrony to cosmic ray modulations one generation earlier

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Abstract

Cross-generational effects (grandmother effects) associated with epigenetic imprinting, environmental exposures, and lifestyle choices are beginning to be explored by various investigators. The possibility that low-level background radiation can be a driver of such effects has been suggested previously and is explored further in this study. Age-period-cohort analysis was performed on United States (US), United Kingdom (UK), and Australian (AU) female breast cancer mortality of the twentieth century, as well as on UK female total cancer mortality, to extract the high-frequency oscillations in the birth cohort time series. US fetal and infant congenital mortality were examined to extend the birth cohorts to modern times. A ∼17-year cycle was detected in all birth cohort series, which spanned approximately 180 years from 1820 to 2000. This suggests a global, environmental cause. To mimic previous work in examining a possible link to cosmic radiation, the 17- to 18-year cycles of the cosmogenic nuclide 14C, the sunspot double-cycle, neutron monitors, and a compilation of ground-based magnetic field observations were examined in the birth cohort and germ cell cohort time frames. Evidence is presented that optimal alignments with extraterrestrial oscillations occur in the time frame of the germ-cell cohort, one generation before the birth cohorts. Furthermore, the alignment is optimized by accounting for the changes in the maternal age distribution over time. These findings have potential importance to the mechanisms of disease as well as species adaptation and evolution.

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Acknowledgements

This work was supported by the Barros Research Institute and by a joint operating agreement grant from the Michigan State University Foundation.

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Authors and Affiliations

  1. Barros Research Institute, 2430 College Rd, Holt, MI, 48842, USA

    David A. Juckett

  2. Department of Chemistry, Michigan State University, East Lansing, MI, 48824, USA

    David A. Juckett

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  1. David A. Juckett
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Correspondence to David A. Juckett.

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Juckett, D.A. A 17-year oscillation in cancer mortality birth cohorts on three continents – synchrony to cosmic ray modulations one generation earlier. Int J Biometeorol 53, 487–499 (2009). https://doi.org/10.1007/s00484-009-0237-0

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  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00484-009-0237-0

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